The BTC Football Trading Thread

Finn Kristensen

Were no odds offered for Livorno against Benevento either

OK - so maybe they're playing with a youth team or so (they're losing all their matches anyway - however, not by 10-0 or the like)..? They haven't been deducted league points though, which is usually a sign of bad economy etc.

Richard Latimer

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@finn-kristensen no tradeable idk why. No money on smarkets either. Is that usual for serie B?

When Betfair don't have the market liquidity is crap on smarkets

Richard Latimer

@finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Crotone 1-0 down against livorno. Laying livorno

Can't find that match on Betfair?
Was looking at it as well before the match but there was no odds to be found on it anywhere. Later, NordicBet appeared on flashscore with odds but that was only after the Livorno goal. Something fishy going on there..? Livorno been absolutely crap lately and nothing to play for, Crotone the opposite, and yet Livorno 1-0 up... and no odds offered.

Were no odds offered for Livorno against Benevento either

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@finn-kristensen shame that cause i fancied that game pre match

Finn Kristensen

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@finn-kristensen its very odd

I know it's not Moldova, but still...

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@finn-kristensen its very odd

Finn Kristensen

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@finn-kristensen no tradeable idk why. No money on smarkets either. Is that usual for serie B?

I think all the other Seria B matches are tradeable tonight.

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@finn-kristensen no tradeable idk why. No money on smarkets either. Is that usual for serie B?

Finn Kristensen

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Crotone 1-0 down against livorno. Laying livorno

Can't find that match on Betfair?
Was looking at it as well before the match but there was no odds to be found on it anywhere. Later, NordicBet appeared on flashscore with odds but that was only after the Livorno goal. Something fishy going on there..? Livorno been absolutely crap lately and nothing to play for, Crotone the opposite, and yet Livorno 1-0 up... and no odds offered.

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Crotone 1-0 down against livorno. Laying livorno
edit: betfair not showing the game apparently?

Richard Latimer

@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Pen for Al Rayyan...GOAL.

Thank you Richard

Yeah. ELO strikes again!

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@john-hurst 75 mins is when markets start to panic and spikes occur, i would say it depends on the game, but on average itll be around +1.9 in the back overs market, in a match that expects goals

Matt Wood

Pen for Al Rayyan...GOAL.

Thank you Richard

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@martin-walker all a matter of personal choice, i lay for 2% liability of the bank (so ltd odds = 1.5 with a £100 bank my stake would be £4 but my liability max loss would only be £2) easy to use bet angel or the betfair tab at top to let them working it out for you, so bit more aggressive but its all about risk/reward. I get the less liability part but for me its all about more potential profit in the trade.

Martin Walker

@john-hurst backing the overs would be around 2.0 i think

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at 75 mins what would be the average lcs odds? around 2.5?

Finn Kristensen

Grasshoppers 2-0 after 16 minutes.

liam willis

@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@liam-willis just checked your sheets, think you have a 67% strike rate for +70min trades. So if on average at 70 min its typically +1.7 odds this will with a 1% of bank stake be returning 14% for every 100 trades (minimum so has potential for more). As long as your sheet is accurate.

nice one thanks for working that out yeah it should be all accurate i fill it out everyday im assuming those figures are good lol im still getting my head around percentages ect if it makes money its good with me

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@martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

How many points or percent are people looking for for a successful strategy. Monthly for example

I think any strategy which generates 3.5-5 pts per month and isn’t too volatile is decent. 2 or 3 strategies simultaneously generating that amount would be a solid basis

Richard Latimer

@martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer im not a big fan of laying so most of my strategies are back 2%

I prefer laying because I like to know I'm going for a point and if the odds are low I'm still going for that same point.