BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Draw drifted out a bit more. 2.46 to lay now
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@eamonn-hogan said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@james-woodroffe said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Stumps and draw price now 2.14.
I backed a draw at 2.2, it went down to 2.04. Any idea why its back at 2.34. Surely it will be a draw now?
Hey Eamonn, I think with it going back out the consensus could be that England are a big chance given the weather over the last two days. I thought the draw backers in Asia might have shortened it more today but the fact it drifted makes me think England are the value with either a win or a good enough performance tomorrow for the draw to balloon out.
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@chris-osborne fine and sunny for the next two days but we still have 200 overs at least. I think a lay at 2.34 is worth it going into tomorrow especially if England can get Braithwaite cheaply. I’d assume given the situation if England find themselves in a position to enforce the follow on they definitely have to. If that happens we could be in a good spot tomorrow if the draw is laid or England are backed.
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@eamonn-hogan said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@james-woodroffe said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Stumps and draw price now 2.14.
I backed a draw at 2.2, it went down to 2.04. Any idea why its back at 2.34. Surely it will be a draw now?
Depends how much play there is tomorrow - If England bowl WI out cheaply and enforce the follow on then can easily get the win.
Only two possibe results England win and Draw
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@james-woodroffe said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Stumps and draw price now 2.14.
I backed a draw at 2.2, it went down to 2.04. Any idea why its back at 2.34. Surely it will be a draw now?
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Stumps and draw price now 2.14.
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@nathan-bennett said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@james-woodroffe cheers abort all for now until tmr
I think so mate. Draw price now at 2.04.
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@james-woodroffe cheers abort all for now until tmr
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@nathan-bennett said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
No vision or updates on cricinfo Fired in a draw lay here @2.2 look to get half out @3.4 . What's the feel locally lads total write off today yeah ?
It’s not flash mate which is probably an understatement.
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No vision or updates on cricinfo Fired in a draw lay here @2.2 look to get half out @3.4 . What's the feel locally lads total write off today yeah ?
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back to back tests likely see draw odds on #gold
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@luke-ridger got that annoying drizzly stuff here in Wigan
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Word from my good friend who lives 5 mins from Old Trafford, very very wet. England back will make sense at evens.
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@luke-ridger I’m out. In at 3.3 out at 2.28. Off out for the day so v pleased with a 44% return. Enjoy the day.
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@luke-ridger said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@richard-futter an evens lay with 200 overs + left is a great opportunity. I do think the weather eases this afternoon and can play till 7pm so would expect 30 overs or so used. Swing on offer too and a newish ball. Windies batting 200 overs to save the test...... not a chance it should be evens really.
guessing back of England makes sense in that case for the 2-3 extra ticks
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@luke-ridger Yea I can already see the potential for making some nice green.
I think I will just stick with test matches and just follow along with this thread until I understand a bit better. Then a small stakes trial to see if I did understand
Seems like it is a good compliment to footy trading as winter/summer cycles etc. Plus the liquidity in these test matches is huge!
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@matt-wood It'll take some time to understand, me and probably more so Richard have been trading test cricket for years. Most valuable thing you can do is observe as you are, if you can follow trades then great you'll make your monthly sub in test cricket alone.
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@luke-ridger said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@matt-wood It's worth considering over 5 days, there are many sub plots. Just because people are backing the draw, it wouldn't mean they think it's a draw as such. You can build equity into your book so effectively if i backed the draw at 3s with £100 and layed at 2s, i've built £100 equity i can use to further lay the draw .
Thanks. I am just observing and trying to learn a bit here really appreciate the answer.
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@richard-futter an evens lay with 200 overs + left is a great opportunity. I do think the weather eases this afternoon and can play till 7pm so would expect 30 overs or so used. Swing on offer too and a newish ball. Windies batting 200 overs to save the test...... not a chance it should be evens really.
