BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Crazy market, especially considering we're unlikely to have any play after 3pm
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have exited Draw for time being - expecting rain all afternoon. Have backed LTD.
Scenario: rain all afternoon, so OZ would need 310 in 1 day - are they up for it? Either weather beats them, or they simply bat out the day and take the 2-1 series win without taking chances? or ENG bowl them out .Also chance of a bit of further rain tomorrow - so, laying AUS is likely a big oppo imo.
What do you think? -
draw laying in ........, at the sign of rain and market reaction . but gees saw dip into 5's almost be automatic
Some handy action there
Back laying AUS 2.7’s see if correct move
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@Richard-Futter AUS lay at 2.4...seems ridiculous price!!
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Wicket coming
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In at 3.3 too. Leaving it there for now.
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Aus price crashing so quickly. That carries on they'll be odds on by lunch if no wickets. Madness.
I had greened up but have re-laid at 3.5 and will do so again at 3, 2.5, 2 etc depending on how far it goes before the collapse.
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@Matt-Ayles C&B
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Anyone else hoping Broad gets Warner one last time?
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4.4 AUS LAY me . Prob attempt some low lay swings on wickets
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And a little more at 4.7
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Layed at 5.2.
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@Richard-Futter baffling
- That'll be why. Obviously.
- That'll be why. Obviously.
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Not taking singles. Very odd!
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I like a lay of the Aussies, and a spot of drip laying if the price drops from 6 looks sound value to me. For one thing the rain is likely to arrive around lunchtime and the price is bound to drift if that's right, and I've seen nothing from the Aussie batsmen all series to convince me they're at all likely to make a score of this magnitude.
On past evidence, if there's no wicket in three or four overs the Aussie price will probably contract quite quickly, giving even better value.
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@Nathan-Bennett good point I tend to look at cricket more as check in now and then for obvious opportunities while I'm trading the footy and horses.
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@Martin agree with you even if aus were to do the ultimate chase that price will still be there some point later in the INNS as wickets fall time elapses etc
So
Laying aus nothing wrong with that now shutting laptop off and go for a walk ha same with draw layersBit of green to work with me
Most green on the aus back at the mo
Looking to lay them tho at a lower price haAlso happy lay England if two early poles at a stupid low price for a swing
Can’t wait
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@Nathan-Bennett do they get unlimited wickets though? It's more the total I am thinking is high
Like I say of course they could win, I would price this conservatively at 20 and 20 shots win every day on horse racing. Still for me it's a value lay.
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AUS need 2.1 ish runs and over to win if no rain
Prob why price so low
Day 4 and 5 swings inbound -
@David-Milligan joint 8th highest run chase in history, 100+ runs more than the record at this ground. Yeah I'll take that win or lose at 4.9!
