BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@Richard-Futter I also am absolutely gobsmacked by the amount of people prepared to back the draw in Tests. My thoughts are that maybe its scalpers trying to clip a few ticks, but ultimately, historically its a doomed long term strategy. Also, maybe BOTS where they havnt been programmed to deal with variables of weather,pitch,match ups etc.
As you, i'm not complaining.! -
Ok, Now on to next Ashes test starts on Wed 28th.
Weather looks good for all 5 days apart from a bit of rain on 2nd day morning.
Draw price currently at 5.9 , which looks a bit high, and may have a small 'correction' on 2nd morning.
Both sets of openers look very vulnerable (Khawaja apart) - i get the feeling that a similar type of pitch is
going to be prepared which will negate the likes of Anderson - however, if there is lateral movement, then obviously Jimmy will
come into his own.
To me, Lay the batting side for first hour of first morning or so then re-assess.Be aware of my earlier comments about Lords having a history history of draws with some 11 out of last 32 games drawn - ok, this is a large sample size, and recent developments such as Bazball has reduced the percentage in recent years.
One other thing about Lords (which is probably why there have been so many draws) is that the pitch tends to flatten out the further into the game, so, days 3,4 and 5 are still good tracks. -
Good profits there. Australia deserved winners although, as I thought before a ball was bowled, they were definitely too short at 1.6. And as it turned out they did trade as high as 10.
Also once again the draw traded way way too low. To be odds on after just two days was a ridiculous price. Never ceases to amaze me how many people are prepared to back the draw in five day Tests, whether men or women. I guess it's so easy to assume the match will carry on in the same fashion throughout the whole 5 days, but 9 times out of 10 that doesn't happen.
One does need to have patience - and of course there will come a time when it doesn't pay off - but generally speaking LTD in Test matches where the rain is not a major factor is the goose that just keeps on laying those golden eggs.
Time now to look ahead to what should be another cracking Ashes match at Lord's in just a couple of days. Can't wait.
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$$$$
Onto weds hurry up
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That stumping unreal
come on ENG sick aussie W winning everything -
AUS LAY 1.33 see what happens for a bit
10er on the draw @1000
block it up girls ha
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Anyone considering a back of Australia should the market drift? At what point does the price appeal? Given this is a huge chase that pretty much relies on Wyatt, does 1.8 or 2.0 etc become a back?
Its moved from 1.36 to 1.5 after just a few overs...
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What a fill up this test how good
Tiny back bet on draw 170
May even lay aus tiny on next wicket if it’s Kate cross out see if can double that trade -
@Richard-Kedie that's what we love to hear well done!
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The last week has been my most profitable of all time , with profit on BAN v AFG, ENG v AUS and ENG W v AUS W.
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@Richard-Kedie said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Just want to say a big thank you to all who have posted throughout this test, your insights have been invaluable to me. Just getting into cricket trading and now greened up for 102% of original stake. Got next week off, so really looking forward to Lords.
One thing to be aware of is that some venues historically have a higher percentage of draws than others .... Lords is one of them....Sydney and Antigua being others off the top of my head.
However, Bazball is almost a money printing machine for LTD, but i wont be entering the market til ive seen at least the first 8 overs. -
Just want to say a big thank you to all who have posted throughout this test, your insights have been invaluable to me. Just getting into cricket trading and now greened up for 102% of original stake. Got next week off, so really looking forward to Lords.
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been working since 12.00, just ome home to Kerching !
Lovely, pub might get a visit tonight ! -
Now is indeed the time to cash out. Basically full green now. Well done everyone!
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@Terry-Heller There is plenty of profit to be made for us novices too. The experts on here have been a great guide to me so far, but the patterns are reasonably quick to pick up once you know what to look for.
I've only followed a few games now but the swings in the draw with wickets is bonkers. And despite how docile a pitch, session looks, its amazing how quickly a couple of wickets fall and the draw price fly's through the roof.
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Layed that at 1.67. First cricket trade. Slow but worth waiting for!
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As this was my first cricket trade I was a bit worried when every time I layed the draw the price continued to drop.
The English girls either bowled really well or the pitch isnt being kind to the batsmen.
Either way it's a good feeling to have all outcomes green at last. -
@Fraser-cord said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Hello all. How are we feeling about the draw? I know almost nothing about woman's cricket. My concern is either sides ability to bowl the other out. Clearly England have just ripped though them there, but not seen much of that up until now.
Are we confident the Aussies will declare above a 300 lead if they get there, making a win for both sides possible?
Clearly cancel that question. I went away at the tea break for 45 mins and return to almost disbelief. Like @David-Milligan, greened up for almost all my profit, happy days!!!
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Pleasing
