BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Any thoughts on the draw price for NZ vs ENG. Trying to decide how far it could come in if the conditions are batter friendly like the reports suggest.
I definitely feel ENG aggressive style and scoring rate make a draw so unlikely, no weather issues and 1 draw in past 10 years which lost a day for rain.
Wondering if it gets to/below 5 with a few partnerships.
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Gosh this ENG approach is mental. Thought they might play with a little caution until the pitch flattens
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Just up, so it was wickets galore then. So much for this being a great batting deck and lots of runs from lunch onwards Alistair Cook
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AUS v IND W
AUS LAY 1.06 till end of INNS and or 1.12 for some back
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Useless team India ffs -
@Stephen-Hancox yeh can't see this going 5 days now. Forecast is 24 and sunny tomorrow. So I thought good day 3 batting and better batting day on day 4, this could get close with NZ capable to put up a decent score in favourable conditions. Clearly not.
Yet again, LTD proves profitable though.
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I managed to queue up and match some draw lays at average 9 overnight, looking good now, will let that ride as 2 days left and weather looks good.
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@Nathan-Bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
NZ ENG
Time to LAY ENG me thinks
ENG LAY 1.68
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Also aborted this at a small loss for meantimeYesterday seems like a day of near misses. Was going to take some draw if it dipped below 7, nearly did.
But looked a decent day to bat so thought I'd wake up with Kiwi's ahead maybe 3 down. So plenty of opportunities to come on day 4.Instead, all but done unless something special comes from the tail.
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@Nathan-Bennett I miss a good bit of kiwi slang. Cheers for the memory
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NZ ENG
Time to LAY ENG me thinks
ENG LAY 1.68
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Also aborted this at a small loss for meantime -
NZ ENG
NZ LAY 1.46
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Taken some 2.08 NZ
Green up soon like my position
Probably when either pope brook in the 90’s
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Greened up 2.42 NZ
Happy with this after two daysNZ dropping catches mental
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NEK MINNIT PHILLIPS CATCH OF THE YEAR -
SA SRI
Feel obliged here 1.04 looks stupid
SA LAY 1.04
Stake back at 1.08 for sure -
NZ ENG
DRAW BACKED @15.5 av price
Flip @8’s thinking
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Chipped away drip lays before second wicket
Decided that will do first hour
Take the cash
Greened @12
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NZ LAY 1.61
Hopefully see 2.2’s before ENG bat be nice -
I'm struggling to read draw markets at the moment. Generally any starting price above 10 is high, but of late we are getting them 15+. But my bigger concern is how slowly they are dropping into single figures.
Last AUS test was wild but would expect draw to come in from 5 overs onwards if no wickets fall. But was instances of ENG vs WI in the summer when it didn't move at all after 15 despite WI scoring very slowly. I see NZ draw has come in quite a bit today. I backed the AUS draw in 1st test expecting the same and it shot out. So not confident what will happen.
Only move I'm certain on is LTD if no weather issues. Just trying to find an acceptable price incase things go wrong. I always aim for 5.0 but am definitely pricing myself out. So going to be increasing that given how high the draw keeps trading.
Thought WI vs BAN had a genuine chance at a draw but after 3 days was still trading at 7 despite little to suggest wickets would come, and was still over with ages to spare. And that venue is draw central.
Hope I'm wrong but maybe the markets starting to realise draws so unlikely.
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@Jonathan-McDaid It's a bit way off for me to assess. I ensure draw price is below 10 before I take a nibble on laying. Starts 6th Dec I think so early next week I'll assess and also check weather etc ask time goes on.
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NZ ENG
Gets underway tmr morning
Pretty keen to Back the draw for a swing if NZ bat first
Monitor angles as the test unfolds -
Upcoming test Aus v Ind in Adelaide is a day night test and the pink ball is a guarantee for wickets, no rain around and weather in the 30's. The draw is currently at 12.50 what is everyones thoughts on a play ?
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PAK ZIM
ZIM RUNS Backed over 154
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Dumb ha
These lose almost everytime i post -
AUS IND
IND 1.03 LAY
See if can get 10 ticks -
@Tony-Hastie predictive text again, was supposed to be 40 all out!!!
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@Fraser-cord so much for 40-0
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@Nathan-Bennett oh man. Was up at 5am and only 14 was taken. So didn't queue below 10. Was expecting to wake up at 7 with price maybe close to 10, not in 20s!
Had to take a small loss now as India look like they will declare FFS.
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@Stephen-Hancox surely impossible chase
the went into 7's think
