BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@nathan-bennett If forecast is good for a full 5 days, you will not see a draw in England.
Weather affected it starts to change but roughly 13% chance normally with some rain around.
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@Luke-Ridger OUTSTANDING INFO
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For what it's worth in England,
for a draw to happen in England you need atleast 120 overs + lost, the draw is 3% chance unless that happens.
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Draw goes through a cycle , wickets first innings draw will go out, if team batting second scores more, draw comes in as it assumes pitch is better....... we then get the situation we had yesterday. I maxed liability so wasn't an odds on draw layer but people also forget time gets made up so we have extra overs if we lose overs to weather.
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@richard-futter def lay the draw first then back latter is better allways
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@richard-futter people panic don't they, I think it's when emotions take over and we are basically able to benefit from that!
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Won't be a draw, but I love to see an even amount of green across all possible outcomes. It never ceases to amaze me how - despite all the evidence - the draw is still so massively overbet in Test cricket. For the draw to be priced at 1.76 with around 10 hours of cricket to be played on a deteriorating pitch makes no sense at all. I'd love to know who all these bettors are who are backing draws at odds on are; I'd be sending them all a Christmas card every year!
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@james-woodroffe draw went out to 14 ppl who layed at 2 then backed at 14 would be happy
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@ricky-hounsome hey mate, I can’t see the test ending in a draw. Someone is gunna win.
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@luke-ridger As a West Indian, nothing is secure. WI are famous for losing matches from winning positions
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Is it worth cashing out on the draw (laid at 5) or just let it run and hope the game isn’t drawn?
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Really happy with my return from this test and lessons learned. Closed out now healthy green a win for either side isn’t going to make that much difference to overall profit. Will go back on notes I made about how I traded the test and look forward to improving.
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As an England fan , this is gutting.
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pleasing
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Thanks for teaching me patience gents. First time I’ve really played the patience game in a test match and happily let trades run for prolonged periods. Still plenty more to learn obviously but it’s great to have some test cricket back.
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Always will. The 4th innings chase is interesting now
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Game on hard !!! free rolling a fill up
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That's the value of patience in this game --- laying the draw produces massive gains yet again!
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Thanks guys appreciate it.
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@james-woodroffe I've got plenty in @2.9 2.5 2.25 with offsets at half on back bets unmatched yet . happy to see these matched before going again at mo
