BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@richard-futter Tim Paine stuff
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What a complete waste of a review from Burns.... won't get much more plumb than that.
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for me its the market most likely to move that's where focus early on to attempt to build some green, not trying to get rich just to build .. with what I'm seeing happening at mo would need 2 quick wickets to re assess my position as don't feel the market would fall to far below my entry ... I'm big on at mo when lay say 100@2 getting my money back with 50@3 and free rolling the 50 or greening that up all ways .. hope that helps
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@nathan-bennett what kind of risk-reward ratio you have in mind,when you lay at such high odds like 7.8
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wee lay WI @7.8 want 16's the target lads seem to be handling conditions at mo
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Interesting stat and dunno how many times it’s happened but it’s 12 years since a touring team won the toss sent England in and won the test. Bess most likely will have Curran’s foot marks to play with in the 4th innings.
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Windies choose to bowl first - think England would probably have batted anyway. Should be a good batting track, although with overhead conditions there might be a wicket or two in the first hour. Going to wait and see what transpires before any major trades.
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Huge toss coming up . Unsure which way want it to be honest . Do love a first innings odds on trade lay do like to lay bowling side if partnerships and of course the draw lay #lift #excitedagain 70minutes can hurry up ha
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The loss of Archer has pushed England's price out slightly and, while I think they'll win, I wouldn't want to be backing them at 1.55.
Slight drizzle means a delayed start again, but forecasters don't think we'll lose too much time, so once again the lay of the draw will almost certainly come into play.
6.6 is a little steep at the moment, but hopefully there'll be much shorter odds available when play gets underway. Anything around 5 or less would be good value I would think.
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The draw backers are at work already. 8 into 6.80.
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@james-woodroffe said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Archer out of test guys after breaking bio lock down protocols.
With Wood and Anderson rested unless one of them’s brought back in to replace Archer, Stokes and Bess only bowlers remaining from last week.
I guess Broad will be straight back in with two from Curran, Woakes and Robinson. With the batting frailties I guess it will be Curran and Woakes?
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Archer out of test guys after breaking bio lock down protocols.
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@malcolm-washer said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@james-woodroffe they have joe root back hence why the punters have smashed that price in
They started the last test without Root pretty much the same price mate.
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@james-woodroffe said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@sajjo-lohar oh definitely mate. I think it’s when you feel comfortable. @Martin-Futter said the other day he was looking (correct me if I’m wrong) at under 3’s I think Richard was looking at around 4’s. I like to wait till it’s in the 2’s but I’m also quite new to test cricket. What I’ve found and does get mentioned a lot is that betters love the draw. Why who knows it’s not 1983 but they do back it continuously. One of the boys said the other day it takes a lot of rain in the U.K. to get a draw in a test over here. Or for that matter anywhere.
spot on @James-Woodroffe
@Sajjo-Lohar for me the key is take a price you are happy to lay at and scale your stake so that your liability is the same as usual, so lets say I have a liability maximum of £20 per trade, well I could in theory lay at 8.0 if I wanted to but I would use a very small lay stake around £2.85.
the mistake most people make when laying these odds is increasing their liability, so if they trade with £10 lay stakes they lay for £10 even at big odds, this will eventually crush a bankroll.
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@ricky-hounsome they have joe root back thats why england has shorten
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@james-woodroffe they have joe root back hence why the punters have smashed that price in
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@sajjo-lohar i ussally do it before macth starts but thats just me other wait for it to lower i uss like to check the weather also make sure there is no possiblty of bad light or rain to make my judgment i am from austrlia but if i was in uk i would def wait to the draw prices comes in a bit but if fone team gets a clean start ur opptuinty may be gone
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@sajjo-lohar oh definitely mate. I think it’s when you feel comfortable. @Martin-Futter said the other day he was looking (correct me if I’m wrong) at under 3’s I think Richard was looking at around 4’s. I like to wait till it’s in the 2’s but I’m also quite new to test cricket. What I’ve found and does get mentioned a lot is that betters love the draw. Why who knows it’s not 1983 but they do back it continuously. One of the boys said the other day it takes a lot of rain in the U.K. to get a draw in a test over here. Or for that matter anywhere.
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@james-woodroffe when do you recommend laying the draw? the current price of over 8 is too high to lay i think
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@ricky-hounsome said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@jpm
I was just looking at trading the draw market.
seeing the price on England, has made me think twice.
a sneaky little lay on England and see what happens I think.I get the impression that cricket betters might not be the sharpest tools in the shed which is great for us traders. It’s almost as if the general consensus is that as far as the West Indies are concerned it’s still the year 2000. Root and Broad make a difference but gee they do seem short again. If England bat first and make even a semi decent start they’ll probably shorten even more as will the draw price.
