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SH Goal Filters

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #141

    @gary-brown Yes mate. 👍

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #142

    this is really helpful Lee.
    I am trying to use the criteria for filter 1.

    for tomorrow i have 2 games listed.
    These are
    shanghai SIPG game at 1pm
    also a game in norway at 5pm

    have i created the filter correct so far guys?

    ? Daniel CooperD 2 Replies Last reply
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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #143

    @lee-woodman Thanks for posting Lee will definitely be testing to see how it goes

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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #144

    @mark-palfrey said in SH Goal Filters:

    results so far. I might give this a go also! What happens if there is a very early goal in the second half? Do you still trade after 60min or is that game now out of the select

    Those results are based on there being a goal on or after the stated time regardless of what has already happened in the SH, so if there was a goal on 46' then i would still look at LCS on 60'. If there hasnt been a goal in the SH already then the figures are actually better but it obviously reduces the number of trades so its up to you

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #145

    Nice results so far. I might give this a go also! What happens if there is a very early goal in the second half? Do you still trade after 60min or is that game now out of the selection?

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #146

    @richard-latimer Yes that’s right, the first 10 games would rule out a bit at the start of the season but I’m ok with that. Maybe at some point I’ll check if I’m correct but I don’t have the data yet

    Regarding the grading, I just took the leagues which I believed were better quality and also more liquid for trading purposes. As I mentioned previously, my hypothesis was that higher quality leagues meant teams knew that each game mattered, that there was no danger of thinking ‘oh well, it’s not happening this week but next week will be easy’. I didn’t look at results in my decision. Most traders would probably agree on 80-90% the same leagues as each other if they did the same exercise

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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #147

    @lee-woodman said in SH Goal Filters:

    @daniel-cooper said in SH Goal Filters:

    To clarify your point about filtering out weaker leagues, do you only have these set to return those leagues that are of the highest tier as per your post on this topic a week ago?

    That’s right. The first filter still records the lower leagues even though I don’t trade them but the second filter only records tier 1 leagues

    How did you come about grading those leagues and any chance you could post them here as won't get lost as easy?

    Also if it's 10 games fromm this season it presumably means you're pretty much ruling out the first couple of month for each league. Would that be right? By the time they've played 5 at home for example they will be on 9 or 10 h/a combined.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #148

    @lee-woodman will pick up once euro leagues hit full swing too!

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    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #149

    @martin-futter said in SH Goal Filters:

    @lee-woodman 24th August

    Makes sense given you said a month! 🤦‍♂️

    Not a bad amount of daily selections either, not too many to get overwhelmed but enough to be an option

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #150

    @lee-woodman thank you Lee!

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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #151

    @lee-woodman 24th August

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #152

    @martin-futter What date did you start on?

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by A Former User
    #153

    @shaun-harrison Overall matches at 10 could be 6 for home and 4 for away, it could obviously be 7 and 3, or 8 and 2, but very unlikely, most would be 6/4, 5/5 or 4/6. Restricting it to current season means it doesnt look at last season, obviously, so a game would only appear when the combined teams have hit 10 games that season. The scope then would look at those last 10 matches combined, no more and no less so again it would only consider that season

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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    wrote on last edited by
    #154

    End of first month of my testing on it.

    40 results

    1 0-0
    SHG - 92.50%
    Goal after 60 mins (any scoreline) - 80%

    Obviously need more data but very impressive so far!

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #155

    @lee-woodman Sorry, i'm having a real brain drain moment in relation to the distinction between the "overall" and "home" or "away" statistics. It's been bugging me generally for a while.

    Am i right in thinking that if your scope is the most recent 10 games, the "overall" stat measures across the most recent 10 games involving either of the two teams (which might for example be 6 involving the home team and 4 involving the away team)? Whereas the "home" stat measures across the most recent 10 games specifically involving the home team, and the "away" stat likewise for the away team?

    If so, then for the "home" stat, is it taking the last 10 home games played by the home team, or the last 10 games, whether home or away, played by the home team? I assume the latter, because if the filter includes the teams once they have played 10 games, it is unlikely that they have played all 10 at home.

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #156

    If anyone is going to have a look at these then I would suggest tracking and/or paper trading them for a while first to get a bit of confidence in the results. I’ve got a lot of confidence in the first filter particularly so it allows me to ride the inevitable waves of variance without panicking, which is a hugely important point. There’s quite a few selections so won’t take long to start to amass some results which have been recorded by yourself

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #157

    @lee-woodman Thanks for sharing this Lee, great results

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #158

    @lee-woodman Thanks very much for sharing this Lee, I'm looking forward to trying these out

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to Daniel Cooper on last edited by
    #159

    @daniel-cooper said in SH Goal Filters:

    To clarify your point about filtering out weaker leagues, do you only have these set to return those leagues that are of the highest tier as per your post on this topic a week ago?

    That’s right. The first filter still records the lower leagues even though I don’t trade them but the second filter only records tier 1 leagues

    ? Richard LatimerR 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    wrote on last edited by
    #160

    To clarify your point about filtering out weaker leagues, do you only have these set to return those leagues that are of the highest tier as per your post on this topic a week ago?

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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