BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@richard-futter an evens lay with 200 overs + left is a great opportunity. I do think the weather eases this afternoon and can play till 7pm so would expect 30 overs or so used. Swing on offer too and a newish ball. Windies batting 200 overs to save the test...... not a chance it should be evens really.
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@matt-wood It's worth considering over 5 days, there are many sub plots. Just because people are backing the draw, it wouldn't mean they think it's a draw as such. You can build equity into your book so effectively if i backed the draw at 3s with £100 and layed at 2s, i've built £100 equity i can use to further lay the draw .
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Happy to lay the draw again at anything around evens or odds on.... the final two days look set for fair weather and there's a huge amount of time available still. Any play this afternoon would also be a bonus and I would expect the odds to drift again considerably with batting conditions likely to be difficult.
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@jpm eased some out south of 2.3, I think once the coverage starts with rain ..... Asian money will pile into the draw
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@luke-ridger said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
2.3 shortened more than I expected.
Totally. Now thinking of my exit point. Staying in for now as I can see the price dropping down to 2.
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@nathan-bennett initially yes I would have said delayed start tomorrow, forecast not as bad this evening so it should be dry to be honest for starting on time tomorrow.
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missed optimum here but still great . how's the weather . possibility wet outfield going into day4 slight possible delay ? could be 1.8 styles
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2.3 shortened more than I expected.
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@jpm Cider for me but same premise .
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@luke-ridger sit back, enjoy a beer and see the Draw price drop. Trading at its best!
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@jpm 2.96 now , lots of scope for it to drop yet
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Forecast is getting worse if anything, suggesting a total washout tomorrow. In that case, looking at similar situations in the past and the match situation, I’m expecting the Draw price to drop right down to 2. I caught it at 3.3 on the close of play. Though regret not catching it an Over earlier at 3.7.
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This post is deleted!
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I’m thinking if we lose a day I might take a hit on the lay of the draw now and then try and get some green by backing it tomorrow and then look at other options going forward. Any thoughts?
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@luke-ridger understand tomorrow will be wet and with the ground staff needing 90 mins to dry up the ground , unsure if the window will be big enough to get play in . Taking 3.25 on the draw looking for 2.5 .
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@matt-wood I was staked in whilst play was happening so wickets hurt.
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@luke-ridger are you meaning to lay again mate when it crashes?
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Windies have done really well. Draw about to crash so I'm riding on the back of it . Risk is high but expecting no play tomorrow .
but why is the risk high?