If I wanna go pro a blog might help me focus
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One last thing I forgot to mention was that Australia couldn't bowl India out on the last day in Sydney and with a little luck India could have won that test match also it is part of the reason why the Australian bowling attack had so little to give on day 5 of Brisbane they were out of ideas and India knew it.
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A little bit of spare time so I thought I would jot down my thoughts on the rollercoaster ride that was trading one of the greatest test matches in modern times that transpired in Brisbane this week.
What I got wrong and also what I got right as India defied the odds and beat Australia at a venue they hadn't lost at since 1988.Firstly the weather was key the final two days in Brisbane were meant to be incredibly wet and the general consensus was that India simply couldn't win and on day 1 were 8.20 to lay and wise heads thought this was a good starting point. I agreed entirely but my bank wasn't going to allow me to lay at those odds. Australia won the toss and elected to bat first and within a heartbeat those odds on India were suddenly at 15's and drifted more as Australia despite the loss of two quick wickets settled in to look at mounting a big first innings total.
India have shown massive heart during the series and had simply refused to go away but restricting Oz to 369 was a pretty good effort.
At this stage I fell for the Australia don't lose in Brisbane line and immediately set out to lay the draw and needing sleep I went to bed only to discover that India had made a solid start and rain had washed out the final session sending the draw price plummeting.
By day 3 it seemed that I was going to undo all the good work I had done in the England v Sri Lanka test as I stared at some scary red but then the forecast slowly started to improve and I also realised that with a strong bowling performance India who scored 336 in their first innings could be right in this match it was then I started to think about history at the ground but more importantly how this series was playing out as a whole.
The shifts in momentum had been since Adelaide it seemed almost hourly and when Australia began their 2nd innings the Indian price was for a win was 64.0!
I thought long and hard and believed that the markets and the media were quickly forgetting just who had really taken control of this series and it wasn't the home side but there were 2 things that clinched my moves going forward.
The first was the fact that 226 was the highest score a team had successfully chased to win a test match in Brisbane and that was in 1951!! cricket has changed a lot since then so my thought process was that if India bowled well and took regular wickets with only a 33 run first innings deficit they could give themselves a chance because Australia are still very much prone to collapses and a collapse on the 4th day of the test was very much on the cards.
Now some of my thinking was based on hunch some on match reading and some on going against the market I had a theory and would see how things transpired.
Listening in bed I heard the news that the rain forecast for day 5 was now expected to fall overnight and that we would almost see a full days play on the final day.
Australia made a blistering start to day 4 and I almost panic traded and got myself into more red but then I simply took a deep breath and said to myself "this can knowing this series change again in a heartbeat". And it did 4 wickets fell in quick succession and India had their tails up. Steve Smith settled the ship before he fell and India took regular wickets bowling Australia out for 294 and setting themselves 326 to win the test and the series.
The rain came and India would need 320 to win the test on the final day and they were given no chance in hell.
In the lead up to day 5 I had one screen open on Betfair and the other on the weather in Brisbane and sure enough as the weather improved the draw price went from 2.20 into 1.70 and just before play began I laid the draw at 1.84. I was also waiting to see how India approached things and would I be right in my assessment which was this.
India's opening batsman will look to maintain the run rate if they lose a wicket then Pujara their old school number 3 would do what he does which is simply play defensive cricket and exhaust our bowling attack whilst the stroke making batsman would look to keep the run rate under control and take the day deep and long wearing down an already exhausted attack.
What happened tho was the market saw how Pujara was batting and decided that India were playing for the draw and the draw price came into 1.40 and at lunch with 1 wicket down India were 34.0 to win the test. I needed sleep but I did something that some would deem crazy but I had method to my madness.
I laid the draw again and backed India at 34 my rational was if Australia rip thru India after lunch I should get out either at scratch or with a little green BUT if India are still only a few wickets down at tea that 34 is going to come right in and I'll be able to delete some red and go from there.
I set the alarm got out of bed checked the scores and was delighted with the situation.
India were on top and my theory of Pujara exhausting the attack whilst the others scored and kept things under control couldn't have worked better my red was almost totally gone and soon it was all gone and I had a nice green but I closed out locked in my green and then laid the draw again and most importantly backed India at 3.0 yes they were totally under control but it had been one of those series.
