The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@lee-woodman If 0-0 @ HT cash out would be red???
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@martin-walker No mate am working off the Ratings page for this one... Will often use that plus other resources such as score prediction sites to evaluate a trade.
Am working on the fact that Sydney surely need to wake up and both teams have excellent Attack ratings and although Sydneys Defence ratings are good they've conceded in 4 out of their last 5 games and scored in 4 out of 5
Western have scored in 3 out of their last 4 games and conceded in 3 out of 4 games.
I see at least 2 goals here which if scored before 80mins would scratch my trade...
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Gottcha mate, will keep an eye out for when I back them
Cheers for that. If i back O2.5 on 10' and cashout if 0-0 at HT then 56% were full winners, 21% were full losers and 23% wouldve been cashed out. If backing on 20' then 50% were full winners, 16% full losers, 33% were cashed out - so that cashout figure could swing it to profit or not
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@alan-steward sydney on no filters for me
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@lee-woodman Gottcha mate, will keep an eye out for when I back them
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@alan-steward Im not necessarily saying i would, im just trying to understand this market a bit more so i can see what my options are. Im just running some numbers through my filter regarding goal times. My filter shows if there is no goal before HT then they rarely hit O2.5, but if there is a goal then they often do hit it
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Anybody got anything lined up for the Sydney game... Expecting a tight match but my head can't handle unders lol
Will do a 3 goal dutch but these can often turn into no more than a scalp if 2 FHG's
Not so sure it's worth backing o2.5 goals as believe my 3 goal correct score is pushing it (queue the goal fest lol)... Will look to layer it with a Split Stake on 30mins if good attacking intent.
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@lee-woodman Interesting one... Why would you cash out at HT with no goals?
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
If you backed O2.5 on 10 minutes at say 2.0 and there was no goal by HT - what sort of cashout are you looking at? Any ideas?
i never cash out can make it scratch or we get 3 goals sh or 2 goals before the 70 min or we cann lay cs arround 80 th min
I understand that but im just wondering if anyone knew what the cashout would be, as a ballpark, at HT. I understand how you do them but i just want to do them a slightly different way
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So if Rijeka go down 0-2 (fat chance) I'll lay the away.
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And late goal potentials:
Added my own thread to signature at the bottom in case people aren't familiar.
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Saturday ELO's:
Going to start trying to post in my own thread againa as well because when this place gets real busy it's easy to see how things get lost.
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
If you backed O2.5 on 10 minutes at say 2.0 and there was no goal by HT - what sort of cashout are you looking at? Any ideas?
i never cash out can make it scratch or we get 3 goals sh or 2 goals before the 70 min or we cann lay cs arround 80 th min
the paraquay game tonight back over 2.5 @2.8 after two goals can lay it now 1.34 140% roi i cash out iam tired haha
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
If you backed O2.5 on 10 minutes at say 2.0 and there was no goal by HT - what sort of cashout are you looking at? Any ideas?
i never cash out can make it scratch or we get 3 goals sh or 2 goals before the 70 min or we cann lay cs arround 80 th min
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Well after all the praise I'm glad to say it was a good green day.
Started well in China with a late goal, missed in Finlanf by seconds and then the Belgians almost spoiled everything with a goalless half in Mouscron.
Thankfully got double bubble in Athlone and a late 1-1 equaliser that always seemed likely in Egypt.
Ended around around 1.5pts green. 1pt for me is around 2% and most people do 1% per pt so it's around 3% gain or what most people would consider 3pts.
About to start looking through for tomorrow now although it's the anniversary tomorrow so posting/trading may be sporadic at times.
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If you backed O2.5 on 10 minutes at say 2.0 and there was no goal by HT - what sort of cashout are you looking at? Any ideas?
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-folan it’s a classic example of persistence and I’ve also noticed how in my year with BTC how Richard has worked so hard on his filters. It’s a brilliant strategy and one I think that all new comers to BTC can use to help build their bank.
Yep. Can’t argue with any of that.
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-folan quick question if it goes 1-2 to the dog do you double up or do you just do one stake
Just the one. I like the 0-1 and just leave it to it.
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You're gonna make me blush haha
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0
