BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@matt-wood said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@jpm said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@matt-wood said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
After watching and following along during the last test I have taken the plunge, small stake, on this one. Laid @ 1.95.
What should we be realistically looking at for an exit?The weather forecast and likely time left in the match. If there’s an extended 3rd session tomorrow evening and the weather forecast isn’t terrible for the rest of the Test, the Draw price could go out a fair bit (I.e. towards 3).
So a case of being patient then and maybe holding for it to go out past 2.5 as a min, circumstances permitting obviously.
Yes, I think those who are patient will be rewarded very well. That’s the beauty of 5 day Test Matches.
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@jpm said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@matt-wood said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
After watching and following along during the last test I have taken the plunge, small stake, on this one. Laid @ 1.95.
What should we be realistically looking at for an exit?The weather forecast and likely time left in the match. If there’s an extended 3rd session tomorrow evening and the weather forecast isn’t terrible for the rest of the Test, the Draw price could go out a fair bit (I.e. towards 3).
So a case of being patient then and maybe holding for it to go out past 2.5 as a min, circumstances permitting obviously.
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@matt-wood said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
After watching and following along during the last test I have taken the plunge, small stake, on this one. Laid @ 1.95.
What should we be realistically looking at for an exit?The weather forecast and likely time left in the match. If there’s an extended 3rd session tomorrow evening and the weather forecast isn’t terrible for the rest of the Test, the Draw price could go out a fair bit (I.e. towards 3).
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@luke-ridger said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
This draw price is a gift lay . Plenty of upside.
I laid it at 2.0 mate hoping to capitalise nicely.
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This draw price is a gift lay . Plenty of upside.
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seen twitter a you tube clip met office maybe suggests more play tmr than originally thought ??? still rain forsure ... draw obviously go mental if walk on pitch at 11am tmr
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@jpm said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
109/3. One wicket away from disaster territory
Here we go...
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Draw still hovering around 2.06 and wondering with tomorrow not looking great but better than it was according to the Met Office is it likely to stay around what it has or could a lay now see some post tea movement with wickets?
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109/3. One wicket away from disaster territory
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@richard-futter huge one for run rate
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Another wicket - a vital one at that - and still not much of a market move. Very strange.
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@paul-keighley yeah mate stale as mid third session prob see market move
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@paul-keighley said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Having a little back of England at 2.22. Suns come out, these two getting settled and love batting and should build a partnership. best conditions to bat for a while. Keeping an eye on weather ready to bail/back draw soon as it deteriorates.
not going to bother staying in too long here. England and Draw prices being held up by the doubts about the weather rest of the test match so only WIndies drifting. I don't personally like to lay much at longer odds so will prob leave it for now and look for more opportunities later in the game around the weather.
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Having a little back of England at 2.22. Suns come out, these two getting settled and love batting and should build a partnership. best conditions to bat for a while. Keeping an eye on weather ready to bail/back draw soon as it deteriorates.
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@gary-brown said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Isn’t that just a bet staking money in the runs market?
Isn’t it the same as me saying Liverpool will score 3 goals tonight?
That’s a bet not a trade I think.
I maybe wrong but it seems like a betInteresting debate. I have a reasonable track record of small low lays, based on research and the current match situation. Still hanging back with my main match strategy.
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@gary-brown said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Isn’t that just a bet staking money in the runs market?
Isn’t it the same as me saying Liverpool will score 3 goals tonight?
That’s a bet not a trade I think.
I maybe wrong but it seems like a betSeriously? So if Liverpool score early on you can't trade out and lock in a profit. don't need 3 goals. Do you question people in the football thread laying the draw late in games and letting it run. That's a bet by your definition....
This is also a tradeable market, couple quick wickets and can trade out at a higher price.
Besides, value is value, don't always have to trade out.
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Isn’t that just a bet staking money in the runs market?
Isn’t it the same as me saying Liverpool will score 3 goals tonight?
That’s a bet not a trade I think.
I maybe wrong but it seems like a bet
