The BTC Football Trading Thread

[A Former User]

@simji said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Games on my filter for today No Goals in the first 20.
Strike rate at present is 60%
But its running at a big loss at present.
Due not able to get all the prices for exits for the games that i havent been there for. If you say you get 20 ticks before out in the wins that around 0.50 for a 2 pound stake but every loss is a full stake loss its running at 23.50 down

Hi Simii not sure what your experince is using the under 2.5 goal but have you had a chat with Martin or Ryan?

They are different ways of trading using the under 2.5 goal approach.

[A Former User]

@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@gary-brown Thanks Gary. I hadn't thought about that aspect. It makes perfect sense though.

I tend to do it mate especially with a small bank whilst learning. It saves me from making mistakes by risking too much when laying. It was something I learn't not to do when I was playing around with under 2.5 trades which I gave up on in the end.

[Ryan]

@matt-wood Hey buddy

Yes the what has to happen question has to have the same thing indeed.

Preference is always to back for me over a lay I can get the right % on then as well

[Simji]

Games on my filter for today No Goals in the first 20.
Strike rate at present is 60%
But its running at a big loss at present.
Due not able to get all the prices for exits for the games that i havent been there for. If you say you get 20 ticks before out in the wins that around 0.50 for a 2 pound stake but every loss is a full stake loss its running at 23.50 down

[Matt Wood]

@gary-brown Thanks Gary. I hadn't thought about that aspect. It makes perfect sense though.

[A Former User]

@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@ryan-carruthers My first 'nothing is a daft question' in the forums.
Why back Leipzig and not lay Hoffenheim?
Am i correct in thinking the what has to happen question needs the same thing, a Leipzig goal, in either case?
Is it simply an odds issue that makes you back as oppose to lay?

Sorry thats three questions

Hi Matt it may just be the case of personal preference or staking.
Backing a team is easier to work out your stakes and stick to the same percentage of your bank stakes than laying.

I personally prefer to back than lay so I can make sure I only use the same percentage of my bank per trade.

I find using systems like the Marie system it means I am going over my staking percentage sometime on trades especially if I am laying a team such as the under dogs.

[Matt Wood]

@ryan-carruthers My first 'nothing is a daft question' in the forums.
Why back Leipzig and not lay Hoffenheim?
Am i correct in thinking the what has to happen question needs the same thing, a Leipzig goal, in either case?
Is it simply an odds issue that makes you back as oppose to lay?

Sorry thats three questions

[Ryan]

I'll be backing Leipzig should they go 1-0 down tonight

Having a little bit of fenerbache for a FHG goal too @ 1.51

[Richard Latimer]

Just realised I posted up an Estonian game. Won't be touching that regardless.

[A Former User]

@james-everard hi mate, for the comeback picks are you just using the ELO ratings or is there another factor playing into it? cheers

[Finn Kristensen]

Hi all - just a head's up on the Danish Superliga match between Esbjerg and Randers. Esbjerg has a new manager tonight as the previous one resigned Monday evening after the players had told the football director that they had lost faith in him. So maybe we will see a different Esbjerg team tonight - the players definitely have something to prove now! Given the much-reduced number of spectators (until 500 are now allowed) and a new manager, it may be wise to use historic data with caution.

[A Former User]

Looking at prices for HT CS market and there’s naff all matched. At what point of liquidity would you start taking the prices seriously or are they not likely to drift much once the money starts to trickle in? Just trying to monitor pre off prices for a strat.

[Akiva Anderson]

The Overs price in the Granada v Getafe match are huge. Over 1.5 goals is 1.64 before kick off. The over 2.5 goal is nearly 3.00 before kick off.

[james everard]

Watchlist for tomorrow evening

Back over 1.5 goals at half time if 0-0
17.00pm Slovenia Prva Liga- Triglav vs Domzale
21.00pm Spain La liga- Valencia vs Levante

Lay the draw at 60mins if 0-0 or 1-1 and no second half goal
17.00pm Slovenia Prva Liga- Triglav vs Domzale
18.00pm Denmark Super Liga- Esbjerg vs Randers Fc
18.00pm German 3 liga - Meppen vs Hallescher
18.30pm Spain La Liga 2 - Elche vs Extremadura
19.00pm Serbia Super League- Rad Beograd vs Fk Vozdovac
19.00pm Turkey Super League - Fenerbahce vs Kayserispor
19.00pm Turkey Super League - Goztepe vs Trabzonspor
20.05pm Croatia 1hnl- Lok Zagreb vs Din Zagreb
21.00pm Spain La liga - Valencia vs Levante
21.15pm Portugal Primera- Sporting vs Ferreira

SPLIT STAKE LATE GOAL LTD ON 73rd and 84th Mins if 0-0 or 1-1
16.40pm Polish div 1 - Jks Jastrzebie vs Sandecja Nowy
17.55pm Croatia 1hnl- Varazdin vs Rijeka
18.00pm German 3 liga - Meppen vs Hallescher
19.00pm Turkey Super League - Fenerbahce vs Kayserispor
21.00pm Spain La liga - Valencia vs Levante

Lay the underdog if they take the lead
17.30pm Estonia Meistriliiga - Flora vs Tulevic ( Lay away)
17.30pm German Bundesliga 2- Sandhaussen vs Arminia Bielefeld ( Lay Home)
19.00pm Turkey Super League - Goztepe vs Trabzonspor ( Lay Home Side)
19.00pm Turkey Super League - Fenerbahce vs Kayserispor ( Lay away side)
19.30pm German Bundesliga- Hoffenheim vs Rb Leipzig ( Lay Home Side)
21.00pm Spain La liga - Valencia vs Levante ( Lay away side)
21.15pm Portugal Primera- Sporting vs Ferreira ( Lay away side)

[Richard Latimer]

That took a while:

[Akiva Anderson]

Brilliant Seville derby in la Liga tonight. All worked out perfectly.

[James Woodroffe]

Another good night tonight 3 points up 8 in 2 days but just over 5 in 4 days after a couple of Ahhh days. Until tomorrow gentlemen

[Richard Latimer]

@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Turkmenistan in the house haha!! Will the liquidity be there now all the big leagues are returning?!

Trabzonspor are the stronger team by the way so that one is a home lay if they should take the lead.

Probably not mate here’s to a possible last opportunity

I'll cope if that's the case haha

[James Woodroffe]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Turkmenistan in the house haha!! Will the liquidity be there now all the big leagues are returning?!

Trabzonspor are the stronger team by the way so that one is a home lay if they should take the lead.

Probably not mate here’s to a possible last opportunity

[Richard Latimer]

Turkmenistan in the house haha!! Will the liquidity be there now all the big leagues are returning?!

Trabzonspor are the stronger team by the way so that one is a home lay if they should take the lead.