The BTC Horse Racing Thread
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Three matched but only one trobbed so even Stevens for the day
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Richard Latimerreplied to Richard Latimer on 25 Jun 2020, 13:36 last edited by Richard Latimer 25 Jun 2020, 13:37
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Going to post up todays potential lays soon. Worth noting that 5* horses not performing great on the limited sample. There is a logic to not including them but we'll see longterm.
Here they are:
Tread lightly after yesterday if anyone does put their hard earned down. I'm going to analyse it a little further and look at race distance now.
Most interesting. The vast majority of qualifiers had been from handicaps. Yesterday 3/5 were maiden and of the 2 handicaps one of these was in the non performing 5* camps.
Of todays only Shoot To Kill is a mdn.
Actually makes perfect sense to leave maidens. If your basing it off the fact they shorten but don't win, well of course none of them have won have they!!
So far of the 6 mdns, 4 have won the race and 2 haven't. Instant improvement!
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Going to post up todays potential lays soon. Worth noting that 5* horses not performing great on the limited sample. There is a logic to not including them but we'll see longterm.
Here they are:
Tread lightly after yesterday if anyone does put their hard earned down. I'm going to analyse it a little further and look at race distance now.
Most interesting. The vast majority of qualifiers had been from handicaps. Yesterday 3/5 were maiden and of the 2 handicaps one of these was in the non performing 5* camps.
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Richard Latimerreplied to Richard Latimer on 25 Jun 2020, 11:09 last edited by Richard Latimer 25 Jun 2020, 11:10
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Going to post up todays potential lays soon. Worth noting that 5* horses not performing great on the limited sample. There is a logic to not including them but we'll see longterm.
Here they are:
Tread lightly after yesterday if anyone does put their hard earned down. I'm going to analyse it a little further and look at race distance now.
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Going to post up todays potential lays soon. Worth noting that 5* horses not performing great on the limited sample. There is a logic to not including them but we'll see longterm.
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@john-folan well done!
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One point today. The 3-15 at haydock is interesting tomorrow!!!
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Wow. Miserable day. If it came under 2.8 it won.
Happens. Don't beat yourself up about it
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Wow. Miserable day. If it came under 2.8 it won.
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@alan-steward i've got this seasons as well just need to a dd it to a sheet remind me if i forget
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@alan-steward fortunately not had one win during the prime flat season yet (close to 500 results), 9.08 was the highest last year. I advise using Maria staking plan or avoiding the higher odds to limit liability. check last years sheet here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1QsmQIjUIFzBGz6CkAMIm5esf5D39TpUmcAzYfBL7g58/edit#gid=0
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A Former Userreplied to Martin on 24 Jun 2020, 09:57 last edited by A Former User 24 Jun 2020, 09:58
@martin-futter Wow!!! Nice work mate... Looks like you're now 2 maximum losses and still in profit... Out of interest how often does an odds of 11.0 win?
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Today's Trob's. 3.5-20 odds range. The one I mentioned yesterday went off too low and did nothing so odds filters working lovely.
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@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Win is +£216.10 and Place +£39.96 up to £10 lay stakes.
Today's nap lays:
16:35 Chep UNDER CURFEW
17:40 Chep EQUIPPED
17:55 Kemp BIG LACHIEWalkthrough video here:
https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/laying-rubbish-tipsters-selectionsFull house on win and place! Boom!
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Wed inplay lays from winning warlock
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Another 3 selections, another 2 wins. Profit down to a price point of 2.54 today.
Just had to remove a couple of horses from when I first started tracking these as the data wasn't right. I had been looking at the archives so made a couple of mistakes.
One of them was a non runner and the inplay price I was looking at waa their last one.
One had won their last 4 rather than lost the last 4 I first thought. Was looking at the wrong column on winning warlock. Not the end of the world and still nicely profitable.
I'm sure most would happily take 12pts in just over 20 days on any strategy so.....
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Another 3 selections, another 2 wins. Profit down to a price point of 2.54 today.
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john perhaps with these doing so well you could help me adapt something similar from the horse stats when we have them?
My pleasure. I’ve got a few things myself that we can hopefully do from btc stats when we get them. Have to say I’m looking forward to seeing them.
Cheers
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john perhaps with these doing so well you could help me adapt something similar from the horse stats when we have them?
My pleasure. I’ve got a few things myself that we can hopefully do from btc stats when we get them. Have to say I’m looking forward to seeing them.
4903/6372