BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@Nathan-Bennett been following when I can.
Some turnaround, I did say I expected a result, but clearly not like this. BANG have been brilliant.
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ENG SRI
ENG 1.38 taking stake back on the 1.21 lay days ago ha
Thought be dead on that
SRI going well
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Good earn here 1.62 ENG all green
Happy enough -
PAK BANG
DRAW LAY 1.12 .. Stake back at 1.3's if happens
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PAK 5/1 and market 1.25 good enough nice and early to take stake out and free roll the lay
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Loving this taking some 2.6 draw
Roll the rest
How good BANG -
PAK BANG
PAK LAY 1.69
See if can 2.3's
Would also lay again when BANG 3 or 4 down
There middle order can fight some and have earned me some divi's over the years
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There it is 2.3 at lunch I’ll take that -
ENG SRI
ENG LAY 1.21
Sorry two balls before pope wicket
Come on 1.60 areas be outstanding
Good start with ball here
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Holding onto this lay and loaded more on now the spin is on -
@Nathan-Bennett Top call, as usual! Jumped on at 1.14 got my 12 ticks before the innings ended. Still amazes me how low a teams odds can go on day 1 of a 5 dayer...
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ENG SRI
ENG LAY 1.19
A small starter
Looking for mini recovery 10-12 ticks be nice -
@Tony-Hastie yeh the report was a bit slow to appear on espn did see it last night.
Il probably need to give this a miss too now. Suggesting bowler friendly to start but I'm not convinced BAN bowlers will get as much out of it.
Still reckon there will be a result but can't risk a huge red.
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@Fraser-cord I looked at many forecasts yesterday and saw a lot of rain, including thunderstorms. And just read this off espn cricinfo...
Pitch and conditions: Rain could play spoilsport
The pitch has a bit of grass but there is a strong belief that it could be favourable to batters. The last two Tests here have been high-scoring with teams posting totals of 657, 579, 476 for 4 dec, and 459 in their first innings. Rain, however, could play a major role as showers are forecast for all five days.
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Any thoughts of the draw price for PAK vs BAN. Sitting below 5 currently (very encouraging). Il be out the country from tomorrow so can't access betfair from roughly tea on day 1.
Gone through BAN recent tests, very little evidence they can bat 200 overs over 2 innings. A draw here between PAK and AUS but all others results. Could easily see PAK put up a huge score and only need to bat once.
Very tempted just to LTD as set and forget.
A little rain forecast days 4/5, nothing major. But looks like a downpour tomorrow morning so could be a delayed start. Will probably wait until the start in the hope the price comes in a little if the start is delayed.
Won't be touching ENG vs SRI as looks like rain could be a factor too so would need to actively monitor this one.
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WI SA
Mental day 1
Wasn't involved sadly some low odds lays been nice
However
Surely a lay of SA 1.34 and another in the 1.2's if happen could provide a dividend
1.34 lay is on -
Tricky to to pay attention to this test .., sub 1.10 would of been profitable
Spew semi missed this
Mainly through too much red already ha
Left my screens with 100 green on a result and 400 red if draw
Pray ha
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Encouraging to see Sri Lanka performances against IND all be it a different format confidence is there heading into ENG tour -
Ditto
Have had a LAY @1.39
Hopefully SA bat swiftly and get out and WI 5/80 be nice -
Have re-entered at 1.39 - figured it cant go much lower until day 5
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draw now below 1.5
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Draw price has been lively between 1.67 and 1.8 all morning, just been scalping. Overall, feels like a draw likely so building green towards the draw.
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Scalp the draw on wickets / partnerships maybe show dividends
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imo, draw on the cards - rain likely on 3 of 4 remaining days . took my medium loss on draw. just waiting.
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@Nathan-Bennett yeh won't be laying SA at current price, was thinking close to 2.0 if it gets there.
Scoring in the carribean tends to be slower and WI will know by the end of today whether they have any chance of a win. If SA are still batting by end of today, WI just shut up shop I feel. Avoid follow on and almost no chance of a result.
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@Fraser-cord With bugger cricket being played on this deck I'm going to hold any LAYS on SA at the mo . Be very tempted lay them 1.7 range or toward end of there batting INNS for a swing
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If SA's run rate is slow also monitor , perhaps a lay of them maybe wise
