BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@martin-futter I'm an absolutely COMPLETE novice when it comes to trading cricket but have been fascinated by how well Darri and James Woodroffe have been doing on the cricket recently. Having read your strategy on laying the draw, it says that "the draw will often be priced between 3.0 and 4.0". I have just had a look at the next 4 tests on Betfair and they are all priced between 6 and 8. Have I missed something, have things changed, or is it just these particular matches that are much higher prices?
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@sameer said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@sameer said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
having a lay at 1.18 of nz,you never know but still 14 overs to go
removing liabilty at 1.41,let free run trade now
nice work!
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Nerve wracking end to that BBL match. Backed Brisbane in the 10th over but Riley Meredith struck and pushed Brisbane out to something like 3.85 and was hovering around my stop loss. Held my nerve and was being offered 3.6 points green. Took it as Meredith came back into bowl his last over despite having removed liability. Tie was obviously laid and somehow Brisbane conspired to lose and miss the super over by millimetres. Happy with the green the getting out on Meredith last over cost me some more but found it a tough match to read so happy to take some green regardless.
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@sameer said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
having a lay at 1.18 of nz,you never know but still 14 overs to go
removing liabilty at 1.41,let free run trade now
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hmm also light theres one massive cloud haha ... anyway what a test 2/3 on the NZ AUS SA tests for profit #next
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yup 100 balls to duck and dodge done same small round down on draw take if miraculously hits 3 ABORT HIA COULD BE DONE
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having a lay at 1.18 of nz,you never know but still 14 overs to go
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@nathan-bennett said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
cricket at its finest
Draw laying again fruitful
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cricket at its finest
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cheering fast runs or fast wickets ha
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Pak is shortening here,in 7 now,would be drip laying
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Fail in SA .. In NZ could take some nerve Iβm up decent but going to have some on the draw and out @6 and or Paki 4-5 down max for my loss and move on from match .. If draw were to continue to trend south then yeah flip and lay around 4-3
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SA 1.11 ??? SO MUCH CRICKET LEFT worth a lay try double invest before loosing half
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RR amazing
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@nathan-bennett SL potentially down a bowler now also.
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whats up with SA market ? suppose SRI only 9 wickets second inns ? small back of draw at mo .. 4's - 3.6's be swell
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Lay of Australia at 1.74 before play has worked out nicely with all liability removed with the Aussies at 3.80 leaving me in a good green position.
Greened up at Centurion before laying the draw again at 3.80.
The Kiwi test and after backing the draw at 4.80 itβs hardly moved so looking for a good morning session from Pakistan. So far so good and letβs see if the big bash presents any opportunities today. -
Taken 4.5 draw NZ PAKI .. more angles later NZ big total looming
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merry xmas all etc . aus india market scenario feels about right at the mo now squared off see how india perform today could be some great trading mainly swing trades for 30-40c gain styles unclear exact approach but would be tempting to lay india around 1.8 ... NZ PAKI been on the draw for a bit feels as tho draw will shorten obviously not sure how short but think the run rates the factor two of nz most solid currently at the crease looking to bat long 4.0 be ideal to reduce liability perhaps