2022 Tennis Trading Thread
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@chris-osborne good move mate. I went back on Collins then she broke Jabeur and closed out again. Collins is a nut job but I still think there’s going to be great low odds opportunities late.
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@james-woodroffe said in 2020 Tennis Trading Thread:
Happy start to the day. Laid Collins at 1.08 up a set and a break and have closed with her at 2.04. Jabeur now serving for the set but green locked in and perhaps opportunities will arise late in the 3rd.
Took a similar approach, liability removed with profit on Jabeur. Collins is too fired up
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Happy start to the day. Laid Collins at 1.08 up a set and a break and have closed with her at 2.04. Jabeur now serving for the set but green locked in and perhaps opportunities will arise late in the 3rd.
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@chris-osborne nice work mate
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Decent day today with profit on Ziegmund, Zhang and Kenin although lost a bit on Agut
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Sadly discipline went in the sakkari match. So annoyed at myself at present. I did a set and forget when I check in the third and saw the break I should if got out I let it ride. And 0-40 up I thought it was coming back. In that set could of got out at least 4 /5 times for a good loss but not huge.
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The Sakkari match could well be worth monitoring late in the 3rd set especially if Trevisan gets into a strong position. Was just able to lay Sakkari then at the start of the breaker which she went on to lose.
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@matt-wood said in 2020 Tennis Trading Thread:
Anybody watching the Pironkova match? Im still learning tennis but this could be likely for a lay the first winner?
I got in at that at 1.28 liability removed big profit on Kreij scratch on Pironkova will cash out end of set no matter what - don't do 3rd sets
Got a free bet on Sinner but less said about Mertens the better she should never be losing to Garcia
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@james-woodroffe No I dont trust my match selection enough yet. Should have though lol, sods law nice bit of green for you though
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@matt-wood in at 1.16 out at 1.70 I hope you got on.
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@matt-wood yeah but ideally after the first set you want the first set winner under 1.40. I got Pironkava at 1.16 so perfect. TBF mate I didn’t think she would be that short.
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@matt-wood I’m not mate but yes it could be but both girls may still be very even in the odds range like they were before the match started so you might not have any value.
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@ian-wylie cheers mate.
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@chris-osborne I think sometimes with those odds the lay is so low risk for high reward that you’ve just gotta do it, especially with the girls. Because of the rain everybody moved to centre court to cheer on Garcia. After that woeful first set suddenly with the crowd cheering her on she flicked the switch. It was easy to remove liability after she broke and then just see how the set played out.
She got broken serving for the set but broke back straight away and 1st game of the 3rd.
Mertens was always going to keep fighting but I have a theory that I need to look into to see if it’s statistically backed up. Which is when a player breaks serve after a say 8 minute minimum game with about 5 deuces and it’s NOT a sit down they tend to if not get broken straight back they at least face break points. (If that makes sense I hope I explained it right)Which I think is a good time to scalp as the odds when that close fluctuate so much. -
@james-woodroffe Great stuff James and also you were right about laying Garcia!
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In at 1.07 40-15 2 match points and out at 3.0 and 5-5.
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@james-woodroffe wow wished I’d had the foresight to do that thought martens would win easily after the 1st set
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Ridiculous low odds on Elise Merterns after she won the first set against Caroline Garcia. Was able to lay at 1.08 and closed after Garcia broke at the start of the 3rd just before she hit 3.0! It’s something like 75% of Mertens matches go the distance. I reckon a low risk lay if Garcia serves for it could be worth the effort also.