The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
have laid GAIS
i hope that gais go to 0-2 rthen relay them
I don't and I doubt many others on here do but if it happens will deal accordingly at the time haha
strikes again
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Dogging with Richard pays off again!
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 we build filters to filter out most games
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 Understand mate... But would they always make my filter every game or just the more winning ones
the seasson chiasco at home is - 4 points
wil -2 points
thun - 3 pointsthe best system here is the elo system
better to lay @2.6 sh for a goal then back fhg -
1-1 @ Gais match... Just as King Richard appears... Hail King Richard :face_with_tears_of_joy: :face_with_tears_of_joy: :face_with_tears_of_joy:
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 Understand mate... But would they always make my filter every game or just the more winning ones
the seasson chiasco at home is - 4 points
wil -2 points
thun - 3 points -
Chatting on here I almost forgot to queue my FHG in Viking game
Odds were 1.51 not 1.53 (depending on your commission rate of course)
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
have laid GAIS
i hope that gais go to 0-2 rthen relay them
I don't and I doubt many others on here do but if it happens will deal accordingly at the time haha
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 Understand mate... But would they always make my filter every game or just the more winning ones
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 yeah but you post multi- accumulators with 4 matches all with odds under 1.50. Where’s the value in that?
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@alan-steward example team like will or vaduz backing fhg in 2019/2020 -EV with odds like 1.5
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe Check profitability on your filter by using 0.34pts on every winning trade & -1pt on losing
I will mate cheers.
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@james-woodroffe Check profitability on your filter by using 0.34pts on every winning trade & -1pt on losing
You should average this by using the 25% split stake from KO
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 Understand but mine is higher than 70%... Remember it will depend what games/criteria you look to filter... I don't do every game
but not make sense 70% of the games have fhg before the 20 min and 10% late goals and 20% no goals still losing money
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 Understand but mine is higher than 70%... Remember it will depend what games/criteria you look to filter... I don't do every game
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 I have to disagree to an extent. My FHG filter is very strong I just need to reassess my entry points. I can have 3 FHG’s on a shortlist. 2 come way to quick and the 3rd tends to come when I can lay 0-0 at between 1.70 and 1.40 or back over 2.10.
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Very much depends on the success of your filter... Odds depended on conversion rates... Don't get confused between the 2
it is to difficult to have a strike rate from 70% or higher
0.700.5100-0.3*100=0.05 points -
For a good FHG filter use this and you will not go far wrong... And don't forget where it come from lol...
It will be strong so you may want to Back 25% @ KO then 25% on 15mins, 25% on 25mins & 25% on 35mins... Should be good to back o1.5 goals if 0-0 @ HT
I like to monitor the criteria which says 0
