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BTC Cricket Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Cricket & Golf Trading
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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #11241

    @paul-keighley said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:

    @james-woodroffe on the contrary, the draw price going back out indicates they don't think the Windies can have a good day tomorrow! I tend to agree, don't see them getting 250 personally.

    Haha yeah you’re right mate it’s drifted 😂👍dunno what I was thinking! Yeah I’m with you I think they struggle just didn’t think that thru did I. Glad I’ve laid it then. 🍻

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to James Woodroffe on last edited by
    #11242

    @james-woodroffe on the contrary, the draw price going back out indicates they don't think the Windies can have a good day tomorrow! I tend to agree, don't see them getting 250 personally.

    James WoodroffeJ 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to Simji on last edited by
    #11243

    @simji I’m surprised also mate. Maybe the consensus is the Windies can have a good day tomorrow I certainly thought it would shorten more.

    ? James WoodroffeJ 2 Replies Last reply
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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Simji
    wrote on last edited by Simji
    #11244

    Didn't think the draw price would go back out as much as it has before tomorrow.

    I'm in @2.4

    James WoodroffeJ MartinM 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #11245

    @eamonn-hogan said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:

    @james-woodroffe said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:

    @eamonn-hogan said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:

    If West Indies get to 300 tomorrow which Im sure they will, I cant see it not being a draw. I must be missing something.

    Mate they only need a poor first session or if they find themselves at 100-4 the draw odds will shoot out. It’s an interesting one and will be a riveting days play. It’s still a 4th day deck that’s spent a whole day under covers and with the sun shining who knows how it will play. 🤔

    so you reckon i should take my red

    I don’t wanna be that guy mate who tells you what to do. I know cricket but I’m still relatively new to trading test matches. I’m kinda conflicted myself. I’ve taken a small Red personally and will lay the draw but it depends on your situation. If it’s hardly any red then maybe stick around. The night watchman Azzari Joseph is batting with Braithwaite tomorrow morning if they get him early doors the draw price by rights won’t move much at all. However if they get Braithwaite early that will be a big wicket for England and with Shai Hope out of form 2 down could become 3 and if it’s 3 down by lunch chasing 279 or whatever it is to avoid the follow on they’ll be under pressure and the draw price may very well show that also by ballooning out.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to James Woodroffe on last edited by
    #11246

    @james-woodroffe said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:

    @eamonn-hogan said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:

    If West Indies get to 300 tomorrow which Im sure they will, I cant see it not being a draw. I must be missing something.

    Mate they only need a poor first session or if they find themselves at 100-4 the draw odds will shoot out. It’s an interesting one and will be a riveting days play. It’s still a 4th day deck that’s spent a whole day under covers and with the sun shining who knows how it will play. 🤔

    so you reckon i should take my red

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    James WoodroffeJ 1 Reply Last reply
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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #11247

    @eamonn-hogan said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:

    If West Indies get to 300 tomorrow which Im sure they will, I cant see it not being a draw. I must be missing something.

    Mate they only need a poor first session or if they find themselves at 100-4 the draw odds will shoot out. It’s an interesting one and will be a riveting days play. It’s still a 4th day deck that’s spent a whole day under covers and with the sun shining who knows how it will play. 🤔

    E 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #11248

    @eamonn-hogan said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:

    If West Indies get to 300 tomorrow which Im sure they will, I cant see it not being a draw. I must be missing something.

    Likely but not necessarily its not going to be easy for them to get to 270 to avoid the follow on - England need quick wickets tomorrow morning

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    wrote on last edited by
    #11249

    If West Indies get to 300 tomorrow which Im sure they will, I cant see it not being a draw. I must be missing something.

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    ? James WoodroffeJ 2 Replies Last reply
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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    wrote on last edited by
    #11250

    Draw drifted out a bit more. 2.46 to lay now 🙄

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #11251

    @eamonn-hogan said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:

    @james-woodroffe said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:

    Stumps and draw price now 2.14.

    I backed a draw at 2.2, it went down to 2.04. Any idea why its back at 2.34. Surely it will be a draw now?

    Hey Eamonn, I think with it going back out the consensus could be that England are a big chance given the weather over the last two days. I thought the draw backers in Asia might have shortened it more today but the fact it drifted makes me think England are the value with either a win or a good enough performance tomorrow for the draw to balloon out.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #11252

    @chris-osborne fine and sunny for the next two days but we still have 200 overs at least. I think a lay at 2.34 is worth it going into tomorrow especially if England can get Braithwaite cheaply. I’d assume given the situation if England find themselves in a position to enforce the follow on they definitely have to. If that happens we could be in a good spot tomorrow if the draw is laid or England are backed.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #11253

    @eamonn-hogan said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:

    @james-woodroffe said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:

    Stumps and draw price now 2.14.

    I backed a draw at 2.2, it went down to 2.04. Any idea why its back at 2.34. Surely it will be a draw now?

    Depends how much play there is tomorrow - If England bowl WI out cheaply and enforce the follow on then can easily get the win.

    Only two possibe results England win and Draw

    James WoodroffeJ 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to James Woodroffe on last edited by
    #11254

    @james-woodroffe said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:

    Stumps and draw price now 2.14.

    I backed a draw at 2.2, it went down to 2.04. Any idea why its back at 2.34. Surely it will be a draw now?

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    ? James WoodroffeJ 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    wrote on last edited by
    #11255

    Stumps and draw price now 2.14.

    E 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to Nathan Bennett on last edited by
    #11256

    @nathan-bennett said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:

    @james-woodroffe cheers abort all for now until tmr

    I think so mate. Draw price now at 2.04.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    replied to James Woodroffe on last edited by
    #11257

    @james-woodroffe cheers abort all for now until tmr

    James WoodroffeJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to Nathan Bennett on last edited by
    #11258

    @nathan-bennett said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:

    No vision or updates on cricinfo Fired in a draw lay here @2.2 look to get half out @3.4 . What's the feel locally lads total write off today yeah ?

    It’s not flash mate which is probably an understatement.

    Nathan BennettN 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #11259

    No vision or updates on cricinfo Fired in a draw lay here @2.2 look to get half out @3.4 . What's the feel locally lads total write off today yeah ?

    James WoodroffeJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Simji
    wrote on last edited by Simji
    #11260

    My initial lay of England looking to come out when draw drop to around evens and then will wait to lay the draw. If the weather fines up later in the day. Looks like a wet day.

    Same drizzle in the lakes here

    1 Reply Last reply
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