So why did I back India other than the fact I thought they had been the better side and the injuries they had suffered meant it was ridiculous to think they even stood a chance? There were a couple of things. 1 was that 4 years ago Pakistan almost chased down 490!! to win a test in Brisbane they were bowled out for 450 but the main reasons were I could tell that Australia's bowlers were exhausted and two of them had simply just not bowled well over the entire series.
We had 2 bowlers pretty much treat them with respect and attack the others which is exactly what India did the other was the IPL these guys are used to the cauldron of pressure that comes with that tournament and timing run chases to absolute perfection.
India had 97 overs to score those runs they had 3 up their sleeve when they secured the victory.
It was an amazing test and series full of ebbs and flows and finished with an incredible under dog story.
I learnt again that patience is key and to also trust yourself the change in weather forecast for day 5 made me more confident to back myself that there would definitely be a result it just seems that not many thought the result would go the way it did.
If I could change anything I wouldn't have got involved until day 4 once it became clear that the horrendous weather that was forecast would not materialise I think the prices at the start of day 3 were pretty much the same as the start of day 4 and my green would have been thru the roof but it was still a successful test just a particularly nerve wracking one.
On now to the tests in Sri Lanka and Pakistan over the next week and gearing up for England's tour of India which will be awesome oh and yeah I will not miss the stupid hours I endured over the Australia tests and almost exhausting myself because I'm an idiot that is the key lesson learnt stay fresh stay focused because cricket offers a ridiculous amount of opportunity and unlike the England v Sri Lanka test they might not properly present themselves till later in the match.Thanks to anyone who's bothered to endure my rambling
Stay Green. -
@james-woodroffe Yes defo, probs best to keep away for a bit then go when its not as bad
100%
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@ryan-carruthers yeah mate would love to chat with you about it. It was working well late last year when I adopted it and will be a go to strategy for this year. As for Melbourne Iāve been in touch with some mates there today and itās turning into a bit of a nightmare so it might actually be a bit of a blessing in disguise.
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That strategy sounds solid on the girls who canāt serve, would like to explore that with you sometime as that could be interesting.
My lord yes itās freezing here at the moment, gutted you cant go back bud!!
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I just thought Iād bang together a quick post about how Iāve gone about rebuilding my bank after my panic fart start to 2021.
As Iāve mentioned a couple of times Iāve had to reign everything in since the schools were closed as I find myself homeschooling the boy each day. The one thing thatās had to go on the back burner a bit has been the BBL cricket in Australia. My little guy has been adamant in his āletās just get this done yeah!ā mindset which has meant that despite it being on itās had little attention paid to it as we go about our business. Luckily tho the test matches have been overnight - early in the morning so whilst Iāve been wandering around the house a bit like a character in some C grade Zombie film I have been able to trade a bit during the crazy hours of midnight to breakfast. Iāve scaled right back on my football trading which I explained why in a post on the football forum a few days back. My wife has also been a bit like āYou could be asleep now before the cricket and tennis is this football trade really worth you being awake for now?
So itās been a juggling act thatās for sure. I was stoked to see the return of the tennis and other than a lay first set winner on particular matches my main tennis strategy is finding matches on the WTA that involve 2 girls evenly priced who canāt serve. Well they have low service hold percentages and I lay the server by scalping their service games. I have specific entry and exit points for this strategy and whilst I didnāt find a lot of matches in Abu Dhabi I did find a few over the week that I was able to scalp and lock in a profit before the lad woke up and I had to move on. A couple of the lay first winners backfired but fortunately despite the red I was able to stay green for the week of tennis thru the girls and the lay the server strategy. I was teased earlier this week with a āAre you available to work the Oz Open?ā Email which got me incredibly excited but sadly despite living in the U.K. for 9 years there are still some people in Australia who think I live in Melbourne so itās official this is the first time in 19 years I wonāt be working in Melbourne for the tennis and getting drunk with my brother each night after play.
