The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 that’s interesting cause I have the Olimpia on both my FHG filters and 2nd half Goal and Late goal but the Cerro Porteno Match is on the 2HG and late but not for a FHG.
ooh yes that game is normally good for goals
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 that’s interesting cause I have the Olimpia on both my FHG filters and 2nd half Goal and Late goal but the Cerro Porteno Match is on the 2HG and late but not for a FHG.
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 sorry if this has been asked before, but do you have a FHG filter that you use to determine your O2.5 trades or is it a O2.5 filter?
i use over filter but y can use fhg filter take games papertrade and then see what happened
Cerro Porteno v Guarani (Par) stays on all my filters to have goals there
but it is south america
but i am using also filter from footy stats -
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 sorry if this has been asked before, but do you have a FHG filter that you use to determine your O2.5 trades or is it a O2.5 filter?
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 The SR on O1.5 from KO is about 87% and from 30' onwards is about 79%
You say your SR on O2.5 is 62%.....is that backing from KO?
yes but i only back between 2.22-3 in the oversmarket
i found the over 2.5 much easier then the late goals in long run because iin late goals hudge variance when i enter arround the 80th min -
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 The SR on O1.5 from KO is about 87% and from 30' onwards is about 79%
You say your SR on O2.5 is 62%.....is that backing from KO?
depends on the starting odds i wait 10 ticks to get in but sometimes when o [email protected] i will lay the unders 3.5 for 0.5 point
yes arround 62% i need to put still 40 games in excelbut already 37 points up in 15 days i think but i will ex[ect to go down a little
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 The SR on O1.5 from KO is about 87% and from 30' onwards is about 79%
You say your SR on O2.5 is 62%.....is that backing from KO?
depends on the starting odds i wait 10 ticks to get in but sometimes when o [email protected] i will lay the unders 3.5 for 0.5 point
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 The SR on O1.5 from KO is about 87% and from 30' onwards is about 79%
You say your SR on O2.5 is 62%.....is that backing from KO?
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman Quite quickly with the value ones but being honest I haven't started backing them yet as I've had so many other opportunities with my correct score trades using o2.5 as insurance.
That said 10 mins should allow most to hit evens
@JOHANNES-VAN-LEEUWEN-0 has converted me to the o2.5 market... Using o2.5 goals in a correct score trade only adds to profit rather than erode it and it's working okay for now
I'll give the filter another week or 2 to mature and re-evaluate from there
Ok thanks, ill look further into this. My SH goal filter had a SR of 60/100 O2.5 when backing at 10', 39/68 when backed on 20' and 26/50 on 30'. Interestingly, if there was no goal at 60' then not one went on to hit O2.5 so might be an idea to trade out if no goal and let it run if there has been a goal
I had started a split stake O1.5 but might switch to O2.5
over 2.5 is much better do y jnow why when y have 2 fh goals already can cash out 100% roi
but sometimes i lay u 3.5 because the odds over 2.5 to low but over 1.5 can be good when y have odds arround the 30 th min 1.6-1.7 and stick to it untill the end but for sure y need a strikerate from 80%
0.80.6100-0.2*100= 28 pounds or euro a game in long runover 2.5 my strike rate is 62% 0.621.2100-0.38*100=36.4 EUR a game
but y can use fhg filter for over 2.5 also then y dripback the over 2.5 when the ko odds are to low like 1.5/2/2.5/3 each 0.25 point
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman Quite quickly with the value ones but being honest I haven't started backing them yet as I've had so many other opportunities with my correct score trades using o2.5 as insurance.
That said 10 mins should allow most to hit evens
@JOHANNES-VAN-LEEUWEN-0 has converted me to the o2.5 market... Using o2.5 goals in a correct score trade only adds to profit rather than erode it and it's working okay for now
I'll give the filter another week or 2 to mature and re-evaluate from there
Ok thanks, ill look further into this. My SH goal filter had a SR of 60/100 O2.5 when backing at 10', 39/68 when backed on 20' and 26/50 on 30'. Interestingly, if there was no goal at 60' then not one went on to hit O2.5 so might be an idea to trade out if no goal and let it run if there has been a goal
I had started a split stake O1.5 but might switch to O2.5
over 2.5 is much better do y jnow why when y have 2 fh goals already can cash out 100% roi
but sometimes i lay u 3.5 because the odds over 2.5 to low but over 1.5 can be good when y have odds arround the 30 th min 1.6-1.7 and stick to it untill the end but for sure y need a strikerate from 80%
0.80.6100-0.2*100= 28 pounds or euro a game in long runover 2.5 my strike rate is 62% 0.621.2100-0.38*100=36.4 EUR a game
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman Quite quickly with the value ones but being honest I haven't started backing them yet as I've had so many other opportunities with my correct score trades using o2.5 as insurance.
That said 10 mins should allow most to hit evens
@JOHANNES-VAN-LEEUWEN-0 has converted me to the o2.5 market... Using o2.5 goals in a correct score trade only adds to profit rather than erode it and it's working okay for now
I'll give the filter another week or 2 to mature and re-evaluate from there
Ok thanks, ill look further into this. My SH goal filter had a SR of 60/100 O2.5 when backing at 10', 39/68 when backed on 20' and 26/50 on 30'. Interestingly, if there was no goal at 60' then not one went on to hit O2.5 so might be an idea to trade out if no goal and let it run if there has been a goal
I had started a split stake O1.5 but might switch to O2.5
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ooh nicew norkopping in
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Typical Sirius appeared to be dominating the game with Helingsborg not getting a look in and scratched the trade at HT as didn't have any cover for no BTTS and hit target score.
Focused on Norrkoping match and they couldn't get past 2 goals, okay 3 goals but too late to remove red lol... Ah well onwards and upwards... Still a green day
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@finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Laid Elfsborg at those odds 1.04 rude not to.
Getting closer now
Bummer... didn't count.
Yeah would have been interesting
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@finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Both Goteborg and East Riffa behind. Laid.
Damn you Bahrain!
Yeah, was on one of my filters as well. Think I will remove Bahrain as a league to trade going forward.
Having said that, data is almost non existent on this league as either betfair haven't carried the markets on any qualifiers or there were none for a year. Don't think I'm going to get much out of including it so it's gone from future potentials and gone from which I only want to reflect the strategy as it should be.
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@finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Laid Elfsborg at those odds 1.04 rude not to.
Getting closer now
Bummer... didn't count.
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Laid Elfsborg at those odds 1.04 rude not to.
Getting closer now
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Dangerous attacks: 28 | 131
all sadd and 0-0
ooh and goal -
Laid Elfsborg at those odds 1.04 rude not to.
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Dangerous attacks: 28 | 131
all sadd and 0-0
