BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@james-woodroffe Thanks James, that's really helpful. I'll probably keep an eye on it to start trying to add another string to my bow (particularly after last night's Liverpool debacle!). Anyway, thanks for your time, well done with your brilliant results and happy new year!
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@alastair-todd hey mate, I can’t speak for Martin obviously but your question is a good one. I think and I could well be wrong that it is slightly old but also if you’re talking tests in England where weather can be a factor then yes you’ll get the draw at those odds before a match. However if you’re talking the Southern Hemisphere at this time of year the prices you’re seeing are pretty accurate mate. Hardly any rain drastically reduces the chances of a draw and sometimes given the match ups that makes sense. The key to laying the draw in tests is just waiting and if you can get 4’s give or take late on day 2 or early day 3 then awesome. Some tests don’t give you that option to lay the draw but they are a bit rare as you only need 1 team to bat really well to see that price come in. For example the last Aus v India test didn’t really give a LTD option but the tests in SA and NZ threw up a couple. I hope that makes sense, Martin will let us know if I missed something but the 3 tests starting next week those draw prices are about right but it’s 5 days and crazy stuff happens on a well prepared pitch.
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@martin-futter I'm an absolutely COMPLETE novice when it comes to trading cricket but have been fascinated by how well Darri and James Woodroffe have been doing on the cricket recently. Having read your strategy on laying the draw, it says that "the draw will often be priced between 3.0 and 4.0". I have just had a look at the next 4 tests on Betfair and they are all priced between 6 and 8. Have I missed something, have things changed, or is it just these particular matches that are much higher prices?
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@sameer said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@sameer said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
having a lay at 1.18 of nz,you never know but still 14 overs to go
removing liabilty at 1.41,let free run trade now
nice work!
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Nerve wracking end to that BBL match. Backed Brisbane in the 10th over but Riley Meredith struck and pushed Brisbane out to something like 3.85 and was hovering around my stop loss. Held my nerve and was being offered 3.6 points green. Took it as Meredith came back into bowl his last over despite having removed liability. Tie was obviously laid and somehow Brisbane conspired to lose and miss the super over by millimetres. Happy with the green the getting out on Meredith last over cost me some more but found it a tough match to read so happy to take some green regardless.
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@sameer said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
having a lay at 1.18 of nz,you never know but still 14 overs to go
removing liabilty at 1.41,let free run trade now
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hmm also light theres one massive cloud haha ... anyway what a test 2/3 on the NZ AUS SA tests for profit #next
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yup 100 balls to duck and dodge done same small round down on draw take if miraculously hits 3 ABORT HIA COULD BE DONE
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having a lay at 1.18 of nz,you never know but still 14 overs to go
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@nathan-bennett said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
cricket at its finest
Draw laying again fruitful
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cricket at its finest
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cheering fast runs or fast wickets ha
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Pak is shortening here,in 7 now,would be drip laying
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Fail in SA .. In NZ could take some nerve I’m up decent but going to have some on the draw and out @6 and or Paki 4-5 down max for my loss and move on from match .. If draw were to continue to trend south then yeah flip and lay around 4-3
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SA 1.11 ??? SO MUCH CRICKET LEFT worth a lay try double invest before loosing half
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RR amazing
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@nathan-bennett SL potentially down a bowler now also.
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whats up with SA market ? suppose SRI only 9 wickets second inns ? small back of draw at mo .. 4's - 3.6's be swell
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Lay of Australia at 1.74 before play has worked out nicely with all liability removed with the Aussies at 3.80 leaving me in a good green position.
Greened up at Centurion before laying the draw again at 3.80.
The Kiwi test and after backing the draw at 4.80 it’s hardly moved so looking for a good morning session from Pakistan. So far so good and let’s see if the big bash presents any opportunities today.
