The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@finn-kristensen Haven't traded any live as I'm focusing on my Correct Score trading backed up with o2.5 goals right now as it's low risk but high reward.
Only started the filter this month so will let it run for a bit and see how it unfolds.
All of my goal filters are on fire right now but am staying focused on my above trades for now
iamup 37 points in over 2.5 in 15 days, but still in test fase
late goals strategy get in arround 75-80 min little bit difficuly to get very good strikerate, the variance is to big -
i have in my selection egypte game for over 2.5 @3.2
Smouha v Al Mokawloon
let see what happen, i am not enter because rhe frirst game there but everything is green -
@james-woodroffe looks positive, am trying to think about gaining an edge on it- maybe watching in play and looking for indicators before getting involved. Not sure what kind of s/r makes it good. 75+?
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@john-hurst Iām kinda happy my FHG filters are relatively similar. I might try the enter on 15 mins and see how it goes as opposed to entering on 30-35 or perhaps even split staking them.
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer I posted something very similar for FHG not so long ago... Will need to let this filter mature as it was only just started this month.
You're on fire right now, are you still looking for more trades???
Haha, always monitoring. I'm profitable right now but not on fire haha! Trades rather sporadic at the moment.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@finn-kristensen Haven't traded any live as I'm focusing on my Correct Score trading backed up with o2.5 goals right now as it's low risk but high reward.
Only started the filter this month so will let it run for a bit and see how it unfolds.
All of my goal filters are on fire right now but am staying focused on my above trades for now
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@richard-latimer I posted something very similar for FHG not so long ago... Will need to let this filter mature as it was only just started this month.
You're on fire right now, are you still looking for more trades???
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Duration of the game I'm afraid and quite a few early ones so am thinking o2.5 goals will be the best option
Would be good to see some oof your filters.
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I said it not that long ago but wanted enough results before I did anything. 1-0 is a horrible HT score for goals:
7 winning trades
5 losingAll paper trades thankfully.
It would take at least another 8 winning trades on the bounce to get up to 75% where I would expect this to be.
Maybe it would work as a Laying Over instead then? Obviously need more than 12 matches to conclude anything decisive but perhaps something to follow.
I prefer things with a higher strike rate plus I never go against logic. They're still high scoring teams so to go against goals would be illogical. I have enough to trade already. Just trying to streamline and optimise.
1-0 is not horrible depends which game, but for sure the 0-2 is the best from all
and 0-1 also almost 83% in the sh at least 1 goal
0-0 ht 74% sh goal
1-1 79% sh goal
wonderful score line is the 1-2 around the 70 minThat may be but I got my ELO strat to where it is now by making quick decisions on what I was seeing and early patterns that were developing. I've never liked the 1-0 scoreline on the whole for goals. 1-0 home team ahead and either a favourites or as dogs with bite they settle in and they hold. Onus is on the away team to break them down.
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@richard-latimer Duration of the game I'm afraid and quite a few early ones so am thinking o2.5 goals will be the best option
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@martin-futter cheers, was just thinking he said he filtered through them but there arent many selections to filter through. This could just be because it is early season in some and a lot of leagues arent running atm.
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@daniel-mills wonder what that guys filter was for fhg
it's the one you asked for earlier bud
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@ben-dobie said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I said it not that long ago but wanted enough results before I did anything. 1-0 is a horrible HT score for goals:
7 winning trades
5 losingAll paper trades thankfully.
It would take at least another 8 winning trades on the bounce to get up to 75% where I would expect this to be.
@Richard-Latimer
Strange how results differ, thought I'd check my filter for 1-0 / 0-1 at HT after your post to see if it was worth discounting those scorelines and after 22 games with that scoreline at HT only 1 of them finished the same. Small sample I know but will keep my eye on that now to see if mine comes into line with what you're saying5/12 very low strikerate means that you almost need odds @2 for a sh goal
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I said it not that long ago but wanted enough results before I did anything. 1-0 is a horrible HT score for goals:
7 winning trades
5 losingAll paper trades thankfully.
It would take at least another 8 winning trades on the bounce to get up to 75% where I would expect this to be.
@Richard-Latimer
Strange how results differ, thought I'd check my filter for 1-0 / 0-1 at HT after your post to see if it was worth discounting those scorelines and after 22 games with that scoreline at HT only 1 of them finished the same. Small sample I know but will keep my eye on that now to see if mine comes into line with what you're saying -
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I said it not that long ago but wanted enough results before I did anything. 1-0 is a horrible HT score for goals:
7 winning trades
5 losingAll paper trades thankfully.
It would take at least another 8 winning trades on the bounce to get up to 75% where I would expect this to be.
Maybe it would work as a Laying Over instead then? Obviously need more than 12 matches to conclude anything decisive but perhaps something to follow.
I prefer things with a higher strike rate plus I never go against logic. They're still high scoring teams so to go against goals would be illogical. I have enough to trade already. Just trying to streamline and optimise.
1-0 is not horrible depends which game, but for sure the 0-2 is the best from all
and 0-1 also almost 83% in the sh at least 1 goal
0-0 ht 74% sh goal
1-1 79% sh goal
wonderful score line is the 1-2 around the 70 min -
@finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I said it not that long ago but wanted enough results before I did anything. 1-0 is a horrible HT score for goals:
7 winning trades
5 losingAll paper trades thankfully.
It would take at least another 8 winning trades on the bounce to get up to 75% where I would expect this to be.
Maybe it would work as a Laying Over instead then? Obviously need more than 12 matches to conclude anything decisive but perhaps something to follow.
now y can make note from here
SH goal or y call it here late goalselfsborg
sirius
kalmar
norkoppingthis games also good for over 2.5
trades -
@daniel-mills wonder what that guys filter was for fhg
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@darri
Yeah i thought it was odd to delete it too
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If home team goes 0-2 down I'll lay away:
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Hoping for the opportunity of a late goal on these:
