The road to full time
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This post is deleted!
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@darri said in The road to full time:
Team news in for tonight, here is my trades/bets for the game:
Aubameyang 1 or more shots on target
There we go that was nice and quick
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@darri said in The road to full time:
LTD for today:
Hacken (sweden)
Nice start to the week for these
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Team news in for tonight, here is my trades/bets for the game:
Aubameyang 1 or more shots on target
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I backed 3 golfers over the weekend, all 3 dobbed (50% price drop)
Hatton @56, Smith @40 and Woodland @240
All 3 finished in the top 20. This is starting to really firm a thought process and selection plan i have in mind for these. Still early but just looking to build the foundations to it. If im getting these results it opens up more than just dobbing, an each way here would have been a huge return
Not adding to the sheet as was just min stakes and testing
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LTD for today:
Hacken (sweden)
Iv a few bets/trades to come for the arsenal game but waiting on team news first
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@darri said in The road to full time:
@darri said in The road to full time:
No LTDs today, but there is an overnight one in the MLS:
Vancouver vs KC
Loads hitting the criteria just none hitting the right odds.
Nice to wake up to a winner
been a cracking weekendWell done mate. Also thanks for the kick up the backside again.
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@darri said in The road to full time:
No LTDs today, but there is an overnight one in the MLS:
Vancouver vs KC
Loads hitting the criteria just none hitting the right odds.
Nice to wake up to a winner
been a cracking weekend -
@jonathan-busch congrats on providing one superb post that sums up exactly how i view trading and bringing the cricket geek in me out, keep everything simple and become a master of them. The more detailed we go the less we can manage it, too many outcomes, the more refined yet simple our approach the better grasp we have on control. We find a narrow niche that is simple just reduces risks as the less things we need to control the better we can trade it. I hope you have seen that over the course of this blog, this right here is exactly what i want people to get out of my trading/posts.
Each day that goes by i become an even better trader, in fact every trade i become better. Each game is another data entry and builds yet more understanding. Never just think here is my strategy, this is it forever. It should always be conforming with the new data that you have built over the years. While many will view me as a "pro" i dont believe anyone has yet reached that level, but one could say im a "pro" or have a good grasp of certain niches in the markets. Iv found some good niches in the markets that id like to think im an expert on, the rest fascinates me but doesnt interest me. If its not improving my current strats or my understanding its irrelevant and doesnt add value. Its why im a broken record but mastering one thing at a time is the key to all this. That page you have quoted can be related to almost everything in life, just dont expect it to be overnight success, dont try to be too ground breaking "golden system" just do the basics but do them well. Some late night ramblings but worth a good reply as loved that quoted page.
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@darri )
Hey Darri
I have been reading "Hitting against the Spin" (for the 2nd time) to help with my understanding of cricket to ultimately help with my cricket trading. This page resonated with me with what we are trying to achieve with trading. The Pros (especially Ryan
) keep telling us to keep it simple. But to get to simplicity, we have to unpack everything and then pack it back up again -
@darri I did this when takeover happened mangee to scalp the market
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Having a small dabble in the newcastle manager market. That atmosphere was toxic today. Not exactly the good image they want around the new takeover. Looking at the managers iv tried to think of managers who are pretty much ready to step in.
Howe/Gerrard/Fonseca/Martinez
Small dabble please dont make this a newcastle thread on debate them just my own value plays/media speculation.
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@darri Don’t get me wrong. There is always something in what you say. Depends where people are. Doesn’t do any harm to be bought up short sometimes. I like realising I don’t know everything. Keeps me grounded. In other news. COYS
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@john-folan Thanks mate, really appreciate this. Iv got myself in a pickle before with those assumptions, id assume thats why some didnt like what i was posting or have had a dig before. Martin said a while back im becoming more diplomatic in how to word things/when to comment etc. Im only ever trying to come from a good place, seeing things like this makes it worthwhile even if its not you im helping directly. If i can help one or two people then its all worth it. I wouldnt be the trader i am now if it wasnt for taking in what others have said on here, so just looking at what actually helped me and then sharing.