First January in England and my god itās cold! Despite not being able to go home Iām looking forward to concentrating on my tennis trading when it kicks off again in February and making the most of being home. Iād resigned myself to the fact I wasnāt going home but being offered a different role was just a c**k tease so hopefully Iām back on the road for a bit by the end of March Iāll wait and see but with Covid I canāt hold my breath as to what the future brings. The cricket has been working well despite the lack of BBL trading and yesterday was a great day with a simple draw lay in Galle. The draw was 3.30 within about 15 minutes to lay and Sri Lanka crumbling to all out 135 pushed it out nicely, by the time England lost their 2nd wicket it was 22.0 basically half way thru day 1 and a lovely profit was locked in. With dodgy weather on the horizon and England in total control there may be the chance to add to that profit but Iāll just wait and see. The weather in Brisbane doesnāt look great from Sunday but sometimes it bypasses Brisbane but when it rains itās biblical and Oz look a good lay at the moment before hopefully the market makes them an attractive back option. You donāt want to bat last in Brisbane but India despite everything thatās been thrown at them injury wise have been great since Adelaide so again Iāll just wait and see thereās no need to rush as the cricket calendar is full this year as they make up for last year. Ok not a short post and cheers to anyone whoās bothered reading my ramblings Iām off to sort Lego (story of my life) Stay Green. Go Ravens!! -
Green is green, plus there is always another trade!
Buffalo have really impressed me so far this season, be tough that!
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@ryan-carruthers thanks mate and no they didnāt disappoint. It was nice for Lemar to get that first win so we can now just move on. Buffalo next so bring that on.
I was happy with the way I traded the Sydney test but I left some profit I could have had but I also couldnāt do an all nighter so rather than dwell on it I just thought of all the cricket and tennis this year that wonāt have a crazy timezone and green is still green.
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Well the Raven's did not disappoint? I've enjoyed the playoffs this year despite Seattle not even turning up lol
I don't think there's anything I can add here because you've already done the hardest part and spotted it, stopped in then realised the year is young
I am impressed! -
Just a quick post today about the start of January and how it couldn't have gone any further from plan and the plan to get things back on track.
I'm not alone obviously but lockdown this time around really hit me.
I was all set to really focus and turn my trading up a new level and really push on with my cricket and tennis trading and then they closed the schools and then I panicked and started over staking and over trading because once again I was getting the dreaded, They've cancelled this event, this has been postponed etc etc and I thought jesus here we go again I'll be home all year again.
So everything I learnt went out the window and I got blinded by potential profits cause you know "I gotta support my family!" and suddenly the bank shrunk. So yesterday I decided I'm not trading I'm going to chill with a book and watch the NFL. Instead I fell asleep on the couch and woke today refreshed.
I decided that I would scale right back on my stakes and not lose sight of the fact it was January 10 the year was but young again and if I just chilled out and stuck to my strengths that my bank could realistically be back where I started it from in 2021 if not by the end of Jan then perhaps mid Feb.
Those goals are not unrealistic especially when I focus predominantly on cricket and tennis.
I've started to claw that back today with a smart trade on the cricket as well as one on the tennis and feel refreshed.
Thats my post I'm going to chill out and play some crazy game by kid has invented which he calls "Creepy Neighbour" which is odd cause its not creepy and doesn't involve any neighbours so go figure. Then I'm going to flop out in front of the NFL and see if the mighty Ravens can get past the Titans tonight.
I hope everyone has a green Sunday. -
So this could be a long post so please bare with me and theres also a disclaimer , in that this entire post is about cricket trading and my day today, what was good and what could have been better and I'm going to start with the test match in South Africa and a crazy day 2.
After bowling out Sri Lanka on day 1 for 157 SA had a chance today to really put their foot on the Lankans throat and had the chance to bat and bat and bat and you get the idea.
All day today most of tomorrow theres no doubt that SA would have been eyeing off a total of something in the region of 500-600 thus pretty much only needing to bat once and for a while that looked on the cards when their opening batsman Dean Elgar scored his century SA were 1-171 (or 171-1 depending which country you're from) but Sri Lanka have always been and will always be fighters and in this particular test they were going to need all the fight they had.
Slowly but surely the Lankans chipped away and to their credit bowled SA out in their first innings for 302 giving the home side a first innings lead of 145. Not bad when you consider the 2nd wicket fell with the score on 218 so SA effectively lost 9 wickets for 84 runs an amazing fight back.
Now SL had a shocking injury run in the first test it was almost farcical the way they were losing front line bowlers to injury so there were quite a few new faces in Joburg.
When SL lost their first wicket in their 2nd innings and were 1-1 SA were trading at 1.03 before tea on the 2nd day and leading by 144 runs.
Quick history lesson, the last time SL toured SA they had been decimated by injuries yet found a way to win the series on the back of some incredible individual feats. Kusal Perera played an innings in Durban which was ranked the greatest individual innings in test cricket history not too shabby a feat in 143 years of test cricket but I digress.
