BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Looks unlikely that the weather will intervene in Dharamsala, and I reckon we'll be pretty safe laying the draw if it dips under 5.
There has only been one Test played a this ground against the picturesque backdrop of the snow covered Himalayas, and that was all of seven years ago, but it was a pretty low scoring game with the Aussies skittled out very cheaply in their second innings.
It wouldn't be hard to imagine England suffering a similar fate on the evidence of recent matches, and despite talk of the teams fielding more seamers, I fully expect the lion's share of wickets to go to the spinners.
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Draw price now going up, looks to be warming up after Thursday (as per BBC weather)
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@Stephen-Hancox Yep, dont think ive ever seen a game where snow stopped play. However, it seems that pitch is going to be seamer friendly.
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@Nathan-Bennett I'm not getting involved just yet, too much unknown as it stands for me.
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Are we draw loading IND ENG
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@Stuart-Wallace Weird isn't it, also frost might be a factor first thing according to BBC weather
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Seems like IND V ENG 5th test could be affected by snow.
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NZ AUS
AUS LAY 1.11
See where this takes me
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Change of INNS took half back 1.18 -
NZ AUS
Draw lay 2.9 taken stake half stake back 9.2 Incase another angle to fire with -
u10's piece of cricket that by Kane
Nice for the draw lay tho thanks -
@Stuart-Wallace just reading this . i've re layed more at change of INNS here
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day 5 the rain day if any -
AFG v IRE - got a large lay on IRE at 1.61. Seems like pitch is playing easier, and also IRE have to bat last on maybe day 4 when spin gets to be problematic.
Also, took out all my liability on LTD (all for 5 pounds !) -
@Nathan-Bennett any views on LTD which is, imo, incredible value at 5.2. However,possible weather later?
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NZ AUS
Was busy working to message
But draw lay in the 2's was pretty much a dont think just bet lay -
@Stuart-Wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
AFG V IRE going nicely already for LTD - already up to 34 !
So much for spinners taking the wickets - all 7 of AFG wickets to fall have been to seamers.
so much for AFG batting 1st and doing anything. The draw shot up to 9.0 pre off so i waited for the 1st hour expecting a tumble, but not quite that fast, by the time i checked, draw was already too high.
Lesson for next time, just queue at 5, game was never ending in a draw rather than waiting for better odds incase AFG actually got a start.
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I filled up on LTD too. Waiting for low odds either team to scalp a bit using the green
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AFG V IRE going nicely already for LTD - already up to 34 !
So much for spinners taking the wickets - all 7 of AFG wickets to fall have been to seamers.
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@Fraser-cord UAE always a spinners paradise - dry, dusty pitches.
I notice this is being played at Tolerance Oval which seems to be a different ground to the usual Abu Dhabi ground - however you would expect similar pitch conditions.
/looking at the other grounds Test results, there has been 1 draw in 10 Tests. Although looking at last 2 games there, AFG scored 540-4 in first innings but all out for 180ish in first innings in 2nd - and they were just a week apart !
Ultimately, my view is that IRE will be blown away by mystery spinners.
If AFG bat first then could see draw price contracting somewhat, however if IRE bat first then lump on LTD. IMO. -
@Stuart-Wallace Initially looked well ahead and saw days 4/5 in some rain threat but seams to of eased a fraction, hoped for a market stuff up and draw to high but seems on the mark early . I'll be in touch with my old man whos close ish to the city get a brief on weather . radar as per be greatest guide
I suspect when footage first shows pitch we'll see mass green . draw could spike however maybe chances to back to lay draw if gets too high when green wears off and potential for batting to become easier (non more so when NZ beat ENG after being forced to follow on-thought would bring that up ha) so .., if any rain forecast on or from the middle days say 2/3 draw could become real
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A def early watch / observation of play before entries me think -
@Stuart-Wallace market is up now, draw comparable to the NZ test.
Does anyone know much about AFG or IRE in tests, or this UAE pitch?
If weather holds, seems unlikely both sides can bat for 5 days. I'm guessing the AFG spinners could be quite dangerous?
