The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer I think sometimes and maybe I’m wrong with those better sides, you know you’re not getting value but you also know you’re getting that goal. It’s a tough one. If the filters strong and in play is strong maybe it’s worth it?
I don't know. I've seen Bayen play out a 0-0 before where the odds were stupidly low. Majority of the time you are probably right but I imagine most people thought that with the over 2.5 odds as well.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Torino FHG to quick for me and now its 1-1 lol... Catch up with you all later 0.5pts red for me today after Japan this morning
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@richard-latimer I think sometimes and maybe I’m wrong with those better sides, you know you’re not getting value but you also know you’re getting that goal. It’s a tough one. If the filters strong and in play is strong maybe it’s worth it?
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Odds for Torino crap as well. That's me done. Just under 2pts green (would have been 2pts but for me faux pas in Faroes).
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In any case, moving on:
Seems like most of the ELO stuff could be overnight so calling all nocturnal bods haha!!
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer dunno about @Lee-woodman but I did a LCS at 2.52.
Glad it worked out for you but screw that with only 13 minutes to go haha!
Yeah not great but I’m trusting my filter more and more. I’m generally as you know a lot more conservative. Tonight it worked.
I feel like I'm missing out on nights like tonight but I know Martin and Ryan never seem to touch odds like that so I guess it's not just me. I have done in the past but I'm trying to be more conservative if anything.
It's true, you do miss out on many of the elite teams but their goal odds almost always appear such poor value.
In fairness though, I just looked at the odds for a second half goal on oddsportal and the bookies had it at 1.05. That's seriously low haha!!!
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer dunno about @Lee-woodman but I did a LCS at 2.52.
Glad it worked out for you but screw that with only 13 minutes to go haha!
Yeah not great but I’m trusting my filter more and more. I’m generally as you know a lot more conservative. Tonight it worked.
I feel like I'm missing out on nights like tonight but I know Martin and Ryan never seem to touch odds like that so I guess it's not just me. I have done in the past but I'm trying to be more conservative if anything.
It's true, you do miss out on many of the elite teams but their goal odds almost always appear such poor value.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman normally elite teams or highscorings ligas over 0.5 late hit 2 arround the 80th min
Milan match a good example and not the first time.
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@lee-woodman normally elite teams or highscorings ligas over 0.5 late hit 2 arround the 80th min
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer dunno about @Lee-woodman but I did a LCS at 2.52.
Glad it worked out for you but screw that with only 13 minutes to go haha!
Yeah not great but I’m trusting my filter more and more. I’m generally as you know a lot more conservative. Tonight it worked.
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 I happened to be looking and the price was somewhere around that
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer dunno about @Lee-woodman but I did a LCS at 2.52.
Glad it worked out for you but screw that with only 13 minutes to go haha!
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@lee-woodman i think when the goal came in the odds were 2.2
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@richard-latimer I didnt, i was just posting the outcomes
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@richard-latimer dunno about @Lee-woodman but I did a LCS at 2.52.
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Keeping an eye on these for a SH goal or 2:
3 out of 3 LCS, all with relatively later goals which is nice. 2 out 3 had 2 SH.
Nice and steady profit
Lazio odds were crazy. Surprised you bothered. What price did you get?
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Keeping an eye on these for a SH goal or 2:
3 out of 3 LCS, all with relatively later goals which is nice. 2 out 3 had 2 SH.
Nice and steady profit
Just 8 out of the 89 games recorded on this filter so far didnt have a SH goal
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Late Goals with a flurry I thought Milan were in as well then but alas not yet.
Lazio and Lecce doing the job.Boom!! 1-3 Sampdoria thank you.
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Late Goals with a flurry I thought Milan were in as well then but alas not yet.
Lazio and Lecce doing the job. -
Ah well, Sassuolo 4th goal before Genoa could score... Would have traded out before that had it not been a freebie due to FHG
Was hoping Genoa could put up more of a fight as they are fighting relegation... Scratch trade
