BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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This draw price is a gift lay . Plenty of upside.
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seen twitter a you tube clip met office maybe suggests more play tmr than originally thought ??? still rain forsure ... draw obviously go mental if walk on pitch at 11am tmr
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@jpm said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
109/3. One wicket away from disaster territory
Here we go...
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Draw still hovering around 2.06 and wondering with tomorrow not looking great but better than it was according to the Met Office is it likely to stay around what it has or could a lay now see some post tea movement with wickets?
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109/3. One wicket away from disaster territory
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@richard-futter huge one for run rate
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Another wicket - a vital one at that - and still not much of a market move. Very strange.
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@paul-keighley yeah mate stale as mid third session prob see market move
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@paul-keighley said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Having a little back of England at 2.22. Suns come out, these two getting settled and love batting and should build a partnership. best conditions to bat for a while. Keeping an eye on weather ready to bail/back draw soon as it deteriorates.
not going to bother staying in too long here. England and Draw prices being held up by the doubts about the weather rest of the test match so only WIndies drifting. I don't personally like to lay much at longer odds so will prob leave it for now and look for more opportunities later in the game around the weather.
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Having a little back of England at 2.22. Suns come out, these two getting settled and love batting and should build a partnership. best conditions to bat for a while. Keeping an eye on weather ready to bail/back draw soon as it deteriorates.
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@gary-brown said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Isn’t that just a bet staking money in the runs market?
Isn’t it the same as me saying Liverpool will score 3 goals tonight?
That’s a bet not a trade I think.
I maybe wrong but it seems like a betInteresting debate. I have a reasonable track record of small low lays, based on research and the current match situation. Still hanging back with my main match strategy.
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@gary-brown said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Isn’t that just a bet staking money in the runs market?
Isn’t it the same as me saying Liverpool will score 3 goals tonight?
That’s a bet not a trade I think.
I maybe wrong but it seems like a betSeriously? So if Liverpool score early on you can't trade out and lock in a profit. don't need 3 goals. Do you question people in the football thread laying the draw late in games and letting it run. That's a bet by your definition....
This is also a tradeable market, couple quick wickets and can trade out at a higher price.
Besides, value is value, don't always have to trade out.
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Isn’t that just a bet staking money in the runs market?
Isn’t it the same as me saying Liverpool will score 3 goals tonight?
That’s a bet not a trade I think.
I maybe wrong but it seems like a bet -
@jpm said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Main interest for me is the Eng runs market. It you think Eng could be AO for ~250 runs, there’s massive value.
Can lay Eng at 1.2 for under 250 runs. It’s 22/1 and WI are troubling them. That’s value!
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England being backed again
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@richard-futter mate, excuse my ignorance but when you say market manipulation Is that large back bets being placed in order to keep the prices as we saw them? Or something else? Cheers.
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gotta be robots steaming in at times.., bothways
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@dan-erridge said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
England shortening all the time!
Never before seen that in the opening innings of a Test match. Usually a wicket sees the batting side drift at least 20-30 ticks. Smacks of some market manipulation to me.
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@jpm Agree