My point is this match was far from over, batting conditions would only get better and enough talent to turn things around.
So I laid SA at 1.03 with a 3% stake of my bank leaving a huge green on SL and the draw. (There is rain due over the next few days maybe not a lot) but I wasn't looking for it to rain I was looking for a partnership and SL had done to well to throw the hard work away.
Now with my stake and the odds 1.03 was not going to move against me until if and when SA actually wrapped up the test but I got my wish. Lanka's captain settled in and with their number 3 began chipping away at the deficit. Now the Bullring is not a huge ground the boundaries are short and the outfield is fast and like a lot of test venues its best to bat on day 2 and especially day 3 which is the position SL had fought hard to get into.
SA soon drifted out to 1.20 and possibly even slightly more and suddenly I'm looking at 16 points green.
Now the plan was to wait till the final hour of play move my green around and call it a day knowing that there would be other opportunities later in the test but this had presented a golden opportunity until SL lost two wickets in 2 balls and I was kinda back to where I had started. However again the price wasn't going to move against me till SA won the test.
So I waited patiently and removed my liability and as SL settled after the 2 quick wickets the green started building again and by the close of play SL were 5 runs ahead with 6 wickets in the shed and their skipper unbeaten on 91. Now I've seen a lot of weird stuff happen over 5 days of a test match and SL batting well tomorrow and building a strong lead and thus putting the pressure on SA would not surprise me at all. There is no need to close the trade the liability is removed and if SL build a decent total then a back of SA could well be on the cards with the green built up, I'll just wait and see.
The whole point tho is that give or take 5 minutes my worst case scenario today on a seemingly one sided test match was 16 points green as it stands right now its 4.
Earlier in the day with the BBL and a slight change of strategy to trust my own instincts I made +8.4 points and rather than enter at the 10th over of the run chase I was done by the 10th over.
I was told to trust my own instincts and back myself and part of me also knew that the school was getting shut down and I would have to adapt to a degree because I'll have to homeschool for the foreseeable future so maybe today was a day where I just had to say to myself "You get it mate stop doubting and just get on with it".
I had a tiny red in the early BBL match after backing my Melbourne Stars at around 1.75 with the big unit Stoinis in the middle cutting loose the boys piled on 6-183 and after a top bowling power play I was 2.4 points green so I bailed as part of me wanted to just chill before the boy woke up. Long story short Hobart then qualified for me to enter with 3 overs to go and Ben McDermott on 91 not out and set. He then hit an absolute tracer bullet and not for the first time in the match Andre Fletcher took an absolute screamer and that was that. A couple inches more that ball goes for 4 and I seriously believe Hobart would have gone on to win that match. Melbourne didn't deserve to lose it to be fair and 2.4 points would have been maximum 12.4 as it turned out it was 1 point red. Part of me was ohhh!!! The other part was Yeah Go Stars!
The second match I backed Sydney after they had faced 10 overs they were on for a huge score but finished with 174 I thought it was 15-20 to few, Brisbane had their captain back it strengthened their batting big time. I closed out after the Sydney innings for tiny green and backed Brisbane at 2.56 they cantered along thanks to Chris Lynn and when he went out he had set Brisbane up nicely. Joe Burns picked up where Lynn left off and Joe Denley played the perfect International recruit innings, the Heat were 1.23 give or take a tick by 10 overs and that was that.
A pretty cool days cricket trading, it was slightly different in my T20 approach but I'm happy with it.
It means tonight I have zero interest in the football I don't want to risk todays gains at all I just want to continue building on them.On a side note we all know whats coming tonight and its already been and being spoke about on Darri's blog and I'm also just throwing it out there, if you're single if you have kids if you have any thing going thru your head and wanna chat with somebody removed from your day to day life because you can't sleep or your anxious or whatever Ill be up watching cricket oddly enough and if you need to vent send me a message.
Peace Out Gang Stay Green Apologies for the Ramble. -
Happy New Year BTCās after the whirlwind that is Christmas and the New Year school holidays etc etc itās time to settle down and focus
on the coming year and 2021.
Like the other guys who have blogs here I might just look to do a weekly update however if something grabs me and I feel itās worth it Iāll add it that day.
