BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@nathan-bennett defo mate.
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@andrew-wooding always learning
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Thanks all. The reassurance and collective thoughts process here is great learning.
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Yep. I'm loving adding to my lay at under 4's.
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joining the lay the draw party . bowlers looking good lift wickets
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laid draw at 3.75.
ball is already moving & new ball is due -
@james-woodroffe Yea that helps loads, thanks.
Think I should do some reading and then watch how the markets move on this one. But if there is such a low chance of a draw I can see this being a way to make some good green.
Loads of punters put money on test matches, my brother included in that
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@james-woodroffe it does thank you. Just the lack of confidence in my position which comes from experience.
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@matt-wood hey mate they will shorten more than likely the longer England bat. Currently 4.60 if they lose quick early wickets it will blow out to (hypothetically) let’s say 7.60.
Given the incredibly low percentage of test matches that end in draws we want England to bat well today and for that draw price to shorten. With rain forecast for a bit of tomorrow it will likely shorten more. Baring in mind that they make up time lost over the course of the test match you need to have a LOT of rain and overs lost to really make the draw feasible. The West Indies have to also bat last which is never easy. Test matches can turn rapidly and there are lots of opportunities over 5 days to lock in green. Hope that makes sense. -
This post is deleted!
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Morning all.
Been reading through this thread as trading cricket might be something I look into. I know nothing about the rules of cricket, will need to read a bit first, but I understand most of what is being suggested here.
Am I correct in thinking that the draw odds should increase slowly over time if England do well today, but they will increase quickly if there is a batting collapse?
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@james-woodroffe thanks james. Glad there is consistency with others the way I’m trading this. Guess I just wanted some reinforcement that the draw isn’t Linley to actually happen!
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@andrew-wooding hi mate. I’ve laid the draw already and expect it to shorten more so pretty happy in the knowledge that it will be red screen so I can lay again as it shortens but no rush. Obviously if England collapse we will be able to green up and look to enter the market again later as the test evolves.
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@nathan-bennett glad my thoughts on this are validated by yours. As an inexperienced trader you get twitchy as I already have a sizeable liability on the draw from yesterday. Just looking for some reassurance from more experienced members I guess that whilst it might go red before green, that sticking it out is the right thing to do?
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yep with ya there if no early wickets then time and runs just put WI right out of it .., with that draw overall could shorten some till eng say 7-8 down and impending change of innings .., i am thinking of holding just a little longer before laying draw. nothing wrong with a lay now as some of lads have started too ... scalping wickets could prove dividends with solid runs on board already
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Morning everyone.. big day and first session me thinks. Draw is priced at 5. Are we still confident laying is the value here?
England get a big total, windies are obstinate in response.. bit of rain tommorow.. those odds tumble as only 2 outcomes to this test match become viable. -
@luke-ridger well it's looking unlikely now, so most likely a loss here. England have got well on top here.
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The thing about WI is they are very used to slow spinning wickets back home, and they just have this idea stuck in their heads that England is all for fast bowling without realizing some of the pitches there are flatter nowadays. As a result they go all in with pacers and a part time spinner just like what they did last year in the world cup , not a single specialist spinner which was foolish. Instead of using guys like Chase and Nurse, I would much prefer to see Devendra Bishoo back, or above all Sunil Narine.
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@paul-keighley thanks so much for clearing this up for me. i was very confused about it
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Entered also at 4.90 with a LTD
