BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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intriguing stuff cheers @James-Woodroffe ... My t20 approach going to try keep as simple as possible .
Looking to enter around the 14th over first innings
If think the favs price can be beaten by close of innings I'll fire in a lay
At the break if I think my position is a winning one I'll hold onto my trade slowly remove risk in stages
If goes pear shape then likely exit with loss of half my stake max -
@chris-osborne I’m not a fan mate to be honest but we will wait and see I guess.
The BBL suffers from big names so I guess they looking to keep it fresh and relevant as it battles with the A League also for fans during that time. -
@james-woodroffe Kind of my thoughts as well especially towards the end of the League games where teams battling to get into play offs might just be happy to take a point even if they lose the game
Be interesting to see how it plays out, its not a move I'm in favour of unless you have two set batsmen to take advantage of the floating two power play overs, essentially devalues the Power play at the start of a game in my opinion. Although these innovations have to be tested in live situations and fair playto them for trying these ideas.
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Also I didn’t make the spreadsheet it’s way beyond my capabilities but after finding it thought it would be something we could all benefit from and hopefully it’s green inducing.
There’s also a great article today on Cricinfo about the numbers behind successful IPL run chases which highlights where teams ideally need to be after 10 overs. It might help to assess other T20 matches and where teams are at after 10 overs. -
@chris-osborne I’m wondering if the Power Burst or whatever it’s called will see sides chasing big targets settle for 1 point after 10 overs in particular the weaker sides like Brisbane who are heavily dependent on their top order. Also are teams just going to take the 2nd part of the powerplay in the last 2 overs of their innings or stick to just having overs 5,6 extensions to the powerplay.
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@james-woodroffe This is excellent James.
Any thoughts on how the rule changes for BBL will impact anything?
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@james-woodroffe thanks for this!
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https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1jOAyw44UrZdpsljXo4RJx3plqvpaR7edG_zzWhqplrg/htmlview
I thought this might be helpful for anyone intending to trade the BBL this year which of course starts tomorrow morning.
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@nathan-bennett I love players with swagger who think their s**t doesn’t stink and thrive in moments like that. The guy is a serious talent.
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@james-woodroffe 100% him and maxwell just make ya loads
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Who needs the ODI’s when you have Pandya. Nice 4.5 points green to kickstart the day. It potentially could have been more but played it a little conservative than I should have but happy.
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SA vs ENG match abandoned
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Welcome back test cricket.
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almost done with this test for now ... if follow on inforced might lay NZ try and get 10 ticks and be done with ot all if WI go 2 down early .. good return
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@sameer said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Drip laying from 2.85,
How's forecast for remaining days guys?nice start back to test matches,draw 11 now, removing liability
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clouds around balls moving bang bang bang early
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Draw price in the test now into 2.58 time for the Black Caps to get hussling on moving day.
2.44 now an hour before play. -
@rachel-murray changed the complexion of a few of our days that news.