This year is going to see me focusing predominantly on my cricket and tennis trading. Itās been 18 months since I joined BTC and Iāve learnt a hell of a lot but the main thing is I need to stick to my strengths and those two sports are definitely where my strengths lie and if Iām reaching my end goal those two sports will be what gets me there.
My football trading has now become simply late goals and I donāt see that changing anytime soon. In fact once the tennis year rolls around from next week I wonder how much attention Iāll be even giving those?
My tennis trading was really starting to get going at the back end of 2020 and Iām looking to really push on with it this year and obviously with my cricket trading also.
Yesterday I was in no fit position to trade and today has been pretty chilled. Junior slept in for the first time ever it seemed today so the early BBL game came and went without me even noticing.
I did back Brisbane at 1.83 in the 11th over of their chase as they had everything under control that I was looking for to enter. Run Rate, Wickets in hand and batting strength in the shed.
I entered with a 10% stake knowing that 5% was my stop loss. Brisbane lost a couple of wickets but they never really looked like losing which for them is quite the achievement. When they hit 1.32 I removed half my liability and thought I might get out after the 19th over. Winning is contagious but so is losing and part of me thought they could still find a way to make it harder than it need be. Today was their day they coasted to victory and I was happy with my 5.4 points profit. I had laid the tie as I always do at 1.04 and obviously included that in my P-L for the day.
A double header again tomorrow in the BBL and the last day of school holidays and to quote Frank Costanza āSERENITY NOW!ā
The 2nd test in NZ starts tonight and the SA test tomorrow. I wonāt necessarily be getting involved but I will be watching.
I had my shortlist of late goals today and only one has so far qualified it was the Aberdeen match and it finished 0-0. Iāve got a few more but itās a cool feeling in a way where I donāt care if they qualify or not. Once upon a time Iād have to go searching for another match but Iām happy to be a cricket and tennis trader who likes late goals. It works for me itās a shift in mindset and Iām going to make it work.
Ramble over. Hereās to a green 2021.PS Sorry I removed the remaining liability in the BBL game after the 18th over dunno if thatās important to anybody but I should mention it.
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Just a quick post re the good the bad and the ugly yesterday.
The opening match of the cricket double header was a no trade for me as it didnāt qualify for the way I trade T20 cricket and the 2nd match was washed out. With so much cricket coming up I wasnāt about to force anything so no trades in the cricket but hoping that we qualify today for the last of the T20ās between Oz and India letās see.
The football was interesting and first a disclaimer. I think itās safe to say I like a FHG trade the key has been finding a way to trade them. I have a pretty decent FHG filter but it throws up a fair amount of matches. What Iāve decided is to narrow down those selections to just top flight predominantly (there are some 2nd tier leagues like the Championship but not many) Iām finding 2 maybe 3 matches and Iām entering on 20 mins give or take 1 and entering at minimum odds of 1.70 if still 0-0. Itās only early doors and hopefully by end of December Iāll have a bit of an idea as to how itās tracking.
Iāve noted on Darriās thread what I did wrong on the football yesterday and Iām prepared to just brush it off today and move on. The massive disappointment being that the trade in Belgium undid a perfect night, a relaxed and well thought out day.
All undone on the back of a lack of focus.
Hereās to today. -
Itās been an interesting week since I last posted on here and my mind is pretty clear after a really strange couple of days which Iām finding hard to pinpoint the route cause of, but fortunately I was able to have a moment of clarity before wandering down bad habit avenue.
Iām basically getting happier and happier with my cricket trading from a T20 and Test match perspective but late last week I took a fall after the first SA v ENG ODI was called off and ended up going against everything I had drilled into myself by getting involved in the markets for the wrong reasons.
With the ODI cancelled I entered a LPL match at the wrong time for me and was quickly looking at a big red. With the wrong mindset I was trading for the wrong reasons and stupidly chasing football matches also to get out of the early December hole I was in. Inevitably getting deeper over a couple of days. However I quickly noticed what I was doing and Sunday bought about the changes I was looking for.
I told myself that by sticking with how I trade cricket that things will come and to relax, the international season was only just beginning there was a smorgasbord to choose from and football was the same. Oddly I was agitated by the cancellations more than anything. I really wanted to get stuck into the SA v ENG series to work and evolve my 50 over trading and it was stupid to go hunting cause theyād been binned.
A quick read of Darriās post on his thread and a coffee outside resulted in another lightbulb moment. With a clear head I went into yesterday feeling positive and very quickly eliminated the red that had crept in pushing my bank back to where we started December.
