BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@james-woodroffe Moving quite a bit now; England now favourites. Very strange decision by Paine - and it certainly caught me out!
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Sound advice .. Like it
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Still find the toss effect interesting never really thought about it before.
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No one knows more about this pitch than Alec Stewart and he says it will be difficult for the first hour but after that it should be superb for batting for the next day or two. If England have lost no more than one wicket by 12, I'll be backing them. Could easily be 1.5 later in the day.
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England have already come in slightly whilst Oz have drifted all be it slightly also.
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If England bat properly, they win this game IMO. Mind you, that's a pretty big 'if'.
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Well... got that wrong; felt sure they'd bat. Big mistake I reckon.
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@richard-futter or not
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Looks like The Oval will be a good batting track and, with the weather set fair, I'm sure whoever wins the toss will bat first and their price will shorten quite a bit.
During the match, I will once again be looking to lay the draw at anything approaching value. Anything below 4 should be money in the bank. A draw is useless to England and it's not in the Aussies' make-up to play for a draw.
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@james-woodroffe I always wait to see two batsmen settled in at the crease before employing this strategy. One wicket often brings two in Test match cricket.
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Quick question does the strategy of backing the batting team when they lose a wicket work for test cricket as well as T20 cricket? Looking at other strategies for this Oval test match other than laying the draw. Cheers and happy Greening.
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@kenneth-glossop yeah easy thought
wicket - lay the bowling team
boundary - lay the batting team -
@nathan-bennett
I see, so when a wicket falls for the batting side then I take it you would back them as the price will drift and then come back on? Thanks -
@kenneth-glossop YES after all its a game of two halves and what have you got to lose
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@kenneth-glossop 100% and wickets . Again its a bit of an art to the timing aspect of it but very do able successfully
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@nathan-bennett
Hi thanks for advice, so is it best then to lay when the boundary hits? So I take it then that usually the market overreacts to the boundary right? -
So I’m wondering, in T20 or one day cricket, if the favourite bats first and goes to silly odds like 1.04, is it worth laying before the underdog bats? I noticed that usually the favourites odds will drift fir at least a few ticks? Maybe a quick in and out lay bet?
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back draw lay afghan could be free money if can get reliable updates/vision
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@luke-ridger said in 2019 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@nathan-bennett Good advice, trading over reactions, also wickets should work too but backing instead of laying, of course you get the Malinga situation once in a while
@luke-ridger luke one more question you are suggesting to back that team which took wicket or which lost wicket??
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