The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@terry-cooke said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@oliver-moore said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Evening gang,
FHG at Haugesund 2.06 at 20 mins.On that one, nice start to the evening.
I don't know if anyone is on the Croatian game that's on the daily email for late goals (Gorica vs Belupo) but it's worth having a look at just for the state of the pitch!
just looking at the stats on it now, has it been a lively game?
Last ten minutes I’ve watched pretty lively but I didn’t get involved; not that many threatening opportunities. Looks like the players are struggling to stay in their feet and pass properly.
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@oliver-moore said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Evening gang,
FHG at Haugesund 2.06 at 20 mins.On that one, nice start to the evening.
I don't know if anyone is on the Croatian game that's on the daily email for late goals (Gorica vs Belupo) but it's worth having a look at just for the state of the pitch!
just looking at the stats on it now, has it been a lively game?
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Evening gang,
FHG at Haugesund 2.06 at 20 mins.On that one, nice start to the evening.
I don't know if anyone is on the Croatian game that's on the daily email for late goals (Gorica vs Belupo) but it's worth having a look at just for the state of the pitch!
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ha ha as I finished posting this goal!!, should have got in lol, oh well no trade is still a good trade...right.....right guys lol
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Hey guys
Anyone on the Aalesunds 0-0 Sandefjord game? Was looking to do split stake on it, 30 mins gone 1 shot on target and 4 off target.
Thoughts on getting in
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Evening gang,
FHG at Haugesund 2.06 at 20 mins. -
@matt-wood damn shame that!!
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@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Just onr game for me today
Red card on HT looks like it’s killed any tradeable value will give it 15 mins but looking like a quiet night for me
Same here, that game looked very promising until the red card
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@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Just onr game for me today
Red card on HT looks like it’s killed any tradeable value will give it 15 mins but looking like a quiet night for me
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@salvatore-scalia I would also like to point out that you can always take any trading queries you have to the Private Coaching option... Although of course for a more varied response feel free to post here
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@salvatore-scalia Hi salvatore, with regards to your earlier post I'll add a couple of my thoughts below;
Sticking to original plan with a Filter...
I will only stick with the original filtered selection if I have it set up on my bot which other than testing is the most part of my trading portfolio. Other than that if I'm trading manually from a filtered selection then I will remain reactive and be on the lookout for whatever opportunities may arise,
such as an o1.5 goal strat, or a FHG which you could then take that into the SH or just wait until HT and evaluate a suitable move/trade...Bet or Trade...
If I understand your post correctly you're asking if to stay in the o1.5 goal market or trade out?
I very rarely bet (only when testing), so I would normally equalise the green or remove red at the very least.
I use software for this and my preferred choice for this type of trade currently is Bet Angel (I also use their VPS service so I dont have to leave my computer on)
However trading may be an issue for you if you're US based??? I'm not sure if you have that option across the pond? So my Bet or Trade response may not be of any help.
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Like many i have charleroi to follow tonight for a shg and 2 champions league matches that i will be keeping an eye on depending on scorelines and trading post 70 if motivation is there
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Following Antwerp being unable to convert a SHG post 59mins Betfair time I wont be looking to to follow Garys SHG selection tonight as the Belgium league in his filter is now more than one win from converting at 80%
I will be following my new SHG filter which although throws up a few too many selections for my liking I'm now able to thin them out to an acceptable quantity based on historical league performance conversion.
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Got a decent list for me today on SHG goals, in a league I have always enjoyed and all at the same time as well;
Country League Date Home Away
Norway Eliteserien 02/12/2020 17:00:00 Viking Brann
Norway Eliteserien 02/12/2020 17:00:00 Start Bodo/Glimt
Norway Eliteserien 02/12/2020 17:00:00 Sarpsborg 08 Kristiansund
Norway Eliteserien 02/12/2020 17:00:00 Odd Stromsgodset
Norway Eliteserien 02/12/2020 17:00:00 Aalesund Sandefjord -
Just onr game for me today
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A few games ill be looking for SH Goals:
With Japan and Norway it’s important to be aware of where the teams are in the league, what result suits them and if that mirrors the In play stats before entering. Ive removed games where both teams have nothing to play for
Ill also look at the CL games. Only managed to get on Atalanta last night
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Hi all - quick observation from the 1 match on today’s angle sheet. Fuenlabrada/Malaga (Home/Away) back late goal when drawing.. Away cruise to 2-0 W netting at 35’ and 85’. Home’s first shot on wasn’t until about 65’, even if they equalized I didn’t like the stats/match flow enough to back the late goal
Regardless, at about 30’ o1.5 was 2.3, which i thought was tremendous value given the chances in the box Away were creating. After the Away goal at 35’ o1.5 was 1.36, and it stayed in that price range well into 2H.
My question is, how often are you willing to deviate from your filter’s original target play when seeing potential in a different market? And if you do deviate, are you still risking a standard-size stake? In this case there were no prematch stats supporting an entry to the o1.5 market at that time in the match.
As an amateur punter the lines sometimes blur between a trade and a punt. The fact that o1.5 was still around 1.5 well into 2H says to me that it was a “great bet” rather than a “great trade” (even though I would’ve needed to sweat it out until FT to win the bet). As traders, we look to exploit price changes in the market, so that’s perhaps to say we don’t like long periods of price stagnation.
Lastly, being in the U.S. I’m simply not able to execute this trade (backing o1.5 and cashing 5 mins later). Is there a way to calculate for expected profit if I were to make the trade given the two prices? Thanks!
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Not only did I manage to get a SHG at Bmth with the new filter I'm working on but they even managed to lose which still leaves Norwich top and we've barely got an injury free first team to put out on the pitch... Just need to match Watfords result tomorrow OTBC
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@chris-osborne yeh on looking again it appears his foot was slightly off. Shame that. Missed atalanta by 10 seconds lol nvm least i am picking the right games. I wont force it now- plenty more tomorrow evening
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@john-hurst Wasn't it offside right in fromt of the keeper?
City goal disallowed at the same time equally as obscure VAR being VAR