I donāt get involved with T20 matches now until
at least the 30th over of the match as itās what has worked best for me with the cricket and with the increase in profit and when I walk away from that strategy I get burnt.
It felt great yesterday to go back to that but here was the main thing. I was thinking as a cricket trader who does football also. It was the first time I had actually thought that with strong cricket profit already for the day it was a perfect day to step back and say āright this is how we go about our football.ā Not much had changed just a couple of silly days and reading the thread Darri had written about finding matches and what qualifies just reiterated that if I could eliminate my brain fart days Iām really not that far away.
I felt great going into today even though the cricket in the LPL has been a fizzer today, my mind is really focused going forward. Iām confident that Iāll finish the month strong and both sports will work well. Apologies I have a shocking tooth ache (wisdom I think) so Iām just writing but perhaps not saying a great deal.
Hereās to the rest of the week. The 2nd test in NZ the BBL and enough Football to patiently build.
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A couple of laid back days to celebrate middle age and lots of beer has been the story of the last two days and yesterday was one of my better days from a mental clarity point and from a profit side yesterday.
The early match in the cricket in the LPL was a very simple trade. Give it a while and back the team batting first. It was such a flat deck and tough for the bowlers that despite the wobbly start with players like Tharanga, Shanaka and Patel that runs would come and in the end 195 got put on the board. The second part was the rain. The rain was coming and the strategy was simple back Kandy to be ahead of the DL and if they are, get out after 5 overs no matter what if they ahead. Iād closed out for 3 points green after the first innings and backed Kandy again the required target after 5 overs was 1-42 having lost Perera early and a 2nd wicket would change that. Kandy looked good and the par score was eclipsed and there was a nice profit looming as long as the rain stayed away for a few more balls. As soon as we saw the completion of 5 overs I took my green and got out. First ball of the 6th over Kandy lose a wicket and fall behind the DL then pretty much the rain came and because they lost that 2nd wicket when they did Kandy lose the match. It highlighted the importance of a plan. Old me would have stuck around but I knew the weather was going to dictate the day so it was good to have a clear exit point. I got out with Ā£67 profit and wasnāt concerning myself with reduced overs matches so that was the cricket done.
Football trading was short and sharp.
RB Leipzig I entered for a FHG at 1.60 around 18 minutes and the goal came on 28 and later in the day backed O0.5 at Everton v Leeds in the 2nd half. I entered at around 73 at 1.84 at 0-0 and the goal came 6 minutes later.
That was it 2 trades for a whole Saturday on the football and 3.9 points profit.
Yesterday felt really good and Iām just aiming now to continue along that line going forward. -
Today saw the return of the cricket and tomorrow sees the return of international cricket and I couldnāt be happier, today got things rolling nicely in the LPL.
My first port of call was one of my best mates who lives in SL and is senior cameraman for the LPL a quick text and I found out we were playing on a road which backed up my pre tournament research which said like the IPL expect runs early in the tournament and because all matches are in Hambantota expect something similar to IPL and that is as the tournament rolls on those 1st innings totals will come down as the decks get used and worn out.
So as I sat down the first thing that struck me was āmy god my backyard in Oz where I grew up is bigger than this groundā. Ok slight exaggeration but not much. Kandy got off to a flyer and I mean crazy times and at one stage I thought they might hit 250 which in T20 is an absurd score in the end they made 219 and two things hit me. It wasnāt outside the realm of possibility to chase 220 crazy as it sounded but with 70 metre boundaries 360 it wasnāt taking much to reach the fence. The 2nd thing was āDonāt forget to lay the tie!ā I canāt reiterate how important this simple no risk strategy is in limited over cricket. For 1.04 to lay and particularly in a high scoring match. Thereās nothing worse than trading a cricket match forgetting and then having everything null and void cause it ends in a tie.
