The BTC Football Trading Thread
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Evening gentleman,
how’s everyone going today?
I’ve been for a long country drive with the family so after this mornings fun in Asia I only did my O1.5 in Portugal with Setubal and Ferreria which has turned out very nicely so 2.5 points green for the day. -
@john-hurst Just seemed good odds at kick off and maybe a 1-1 but I can't see a nil nil. Arsenals defence is shocking
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@james-everard think wolves are the draw kings though so be wary of entry points.
You are right though, there should be goals
just seen traore starting so thats a good thing -
Anyone think the odds on lay the draw look good at kick off in the Wolves vs Arsenal match currently 3.3. Can't see a 0-0 here surely, even one goal from either side you can make a small profit?
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@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Jihlava
Although the overall profit may be better I'm thinking the stress of falling behind at the same odds may override that despite the stats being with me.
This is not the day I needed this haha
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@gary-brown said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@gary-brown What is the Basic I have the Professional version ( unlike me lol), I am sure I can do that on there will look into later.
Hi James if you have the pro version then you will be able to trade small odds i am sure of it. I didnt realise you already had this software. Thats something i want to progress to in the future.
The basic is very very basic and you can not do much at all. I only use it for testing filters using micro stakes.
If you are really good with the technology the professional version is superb especially if you wanted to automate trading. For me I want to learn and understand but some of it is way above my brain power on the automation side but I normally manually trade without software I would imagine it is a very slow process.
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You get Jihlava @Martin-Futter?
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Taking over 1.5 @ 1.65 in Austria Vienna v Mattersburg.
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@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@sam-maccuaig for goals trades they can be a disaster as one team defends with everyone behind the ball, sometimes it can open the game up but the market odds usually account for that. I think you have to assess based on what you see after a red and as I am a big stats guy the red ruins all my prematch research and therefore I'm not comfortable with my position in the trade.
now if i back a team and their opposition gets a red that's a good thing of course. however, if you aren't already in the trade the opposition's odds will soar and the market takes the red into account big time. energetik probably go below 3.0 mabe close to evens at 11 v 11 1-0 up.
Would they though? It was early in the game and they started around 8.8 I think. I still reckon they would have been around 4.0.
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@sam-maccuaig for goals trades they can be a disaster as one team defends with everyone behind the ball, sometimes it can open the game up but the market odds usually account for that. I think you have to assess based on what you see after a red and as I am a big stats guy the red ruins all my prematch research and therefore I'm not comfortable with my position in the trade.
now if i back a team and their opposition gets a red that's a good thing of course. however, if you aren't already in the trade the opposition's odds will soar and the market takes the red into account big time. energetik probably go below 3.0 mabe close to evens at 11 v 11 1-0 up.
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@sam-maccuaig there are a few reasons and the btc guys have done videos saying to avoid reds before too, but the biggest reason is price, if there hadnt been a red the lay odds for energetik would have been far lower
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@darri I’m interested as to why people say never enter a trade if red has been shown, surely in this case the red strengthens the case for the trade?
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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
People were only saying to be cautious not dont trade it. Generally speaking games with a red card should be avoided. @Gary-Brown made a good point about current form, and even in the stal game he was right to factor that in. Also at the time Bate had poor inplay stats first half when the proposed trade was highlighted. Factor in the pre match form, the red card and the inplay stats. That would not have been a trade first half. @John-Hurst did a better take by waiting and getting a better price. Its just generally an unwise trade after a red card is shown tho
As I said, they had already missed a pen. We can agree to disagree. I'm happy with this particular trade at the time I made it based on what I've seen over 1 whole year.
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People were only saying to be cautious not dont trade it. Generally speaking games with a red card should be avoided. @Gary-Brown made a good point about current form, and even in the stal game he was right to factor that in. Also at the time Bate had poor inplay stats first half when the proposed trade was highlighted. Factor in the pre match form, price, the red card and the inplay stats. That would not have been a trade first half. @John-Hurst did a better take by waiting and getting a better price. Its just generally an unwise trade after a red card is shown tho
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@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Well I got it so it shows my age too
Yup
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@richard-latimer Well I got it so it shows my age too
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@gary-brown What is the Basic I have the Professional version ( unlike me lol), I am sure I can do that on there will look into later.
Hi James if you have the pro version then you will be able to trade small odds i am sure of it. I didnt realise you already had this software. Thats something i want to progress to in the future.
The basic is very very basic and you can not do much at all. I only use it for testing filters using micro stakes.
