The BTC Football Trading Thread

Richard Latimer

@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@darri if you are on about Keith, well i said it was a poor trade when it won, because it was. Doing that trade 100 times you would definitely be in a negative. He jumped on me if you read back matey. I only bit cause he was being funny.

probably a better way to put this would have been:

'Not a trade for me personally I don't like the stats' or something of that nature.

Obviously, you do not actually know the trade would have lost money over 100 times of doing it, that's just a subjective opinion and not fact.

Maybe he has the sports almanac @Martin-Futter

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@martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Can a winning trade ever be a bad trade

Yes definitely. I’m not saying this was because from memory I’m pretty sure it was a good one, but not all winners are good the same as all losers arent necessarily bad

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@martin-walker it was a damn good trade about 5 of us had posted to say we were on he just wanted to be controversial, he was on it himself think he posted it after keith had got on aswell so i dont understand how we all punted yet his wasnt, you can only enter the trade based on what you think will happen based on what you have seen so far in the game. Just because a game has a goal in the last minute doesnt mean it suddenly changes to a punt

Martin Walker

Can a winning trade ever be a bad trade

Martin

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@darri if you are on about Keith, well i said it was a poor trade when it won, because it was. Doing that trade 100 times you would definitely be in a negative. He jumped on me if you read back matey. I only bit cause he was being funny.

probably a better way to put this would have been:

'Not a trade for me personally I don't like the stats' or something of that nature.

Obviously, you do not actually know the trade would have lost money over 100 times of doing it, that's just a subjective opinion and not fact.

Richard Latimer

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@darri if you are on about Keith, well i said it was a poor trade when it won, because it was. Doing that trade 100 times you would definitely be in a negative. He jumped on me if you read back matey. I only bit cause he was being funny.

Actually John, I took issue that you complained about a winning trade, but my main issue is you accused me of pure punting.

Anyway, have a Merry Christmas

I'm going to stick my oar in haha! Don't feel it's right for anyone to outwardly tell someone something was a bad trade win or lose. We can all offer subjective opinions and try to back that up but an opinion is all it is.

Akiva Anderson

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@darri if you are on about Keith, well i said it was a poor trade when it won, because it was. Doing that trade 100 times you would definitely be in a negative. He jumped on me if you read back matey. I only bit cause he was being funny.

Actually John, I took issue that you complained about a winning trade, but my main issue is you accused me of pure punting.

Anyway, have a Merry Christmas

Richard Latimer

@mull said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Karlsruher.

There was a red card mate. Not sure if you hadn't realised. I thought i would mention it just in case it effects your stats for Bundesliga 2.

Yeah but I would have entered by then and my rule is to stay in if already in.

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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Karlsruher.

There was a red card mate. Not sure if you hadn't realised. I thought i would mention it just in case it effects your stats for Bundesliga 2.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Better day today, 3/3 and 3.5pts up

Made around a pt but it's a damn site better than recent.

Just realised my filter pulled out a LTD in Bundesliga 2 yesterday which I was confident on. Nice to see it won with a late goal in Karlsruher. Maybe there is life in that league yet.

Should have said which I wasn't confident on haha

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Todays SHG picks based on minimum 80% League conversion... Ensure your happy with IPS before entry

0_1608629873361_SHG 22-12.JPG

Will be looking to enter all games 58mins betfair time with following FH & SH (where noted) criteria met

Minimum 3 SONT (Ideally 4) FH (plus 2 SONT per goal scored)
Minimum 3 corners (ideally 4) FH
Minimum 1 dangerous attack per min played
Minimum 2 SOFFT in SH before 58mins

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Better day today, 3/3 and 3.5pts up

Made around a pt but it's a damn site better than recent.

Just realised my filter pulled out a LTD in Bundesliga 2 yesterday which I was confident on. Nice to see it won with a late goal in Karlsruher. Maybe there is life in that league yet.

Ryan

Last few for me before Xmas from my goal list, looking for a SH goal in these games, waiting till HT then checking the stats before entry.

17:00:00,Kristiansund,Haugesund

17:30:00,Crotone,Parma

19:45:00,Aberystwyth,Newtown

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Quite a few games on today and tomorrow!

0_1608618789404_76b4d3de-8e4c-4407-acba-3266399aa8a7-image.png

Theres a few notes ive made below of things to factor in:
All Bolivia Games - If you think we have a heavy schedule look at Bolivia leagues this month. Some teams are playing their 12th game in less than a month and some play games two days running. Often this can lead to one of two things - tired defences (hence goals) or tired attackers (hence reduction in goals). It appears to the former in Bolivia but its something to watch for. Its one of my favourite leagues for late goals at the minute
France - Grenoble vs Troyes - I dont normally trade this league as it seems low scoring but we arent necessarily looking for loads of goals as the market generally reflects this, we are looking for a disproportionate price in relation to the likelihood of a late goal. I will be cautious of this game but would expect a really good price
Italy - Cittadella vs Frosinone - Exactly the same as the France game
Czech - Sigma v Jablonec - I dont often trade this league so not sure on the prices, id expect it to be mid-range, but in the last 5 home games for Sigma and 5 away games for Jablonec there has been a goal post 70' so these are two teams that definitely go for it late on.