Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

No major changes to the H2 goals but I'm going to avoid a couple of leagues until I have the data to back it up. Rather than wait until I know they should be removed I think I prefer to remove until proven which isn't something I've done in the past.

Had a bad feeling about the game in Chile this morning and surprise surprise it remained 1-1 after HT. Serbia for goals hasn't been good when I've experimented with prev filters and with this one we're already looking at a 50/50 split.

So I'll keep tracking on the sheet I've set up for the paper trades and seen what comes of everything. For the time being unless it's a league I'm happy with I'll leave well alone.

These unknown leagues are slowing progress.

Egypt was the other one. One losing selection so will just track these for now.

Some leagues seem to be great for come backs but not so good for goals in general and vice versa.

[Richard Latimer]

No major changes to the H2 goals but I'm going to avoid a couple of leagues until I have the data to back it up. Rather than wait until I know they should be removed I think I prefer to remove until proven which isn't something I've done in the past.

Had a bad feeling about the game in Chile this morning and surprise surprise it remained 1-1 after HT. Serbia for goals hasn't been good when I've experimented with prev filters and with this one we're already looking at a 50/50 split.

So I'll keep tracking on the sheet I've set up for the paper trades and see what comes of everything. For the time being unless it's a league I'm happy with I'll leave well alone.

These unknown leagues are slowing progress.

[Richard Latimer]

H2 goals (potential):

[Richard Latimer]

Another nice green today in Hacken. The recoovery is allmost complete. Time to make some profit for Sept. Only Egypt tomorrow in the ELO:

[Richard Latimer]

Any night owls, these are the games I consider to have a high chance of there being a H2 goal. Odds dependent as always as well as personell if known and inplay stats if necessary.

[Richard Latimer]

Palmeiras just equalised so that's now just over 3pts for the day and just under 2pts red for Sept.

It's coming back.

[Richard Latimer]

Cerro Porteno is actually Tuesday. Tomorrows below:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Also nothing to stop you taking the sheet as your own and pasting ratings in. I copy it a blank sheet. Remove first column then insert a column after game type, after home elo and after home offence. Also 2 columns after goal expectancy and superiority. These are where my formulas go when I paste it into the main sheet.

Just drag down the formulas for the new day. And get rid of anything that doesn't meet requirements.

Hope you managed with overnight games. I'll be posting in a bit but Paraguay at 00:30 is one. Cerro Porteno the better team.

Then again it's not until tomorrow so plenty of time.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Also nothing to stop you taking the sheet as your own and pasting ratings in. I copy it a blank sheet. Remove first column then insert a column after game type, after home elo and after home offence. Also 2 columns after goal expectancy and superiority. These are where my formulas go when I paste it into the main sheet.

Just drag down the formulas for the new day. And get rid of anything that doesn't meet requirements.

Hope you managed with overnight games. I'll be posting in a bit but Paraguay at 00:30 is one. Cerro Porteno the better team.

[Richard Latimer]

I'm pulling Titanic. Not because it doesn't work but because from the 17/06 I have 27 selections. Almost 3 months so under 10 selections a month.

I'm not pulling up any trees with that.

[Richard Latimer]

Also nothing to stop you taking the sheet as your own and pasting ratings in. I copy it a blank sheet. Remove first column then insert a column after game type, after home elo and after home offence. Also 2 columns after goal expectancy and superiority. These are where my formulas go when I paste it into the main sheet.

Just drag down the formulas for the new day. And get rid of anything that doesn't meet requirements.

[Richard Latimer]

@john-folan said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

These are the good ones coming up:

There's a Belgian one and a Russian one on the list of seconds as well if anyone feels like playing Russian Roulette haha!
Can you get your stuff on any earlier? Sometimes miss the overnight games.

There was nothing qualified last night. Been doing a lot of going back to get further details I hadn't recorded initially for stuff I'm working on so has taken a bit of time.

I try and get one day finished before I start another but so much overlap right now. They often go on the sheet before I post as well so worth checking there.

[John Folan]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

These are the good ones coming up:

There's a Belgian one and a Russian one on the list of seconds as well if anyone feels like playing Russian Roulette haha!
Can you get your stuff on any earlier? Sometimes miss the overnight games.

[Richard Latimer]

These are the good ones coming up:

There's a Belgian one and a Russian one on the list of seconds as well if anyone feels like playing Russian Roulette haha!

[Richard Latimer]

Just what I needed today. 3 decent trades and around 2.5pts green. Only around 5pts down for Sept now.

H2 goals in Wycombe and Rodez. I know these are early season but for goals my strike rate gives me no reason to exclude these at present.

Also a nice comeback by Ludogorets giving more credence to the bar I've set for minimum number of games to have passed in a season.

[Richard Latimer]

Titanic:

Already missed Shimizu but doubt there was much in it for a goal back 10 minutes before time.

[Richard Latimer]

H2 goals (potential):

[Richard Latimer]

Ok so really not helped myself missing the double bubble this morning and yesterday was pants. Made a small error and had 4 losing trades from my plan. Not to worry. Sept is in deficit by around 7pts but it can and will come back:

ELO Selections (including missed in Korea):

There are more on the list of dodgy countries/leagues but I won't be touching them. On the sheet if anyone wants to see.

[Richard Latimer]

Although it makes sense on the ELO's I can't quite bring myself to do it yet on the H2 goals as so far I'm at 77% s/r on these early season games and it's not a just a few. Will watch this space for time being.

[Finn Kristensen]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Having to have a rethink as my decent gains over the past month are being eaten up. Would be all too easy to slip back into bad ways and go back to square one but I can't let that happen.

I bow down to those in the know and despite thinking I can play these early season games the results bear out I can't regardless of what league.

Seem to see a real upturn in results after 7 or 8 games have been played so that's where I'm setting my stall out for now. That's not 7 or 8 home/away games per team but a combined 7 or 8 league games full stop.

Totally missed Gwangju lay this morning, twice over now. Damn early games on the weekend haha!!

I think that's the sensible thing to do. Let the form settle a bit before jumping in.