The BTC Football Trading Thread
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The Ostersunds match Seens pretty dead
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@alan-steward I do not know your filter
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 Sorry, you mean what is my filter settings for FHG?
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Okay, so earlier I highlighted the Wil v Grasshopper match for a 25% Split Stake... However there is no value in the odds for o1.5 so will wait to see how the game develops... Interestingly it doesnt seem that strong on any FHG filters that I measure so will look to wait until HT???
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@alan-steward YES A FILTER FOR GOALTIMES
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@daniel-cooper said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Evening all. Late start for me today as the gym is open again
Happily not missed much, a very quiet day today. As I expect most are doing,
Osterunds game for a late goal
Then monitor the Pescara and Pisa games later.Best of luck everyone trading tonight, get that green
I can’t find Pescara v Livorno on Betfair
just had a quick look, not on mine either
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@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Evening all. Late start for me today as the gym is open again
Happily not missed much, a very quiet day today. As I expect most are doing,
Osterunds game for a late goal
Then monitor the Pescara and Pisa games later.Best of luck everyone trading tonight, get that green
I can’t find Pescara v Livorno on Betfair
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@alan-steward Y can have a good fhg filter but the problem is that a lot of games have goals before we get odds arround 2........ then y need a highstrike rate for the dripbacking
because my dripbacking for sh is arround 85% to get a goal before the 80th min -
Evening all. Late start for me today as the gym is open again
Happily not missed much, a very quiet day today. As I expect most are doing,
Osterunds game for a late goal
Then monitor the Pescara and Pisa games later.Best of luck everyone trading tonight, get that green
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alan-steward i did 100 fhg games 60% before 25 min a goal... fhg is so difficult tobe profitable long term, late goals very profitable
Yes I agree, you need a good filter
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sh goals bts 50% Prob sh goal 80%
But pisa game strong outsider depends on IPS also good for FHG -
@alan-steward i did 100 fhg games 60% before 25 min a goal... fhg is so difficult tobe profitable long term, late goals very profitable
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Late addition to tonight’s late goal short list is
Juve Stabia v Cremonse in Italy B. -
@james-woodroffe Yes agree with the others Grasshoppers should have everything to play for as 2nd spot puts them in the promotion play off's
Wil game is also on my 25% Split Stake filter which this month has provided
92 Games
Of which it has delivered;
4 x's 0-0 (avg -0.72pts loss per game taking red on 75mins)18 games Goal pre 10 mins but all delivered over 2 goals by FT (i.e. reload after 1st goal & back o2.5 goals on 20 mins @ best price with 25% stake then 25% stake every odds of 1 i.e. in at 25% back @ 1.4 then 25% @ 2.4 25% @ 3.4 & 25% @ 4.4... Cash out after 2nd goal
70 games with goal between 10 & 75mins (avg 0.162pts per win)
Standard Trade ='s 25% stake on 10mins then another 3 x's 25% every 25pts... Example trade with odds @ 1.4 on 10mins... 25% stake @ 1.4 then 25% @ 1.65, 25% stake at 1.9 & 25% stake at 2.16, take red on 75mins
Today's Games;
Switzerland Challenge League 27/07/2020 19:30 Wil v Grasshoppers
Italy Serie B 27/07/2020 20:00 Juve Stabia v Cremonese -
Cheers guys,
I was looking at FlashScore and trying to work out what the promotion relegation actually meant but a quick look at the Super League table and it all makes more sense now so yes. Definitely two matches on my shortlist. Have a green day guys.
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Afternoon gang,
Just the two matches today for me for a late goal.
Ostersunds v Helsingborg
Wil v Grasshoppers * This is subject to get dropped as I’m not sure as to it’s importance. Grasshoppers would move to 2nd but if anyone can shed any light as to if that means anything that would be great.According to Flashscore, the second-placed will be playing in the Super League "relegation group", which appears to be a playoff match (maybe home & away - not sure, but doesn't matter right now) against 2nd from last in the Super League, where the winner will get a place in the Super League next season and the loser will be playing in the Challenge League. In other words, there should be plenty of motivation for Grasshoppers.
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As far as I understand it, finishing second puts Grasshoppers into the promotion play-offs. I think they would be motivated to win.
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Afternoon gang,
Just the two matches today for me for a late goal.
Ostersunds v Helsingborg
Wil v Grasshoppers * This is subject to get dropped as I’m not sure as to it’s importance. Grasshoppers would move to 2nd but if anyone can shed any light as to if that means anything that would be great.I think 2nd over 3rd or 3rd over 4th is always something a club will go for.
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Afternoon gang,
Just the two matches today for me for a late goal.
Ostersunds v Helsingborg
Wil v Grasshoppers * This is subject to get dropped as I’m not sure as to it’s importance. Grasshoppers would move to 2nd but if anyone can shed any light as to if that means anything that would be great.
