BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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The odds for the fourth Test at Ranchi are almost a carbon copy of those for the last match, in which India played superbly and England simply threw in the towel after two tightly contested days' cricket.
Hopefully Stokes's team will show rather more backbone this time round; even so it's hard to argue that the hosts aren't good value for their strong odds-on status.
But it's hard to know exactly how things will play out. Everyone seems to to think the pitch will be crumbly and cracked and conducive to large amounts of spin.
However, seamers have generally been the main wicket takers in the limited number of Test matches played here, and the average first innings score here is only just under 500.
So, whoever wins the toss is 100 per cent certain to bat first and, once again, their odds will tumble down immediately. The draw is currently around 10, so certainly not layable at the moment but I would be pretty certain that price will at least halve in the first couple of days.
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Will ENG lock it down ?
Nope ha -
R/O No words ha
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Not the most sporting of declarations, but this still looks a good batting pitch and I'll bet my bottom dollar that if England start strongly their price will plummet in ridiculously. With little or no risk, a small back of the tourists at 30 plus could pay dividends; then if it comes in too far, it'll be time to lay because no one has ever got near this level of target in 150 years of Test cricket.
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@Fraser-cord
I've backed england @38 looking to exit stake @18 ish and maybe flip the lot if gets close to double figures
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always worth a try may not work out today -
@Nathan-Bennett pundits were saying India need 120-130 overs so between 4 and 5 sessions. ud think they would up the rate before it too. Cant see England chasing 400+ but theres definitely this fear that they could. The rate would be under 4 per over even at that so India will surely want over 450 lead.
I agree, with a fast England start, watch their price fly in.
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Any thoughts on a guesstimate declaration total
Aiming to time it when the cameras start looking at rohit and slam a ENG back bet -
Abort draw back
1.2 INDIA
S**t others can have that seems silly
IND LAY it is -
My eyes really on the same as last test lay india close to change of INNS for a swing
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Draw might have legs in it yet
Small back to lay
Backed some at 12
Will flip at 7 -
Well England 1st innings lead didn't go to plan but nice fill up on the LTD.
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So sick eyeing 3.5 lays and didnt pull trigger ha
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Root just doesn't need to play those ridiculous shots. Could have played sensibly and comfortably scored a century today.
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Root can get f^&ked
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ENG IND
Draw lays here we come -
Draw price heading down quickly already this morning. If it hits 3 am definitely laying.
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Doubt happens but would love the SA woman to get this to day 4 and make those aussies field in the 43 degrees day 4
had a peanut on draw back @300 no messing about take my money at 150
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Easy money after 9 balls ha -
wow no ashwin
jadeja will bowl a mass amount but shesh
do england just win now ? .., provided have nice lead after first inns -
Dawned on me as well that the series is in the balance and we're 3 tests in, I never thought that would be the case.
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@Stuart-Wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
EOP ENG 238 runs behind with 8 wickets left.
Its a good wicket to bat - groundsman says days 2 and 3 will be best days to bat.
Possible scenario: England score 360 runs tomorrow (90 overs x 4- ok, i know ENG are going at circa 6, but once/if it starts going around the park, IND will slow it down with slow over rates etc.) - so gives a lead of 130+ . Assume all out by EOP.
So, if that is the situation , then India will either 1) Bat for as long as poss for draw, or 2) will be bowled out for less than 300 . Or another scenario is that ENG just bat IND out of it by scoring 600+ (in the last 2 tests here the teams batting first have scored 550 and 650ish.
India have 1.5 days to bat to save the Test , to get 250 ahead.Ashwin just said that this wicket will be hard to bat on on day 5.
So, in essence given the wicket, and the rate that England go at, I cant see IND being able to win this. The only way they could is by getting circa 300 and England not being able to make 170ish in their innings.
So, my strategy will be , if England dont lose a wicket in first Bumrah burst tomorrow morning, say, 10 overs , then lump on IND lay, then again, Bumrah looked to be struggling with a hammy problem (couldnt bowl last over)
Any thoughts anyone? Based on my appalling trading of the IND v ENG games so far then this will likely be absolute bollox !Ashwin news is huge, I LTD at 7 and queued at 4 now, not many wickets falling but England moving the game along at pace and always will do, so I'm comfortable with that. My thoughts were India would be panicking now about getting us all out by tea, otherwise if we slow down to 5 an over then we'll be looking at a 100+ 1st innings lead. If we bat all day then India really will be under pressure.