The road to full time

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LTDs for today:

Kashiwa (japan)
Aue (germany)
Zlin (czech)
Akhmat (russia)
Rennes (france)

Great day yesterday on these with 8/9 winning, hopefully rest of month builds on that

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fair play great day

thanks for sharing
Paul

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8/9 LTD trades land today, hope some got on

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I just had a chat with a fellow trader and have been told that he overstaked on the challenge bet series i just started to post. I start these things sometimes without thinking of consequence and just think its a bit of fun for myself. It should have been on my mind to move away from bets/trades not attached to my own trading bank. I sometimes fail to remember that i have a fairly decent weight of influence on peoples trading and what they do with money. With that in mind please if you see my posts in future just stick to my tried and tested stuff. Ill keep the fun bets away from the site, only want to bring value.

Dont worry if you just use my trades on here and football thread youll make more than enough bank to compound

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@darri said in The road to full time:

Goalscorers:

Brentford vs Norwich:

Toney 2.14
Mbeumo 3.0

Total outlay 2 points for this one

Poor show from this, funny day for me, will take a back seat rest of day come back tomorrow

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Goalscorers:

Brentford vs Norwich:

Toney 2.14
Mbeumo 3.0

Total outlay 2 points for this one

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£100 - £1k challenge series:

https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/3056/100-1k-challenge

Get onboard of you like, bit of fun but will also become my bank for outrights so im incentivised to want this to succeed. Dont think anyone should have the excuse with this forum etc to be on min stakes.

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My LTDs:

Piast (poland)
Bate (belarus)
Senica (slovakia)
Ceske (czech)
Barsnsley (england)
Besiktas (turkey)
Mechelen (belgium)
Alaves (spain)

Fairly big list, please be sensible with these. There are no other set and forgets today. Iv a planned goalscorer trade but need team news first but will post when on.

Iv also been thinking about a bank builder series using unique bets/trades, iv seen many people talk about how they start with sub £100 and are still on min stakes. Was thinking of a £100-£1k challenge speedrun. Might put up a quick series.

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@darri said in The road to full time:

Final post of tonight:

LTD:
Kobe (japan)

Its early in morning so posting now, the whole reason we are building a set and forget strat is for this reason right? Hopefully one to wake upto with a win

Good start

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Final post of tonight:

LTD:
Kobe (japan)

Its early in morning so posting now, the whole reason we are building a set and forget strat is for this reason right? Hopefully one to wake upto with a win

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With those games today it brings up another batch of 100 games of data for the LTD. This current version of the LTD which i have no intention of tweaking apart from leagues in future has produced these results:

Trades = 100
Wins = 84
S/R = 84%
Avg odds = 3.59
P/L = 40.52 points/% of bank

If the next 100 is this good or better ill be very happy like iv been saying holding myself accountable is what separates me from others, a full behind the scenes of all my trades, with up to date results is key to all this, otherwise there is almost no point to this blog. Lets keep building this and the people following the blog, hopefully these continue to build banks and the blog builds traders

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Up and down day:

Ltds: 3/4, a 89th min equaliser small profit on them overall tho

Over1.5: 1/1 nice to see these start well

Goalscorer: Villa could have played another 90 and not score, bad trade

Inplay: SHG in the villa game, southampton looked likely to counter them, lost that when armstrong came off, still happy with this trade tho

Overall good mindset about today. Small loss overall and we move into a busy last weekend before int break. Hope to see a nice green results sheet come monday

Thought id post this for accountability, even i have losing days, hope the transparency helps

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Goalscorers

Southampton vs Villa:

Watkins 3.6

Total outlay is 1pt

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My Daily Selections:

LTD:
Chindia (romania)
Holstein K (germany)
Empoli (italy)
St Pats (ireland)

Ov 1.5:
Empoli (italy)

As you can see started to add 1.5s into the mix. Hopefully a good addition to the set and forget portfolio long term. Ill be using 2 points/2% of the bank on these. Hopefully get into a good position this month going into int break

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2/2 for the LTDs today

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Extra LTD:

Girona (spain)

Manually checked this and its a qualifier, i dont use the stats software odds as its on/off in terms of reliability. This game is fine for entry now

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LTD for today:

Constanta (romania)

There is another but it doesnt meet the odds, one for tracking to see if gets matched quickly inplay, this is something im looking into as it looks like it could add to profits

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@darri said in The road to full time:

Goalscorers:

Liverpool vs Atletico:
Salah 2.24
Mane 3.05

Total outlay is 1 point/1% of bank

Post inplay trades as and when on football thread, good start in Milan

Lovely stuff

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Goalscorers:

Liverpool vs Atletico:
Salah 2.24
Mane 3.05

Total outlay is 1 point/1% of bank

Post inplay trades as and when on football thread, good start in Milan

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@darri

@darri said in The road to full time:

Someone posted a strategy the other day cant remember if it was here or on twitter. It really griped me a bit. I genuinely think people stumble on a good runs with insanely risky strats and then flaunt it to everyone and boom everyone is now on it. Then the inevitable happens, that risky strategy suddenly drops. People really need to understand risk/reward. Iv seen people risk upwards to 10 points on shgs/ltds. WHY?!! This is just risk for pure greed. If you have a strategy that genuinely can make bank regularly then just let it do so with smaller risk. Everything compounds. For me all these types of risks are just you compounding your losses in the long run, eventually those losses will come knocking and destroy your bank back to square one. Do not laugh at the trader who just goes about his business casually making small but consistent gains. They can plan ahead for months/years and never feel risk. I really hope people get to grips with this asap. Its probably only due to me having done those mistakes in the past to realise this. Slow and steady might not win the race, but if you are racing in trading your doing it wrongly and will not succeed.

I nearly did this cheers for stopping me when i had my orginal idea thought i cracked oh how wrong i was