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@darri said in The road to full time:
@daniel-cooper patience its only just gone 6pm, let me type
No LTDs today, but there is an overnight one in the MLS:
Vancouver vs KC
Loads hitting the criteria just none hitting the right odds.
Hahahaha eager beaver
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@darri said in The road to full time:
Speaking to a few traders of late, common theme kept coming up. My strike rate is x so i must be on these odds. We have become so s/r obsessed. The reason for that is because of these high strike rate intensive strategies that everyone is using. We have veered away from why we have consistent traders and thats VALUE! Remember the markets are priced according to a probability of an event happening. Sometimes we see people building strats that just match that. In the end they will have good and bad runs, some stage think they are cracking the markets and then boom back to the mean. We trade on edges not just strike rates. Please understand if you are using strike rates alone then make sure its a significant edge/significant gap between the probability the markets set. Remember you lot value wins, not just lumping money and hoping it works. Just feel that is growing increasingly more apparent to me that some are becoming trapped into that thinking. Remember these high strike rate strats all it takes is a few losses and you need to be on top of your mindset or youll just never get going in the right direction. Remember if it was easy people with far bigger banks would be on this. You have to work at it a long time t get good. Its not a get rich quick thing. Slow and steady and learn. Dont get down and just be defeatist, find out why you are losing, work at it. Its all about growth and building your skills and knowledge. Remember trading isnt for everyone but if you want to crack at it give it time and effort. If you are just trading the pros strats your fine right now. If you are trying to do your own, remember your trying to tackle the pros. You need to put in the same effort they do/did. Just wanted to post this as seen a few people get into ruts of late and i have that "hero" complex that im trying not to fix them, but guide them instead.
Hands up time. I used to think you were a bit of a know it all. But you try and help so many people it’s ridiculous. Always looking to pitch in and point people in the right direction. I now ALWAYS read your thread. There are so many snippets of helpful information and you are one of the few people who gets me thinking about my own trading and mindset. I don’t agree with all of it as it doesn’t suit me all the time. But even then I can see how it helps others in their trading journeys. I’ve saved the post this is attached to as I wish someone had said this to me when I was starting. You are a good bloke Darri. Just keep doing what you do
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@daniel-cooper patience its only just gone 6pm, let me type
No LTDs today, but there is an overnight one in the MLS:
Vancouver vs KC
Loads hitting the criteria just none hitting the right odds.
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How are those LTD’s looking Darri?
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Speaking to a few traders of late, common theme kept coming up. My strike rate is x so i must be on these odds. We have become so s/r obsessed. The reason for that is because of these high strike rate intensive strategies that everyone is using. We have veered away from why we have consistent traders and thats VALUE! Remember the markets are priced according to a probability of an event happening. Sometimes we see people building strats that just match that. In the end they will have good and bad runs, some stage think they are cracking the markets and then boom back to the mean. We trade on edges not just strike rates. Please understand if you are using strike rates alone then make sure its a significant edge/significant gap between the probability the markets set. Remember you lot value wins, not just lumping money and hoping it works. Just feel that is growing increasingly more apparent to me that some are becoming trapped into that thinking. Remember these high strike rate strats all it takes is a few losses and you need to be on top of your mindset or youll just never get going in the right direction. Remember if it was easy people with far bigger banks would be on this. You have to work at it a long time t get good. Its not a get rich quick thing. Slow and steady and learn. Dont get down and just be defeatist, find out why you are losing, work at it. Its all about growth and building your skills and knowledge. Remember trading isnt for everyone but if you want to crack at it give it time and effort. If you are just trading the pros strats your fine right now. If you are trying to do your own, remember your trying to tackle the pros. You need to put in the same effort they do/did. Just wanted to post this as seen a few people get into ruts of late and i have that "hero" complex that im trying not to fix them, but guide them instead.
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I do have some LTDs today but they are price dependant right now and hovering. So ill wait closer to kickoff. Ill post these around 6pm tonight. Today ill likely only be trading the live games on sky
ill post on the football thread if i do. Also cricket is here, so ill have a few posted on here when i can.
