BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Got to lay Aus here at around 2.... wickets surely have to be a good bet in these conditions
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@David-Milligan Hi David. I never set targets at all because I think sometimes it will result in getting out of a position too soon, and at other times it will mean hanging on for too long and allowing the market to turn against you.
Take the Sri Lanka match which finished yesterday for instance. For me, the draw price around 3.5 was ridiculously low and sure enough after a couple of wickets the price was out to 6 or 7. But it was obvious SL were now throwing in the towel, so it made sense just to allow it to run and take maximum profits.
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@Richard-Futter @Nathan-Bennett @Stuart-Wallace what return on your stake do you aim for? Is 25% back on the liability a reasonable point to exit or do you just judge based on how the match is going?
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Not watching sadly but am going to the Oval Tomo! Can't wait
If the pitch is bowler friendly the odds are suggesting 250 plus would be par/decent I'd say. If Eng can get a couple of partnerships...
Can't be sure till both teams have batted on it eh!
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ENG LAY for me is on
Was tempted when saw odds on but hardly moved in 3 wickets
2.36 involved will again if odds onthis trade i have in mind whats happening right now and conditions tmr if aus are batting
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@Nathan-Bennett yep just laid Eng at 2.34
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@Richard-Futter starting to think ENG price is verrrrrrrrrrrrrrry rock bottom
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@Nathan-Bennett Yeah. Odds quite strange with England around 2.4 despite being three wickets down and could have been much worse but for 2 and a half dropped catches.
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draw only 6 three down
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@David-Milligan Yeah, i have, rude not to with Bazball and odds under 5. To me its a given.
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Anyone pulled the trigger on the draw lay yet? Tempted to wait it out the next hour, as @Richard-Futter says if the English batsmen can weather the next wee while the draw odds should come in a bit.
Another slice of luck for Crawley - could be two down!
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Lucky there. Warner doesn't miss those too often. With the effects of the heavy roller and the laquer on the ball both wearing off, the next hour is the real danger time.
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I see AUS have picked Harry Potter.
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Noman taken all 6 wickets for PAK so far
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Yep, what do i know !
Exited from that Lay and have gone the other way, expecting Duckett to be hanging his bat out giving slip fielding practice. -
@Stuart-Wallace classic bowling
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@Stuart-Wallace yeah easy money that draw lay wasn't it!
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Have taken a Lay of AUS, based on likelihood they will, regardless of toss , bat first. And Warner is a walking wicket .
OH well, what do i know !
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Looks like the weather could play a part in proceedings at The Oval over the next five days; drizzle looks likely today and, at the moment, the forecast for Monday does not look good.
Will be interesting to see if that again leads Stokes to put the Aussies in to bat if he wins the toss for the fifth consecutive match.
Tomorrow looks like being a completely clear day, overcast and warm which should make it a good bowling day, so I reckon it's a 50-50 call whether to bat or bowl today.
If the Aussies bat first I'm happy to lay them or the draw, because England have to win this match - a draw is no use to them whatsoever - and they'll be champing at the bit to roll them over. The Aussie top order still looks vulnerable - especially Warner.
Only one of the last 15 matches at The Oval have been drawn, although I do have to say they're usually played in much drier conditions.
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SRI v PAK Draw coming along nicely. Looking to green up should there be 2 more wickets today.