So anyway Colombo were 3.80 at the start and I backed them and quickly they set about their work. I was looking at 2.5 points green and hung around a touch to long as Colombo continued to club Kandy who had the misfortune of seeing their opening bowler twing a hammy which is why I stuck around. As happens in T20 tho 2 wickets in 2 balls and I closed out with 1.5 points and still thinking there would be a chance later as 1 brisk innings would make things interesting again. Andre Russel provided the cameo but when he fell Kandy needing to defend about 45 in 3 overs were trading at 1.02. I have a strategy that if thereās wickets in hand 39 off the last 3 back the side chasing, 13 an over is gettable 45 not so much but a few hefty blows and things swing pretty quickly so at this stage I had 1 point on Kandy if they won and considerably more on Colombo if they pulled off the win. By this stage the tie was also in the equation. Iād put a point on the tie so the pay out would be lovely and soon the green cash out on the tie was worth playing with. As Colombo came charging I locked in 6 points on the match and then moved the tie payout to leave me 3.5 points green on NO tie and 15 points on YES Tie. I was looking at 9.5 points green if someone won and 15 if we got a super over. We got a super over. I was stoked it was a great start to the restart of cricket and a great reiteration to what I learned and picked up during the IPL.
Buzzing and knocking on the door of a bank milestone I had a sticky beak at the Europa League and entered for FHGās at Leverkusen and Napoli. The Leverkusen market was suspended within seconds of being matched as they scored and Napoli scored in the 42nd minute. I decided then I was drinking beer.
The bank hit the milestone and November has been great. The cricket is really now in full swing with all 3 formats so Iām looking to end the year strong with what Iāve learned and carry that into 2021. -
@matthew-biggins cheers mate and hereās to Sunday.
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Good read mate @James-Woodroffe
And happy birthday for Friday. Theres a lot of BTC birthdays around this time. Itās mine on Sunday, so Christmas is 100% banned until after then.
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It's been a while as life got in the way but I thought it was time I had a ramble as I continue my trading journey.
Now first thing first. I may have mentioned in a particular podcast that I was putting football on the back burner as I looked to focus on tennis and cricket in particular for a little while. That didn't work and as the tennis season now ends and as I type, a massive ?? looms over when exactly the 2021 season will begin amid growing speculation that the Australian summer of tennis could be pushed back to April.
The decision I made was that I had invested to much time, energy and effort into my football trading and I decided that I would be sticking with it and with no tennis till who knows when and a mountain of cricket starting as of later this week that that for the time being will be where my attention lies Football and Cricket.
The tennis to be fair finished quite nicely. The last WTA event of the year clashed with something that I no longer remember so I didn't get as much time as I would have wanted to continue working on my scalping of the WTA however the ATP Finals in particular the last 2 days ended up being very profitable. It was a bit tricky being at work but I found that the laying the first set winner was an easy enough to do trade whilst still working on the matches. It wasn't a case of just doing it whenever during the singles the match had to be telling me something to get involved and whilst a couple did go against me because either the match went a particular way or I got sidetracked or I hung in a touch to long I was definitely getting more happy with that particular strategy and over the weekend I was able to lock in some good profits after 2 epic semi finals and the final.
Its a strategy Ill be using next year whenever that may be as I'm prepared to be strict with it as it is one that presents a lot of opportunities.
Which brings me to the football. I had been hiding from the forum for a bit as far as posting trades but I allowed for the international break to just step away from football and think long and hard about where I saw myself as a trader.
Over the weekend I stepped back into it and had some great results with FHG'S and some late LTD-LCS or next Overs backing. A couple of losses but combined with the tennis my most profitable weekend for quite sometime. And to be fair I really enjoyed it. I grappled with the whole football thing for a while and consumed a lot of late night beers stuck in my O2 bubble talking to myself early in the week and decided as I mentioned before that I would continue with football and whilst I would be focusing more on the cricket as of late this week when a busy calendar kicks into gear for quite some time I would continue working on my football trading as I could see the results coming and the light at the end of the tunnel. I need to be a little stricter with record keeping going forward and that is next on the agenda this week, getting spreadsheets up and going and keeping my records a bit more pro.
My birthday falls on Friday and I'm going to treat myself to something office type as I have already got two new Sky Boxes for the other TV's but with the girl still working from home also we need to find a balance with space (if that makes sense) So thats it I found the chat with Ryan to be super beneficial and have been getting a lot out of chatting with Darri also re my journey.
I'll be taking a cautious approach to the cricket re my staking plan during the white ball stuff as I continue to nut that out but am already counting the sleeps till the summer hemisphere test match season kicks in as there will be a LOT of cricket in 2021 to make up for what was lost during this stink year.
When the tennis returns and depending on how many events I work on or travel to will determine the seriousness of my approach to it in 2021 but until then I feel in a good place continue to learn and ready now to really have a great end to 2020 and start to 2021.
Go Green
