The BTC Football Trading Thread
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I'm LTD in the Watford v Leicester match. Currently 0-0 at HT
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
@james-woodroffe Yea I did think about that although the league is mad as far as I can make out but it does seem as though both teams have pretty much qualified for the playoff places.
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@gary-brown rough one I'll summarize here:
We are going to chart some minimum values that we like to have before entering a trade below, what needs to be said though is that these can be adapted. Here are our examples but feel free to try to find what in-play stats suit your entry points.
We work our scoring method out based on shots on and off target. If there is a shot on target it scores one point, if there is a shot off target it scores half a point.
So for example two shots on target and one shot off would be a total score of 2.5 points.
Six shots off target and zero shots on target would score three points and so on.
Here are some popular entry points and the total ‘score’ we would like to see before entering at this point in a game.
Trading ‘Overs’ Markets - Looking for a goal or goals.
Entry points:
22 minutes - A score of 3 or above (ideally 2+ shots on target)
45 mins/HT - A score of 6 or above (ideally 4+ shots on target)
67 mins - A score of 9 or above (ideally 6+ shots on target)Trading ‘Unders’ Markets - Looking for goals not to be scored.
Entry points:
22 minutes - A score of 2 or below (ideally 2 or less shots on target)
45 mins/HT - A score of 4 or below (ideally 4 or less shots on target) -
@matt-wood wondering if it falls in the nothing to play for range tho?
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@sam-maccuaig
As I said though its early days.
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@ryan-carruthers this is incredibly helpful mate, have bookmarked to refer back to later on
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@james-woodroffe watching this one too
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@matt-wood what parameters are you using on your filter for selection?
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Oh guys have did Martin and Ryan create the point system to use inplay on matches? If so is their a link to the video or podcast etc for this?
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Will look to LTD - LCS or Back Over 0.5 in Denmark around 60 mins.
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@james-woodroffe Thanks. I think any more than 10% and you are going to be exposed for too long.
Do have the idea in the back of my mind that a larger stake could be dripped out every 3 mins to a max of 15ish. Have to think about that a bit more though and too hard with no software and min stakes on BF.
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@matt-wood cool mate, just interested to see what sort of % guys are looking for when the do Unders and when they in and out. Good luck with it today.
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@james-woodroffe I'm in at KO, although lately I have been looking at the odds graphs on BF and judging the up down movement making me get in very early hours before some games.
Then I line up a lay bet for 10% green on the stake. Averaging 9min green up at the moment. Although I also watch the games/stats and cash out early if I think there is too much action or the odds dont come down smoothly/fast enough.
Hope that helps, should also say it is very early days so far.
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@matt-wood hey Matt, how do you play your Unders mate do you have a certain in then out time?
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My unders list for the rest of the day. 3/3 so far off the back of South Korea games.
Schalke vs Wolfsburg
Dep. La Coruna vs Rayo Vallecano
Brest vs Gorodeja
Nitra vs Senica
Zapresic vs Osijek
Erzurum BB vs Eskisehirspor
Denizlispor vs Besiktas
Malaga vs Extremadura UD
Verona vs Cagliari -
Not enough goal mouth action for me for a Ltd/back in ulsan game. Long range shots and overhit crosses thats about it.
Happy i left this even though i would have been laughing now! -
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I've LTD in the FC Seoul v Ulsan match. Curently 0-0 at HT
That'll do
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@ryan-carruthers brilliant this ate and great explanation as to how we are finding value
