The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@simji said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst this is something I have been contemplating quite a bit. I've had a really bad run on the unders over the last year. But I have some months switch to the overs with the same sort of criteria that I look for the unders but do over and it still has had the same sort of losses. My trading style at the beginning of my journey a couple of years back was go against the market so to speak if I felt that it was over priced. And did quite well (maybe got a slight ego as I the strike rate I had was pretty high) but I think variance has kicked in and what I did win I gave back and a little more. Maybe I'm just overthinking and trying too hard to get that back etc.
definitely some brilliant opportunities in going against the grain. Much lower strike rate needed and if you can find an edge you are laughing. Going to be getting more into this when things resume. Had a great win the other night in belgium v england where i backed under 2.5 at 5.0 after the second goal. Never really looked a high scoring game yet the odds suggested more. Opportunities are there if people watch the games and can read them well enough.
Its quite a good tactic this as there tends to be an overreaction to an early goal. Odds spike disproportionately on the overs market straight after an early goal and if you find its a game which doesnt look massively open yet then you can usually get in and out the market with a reasonable profit. Obviously scalping unders isnt for everyone but theres definitely opportunities there
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Morning all, so after a busy start to the league season for many clubs and players being away for International duty for 2 weeks would anybody trust their stats this coming weekend when leagues reappear?
I often leave it one week for clubs to get back into the swing of things after @Martin-Futter has previously highlighted this... Will find it tough this weekend after 2 weeks of zero top flight football.
Thoughts/opinions?
This is very true and may be even more so at the moment with everything going on. I noticed my results took a massive dive the week following the last 2 international breaks so i will be very cautious this week. Its frustrating obviously as we all just want to get right back into after a break which feels far too long and far too unnecessary!
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4/5 English national league games on my filter scored in the 6th minute last night. Fix or coincidence?
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@thomas-larsen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Over 1.5 in Japan 1.54 0.5 pts
Very good tempo to this game and very open play1-0 Mexico
Out with very small red -
@chris-osborne They were getting absolutely torn to shreds in the first half!
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@simji said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Betfair one
Don't use that. Sofascore or futbol24 are decent.
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Strong German team but losing 4-0 to Spain
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@richard-latimer Betfair one
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@simji said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I've had 2 tonight where I've had no notification so no chance to get out of trade
What app?
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Has to be my last dip into the English lower leagues. Bloody hate them. Never go to plan.
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@simji said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer or late notifications from betfair or no notification
Been endless score corrections where I think either great, I have a route out or great, a win......Love to see why this one was ruled out.
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@richard-latimer or late notifications from betfair or no notification
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Getting so sick of score corrections last few days!
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@john-hurst both teams don't score much. Surprised to see 2 in the first half.
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Not a single shot on target the entire 2nd half.
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@alastair-todd said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer 75% possession in the second half and 10 goal attempts. Should have been a given...
Think I might smash the TV if I was watching it so just as well I'm not haha!
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer cant seem to hit the target. Been monitoring for a chance to get involved
Yeah. Had one big chance which the fluffed too according to sofascore.
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@richard-latimer 75% possession in the second half and 10 goal attempts. Should have been a given...
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@richard-latimer cant seem to hit the target. Been monitoring for a chance to get involved
