The BTC Football Trading Thread

[A Former User]

@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Zaglebie vs Sandecja in Poland Div 1this afternoon at 15:00 is a match I’ll be monitoring for a 2HG around 60 minutes if 0-0 1-0 1-1 or 0-1.
Neither side is safe from the drop and both have it all to play for with a liking for goals post 70 mins.

Interesting shout mate, will check that game out later

[James Woodroffe]

@martin-futter maybe but Leganes have conceded 1 at least in 4 of the 5 matches since the return.

[A Former User]

Thanks for the heads up on the Sevilla game, def one to watch.

On the FHG’s issue - these drinks breaks they are taking now seem to have the effect of destroying momentum. Watched a few games now where it’s just flat for 10 after that break.

[James Woodroffe]

Zaglebie vs Sandecja in Poland Div 1this afternoon at 15:00 is a match I’ll be monitoring for a 2HG around 60 minutes if 0-0 1-0 1-1 or 0-1.
Neither side is safe from the drop and both have it all to play for with a liking for goals post 70 mins.

[Martin]

@james-woodroffe wonder if the lack of fhgs is leading to such odds!

[James Woodroffe]

@ryan-carruthers and @Matt-Wood as I mentioned earlier today was contemplating this for a O1.5 but must admit I bypassed Sevilla’s odds when looking into the match. Great value but will be interesting to see if comes in much before KO? Definitely going to be monitoring it now.

[Ryan]

@matt-wood I'll be watching it too.

[Matt Wood]

@ryan-carruthers Yep I had got this one earmarked to watch.

[Ryan]

It's not, with the average 1st goal time being 30mins it could be a cracker to watch if this get to 0-0 @ 25 mins and Sevilla are dominating their price will have creeped up too.

They've been highlighted by my ELO ratings sheet, then started digging deeper.

[Matt Wood]

@ryan-carruthers yea 4 pts from 12 is not great form

[Ryan]

@matt-wood Drawn a fair few haven't they?

Last 4 games are draws

[Matt Wood]

@ryan-carruthers Maybe Sevilla have not won in LaLiga for the last 4 games? seems a bit obvious though.

[Ryan]

Anybody know why Sevilla are such high odds?

2nd best in the league away from home, playing 2nd bottom team in the league....

Score first 80% of the time 2.0 to back??

With 44% of their games 0-1 while away from home at HT?

[A Former User]

Games im looking to trade later on:

30/06/20 16:00
Russia Premier League
Lokomotiv Moscow v FK Krylya Sovetov Samara
LTD/Lay away if 0-1

30/06/20 17:30
Estonia Meistriliiga
Flora v Narva
LTD/Lay away if 0-1

30/06/20 17:55
Croatia 1. Hnl Lok.
Zagreb v Varazdin
LTD

30/06/20 18:30
Italy Serie A Torino v Lazio
LTD

30/06/20 20:45
Italy Serie A
Genoa v Juventus
LTD

[James Woodroffe]

Wigan v Stoke O1.5 currently at 1.53. Stoke needing points to get away from the drop and Wigan in decent form since the return.

Leganes v Sevilla also 1.50. The home side more than certain to drop but Sevilla will want the 3 points as Getafe and Villarreal are fighting with them for last CL spot.

[Richard Latimer]

Winning team ELO lays.

Green denotes home strength, pink denotes away.

[Richard Latimer]

If Lokomotiv Zagreb start 1.6 or above:

Lay Varazdin if 0-1 inplay.

[A Former User]

@martin-futter fantastic! Thanks for all your efforts!!

[Martin]

@andrew-wooding if it proves profitable long term I will add it to the members filters. I’ll add the selections to the sheet everyday so they will be there for you to see in advance of the game

[A Former User]

@martin-futter thank you Mate.. early days then but looks promising. I guess you’ll shout about it when your confident on it?

Btw.. the edge I mentioned earlier.. look at Leeds v Luton tommorow. this season 0-0,1-0,0-1 or 1-1 has Cumulatively made up 80.08% of their HT scores. A £20 Dutch on those scores gets me £6.66 or 33.3% return.. in effect a 13.38% edge.

Brighton, Cardiff and qpr games all the same but for 2-6% edge.