BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@nathan-bennett good thx mate. Yourself?
Cheers for replying in detail. I just got matched @2.8 which I’m happy with. As I read it (meteorology not a passion of mine), it’s Sunday and Monday which see the most disruption (please anyone correct me if wrong!). Therefore draw backers are looking at the whole test and making a judgement on that. Fact that we’ll get 3 days play prior to Sunday says to me, that logically once the action starts the price will drift.
Take your point about how many overs would need to be lost etc. I guess like most with inexperience comes the fear of shooting your self in the foot, even if you think your thought process is rational!! -
@andrew-wooding how's things . historically yes ! as far as conditions and current market how it reacts i can't call it for certain . two of the most experienced lads on here luke ridger and richard flutter been doing test cricket trading for very long time . one comment of lukes some time back mentioned for a draw to be a strong result in England basically need up to 120 overs lost in a test and even then its still only a 13% chance of happening (close to that believe even if not quite word for word) . So when the weather maybe poor this could be good indicator to hold on to those lays .. #bitofanovel
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@nathan-bennett any value laying at 3.0 day before the off?
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@jon-m well if you get any more inklings my good man don’t be shy
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@andrew-wooding said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@martin-futter I won on this one Martin thx to Jon’s tip. TBH it was a bet rather than a trade because the lay price was so high until the very end you couldn’t trade it if you wanted to really. Was just exceptional value as a back price.
Yes, I’d agree liquidity is v poor so you can’t really do proper trading, but I enjoy following the matches and occasionally a price stands out that I back. Helps my mind tick over between the Tests.
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@martin-futter I won on this one Martin thx to Jon’s tip. TBH it was a bet rather than a trade because the lay price was so high until the very end you couldn’t trade it if you wanted to really. Was just exceptional value as a back price.
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@jon-m said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@jon-m said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Anyone following the county matches? Some cracking ones going on.
Yorkshire seem cracking value at 2.86 to bowl out Notts.
great shout! how was the liquidity? not looked at county in a while as money was very low.
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loving it
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Just jumped out to 3.3
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@luke-ridger joining in @2.8 go again @2.0 this market should be our favour for a long time if interruptions minimal
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Can’t work out the Draw price either. I’m still waiting and seeing. Will probably wait until the Test starts before my first trade.
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@dean-adams I'm drip laying.
It's quite early but feel people get carried away when storms are forecasted, they normally come in the evening if at all. This is like trading a test match at Galle or Joburg.
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@luke-ridger are you considering laying at this point or waiting another day?
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@nathan-bennett weather looks fine imo . Draw crazy short, seems very much we may get rain , we may not and if we do it's a shower or two.
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@andrew-wooding said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@jon-m excellent shout Jon. Well done mate
Thank you!
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@jon-m excellent shout Jon. Well done mate
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@jon-m said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@jon-m said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Anyone following the county matches? Some cracking ones going on.
Yorkshire seem cracking value at 2.86 to bowl out Notts.
You can still back Yorks at 2. Notts chasing 188 are 61/5 and in terrible form. Mega value!
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@jon-m said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Anyone following the county matches? Some cracking ones going on.
Yorkshire seem cracking value at 2.86 to bowl out Notts.
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Anyone following the county matches? Some cracking ones going on.
