The BTC Football Trading Thread

[A Former User]

cheers @Richard-Latimer followed along with that one there

[Martin]

@alan-steward strategy is 35pts up since he started it another win

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer Just double checked stats after posting and could see big spike for home team... Well done guys

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer away team had most pressure SH, might do o2.5 goals if evens around 60mins... Not seeing enough value if I'm honest though... Hope you get your goal

[Richard Latimer]

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer hi mate is austrian game on your filter to lay... If yes at what odds?

I took 3.45 but it's come down a bit and still 0-1.

It's my ratings system/strategy.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer hi mate is austrian game on your filter to lay... If yes at what odds?

[Richard Latimer]

Klagenfurt losing at home @Martin-Futter haha

[A Former User]

@martin-futter thanks martin

[Ryan]

(Testing) Early SHG 70% selections

I have the total foals 70mins plus the total goals in the H2 - then work out the % of the goals in the timeframe 70-90 in comparison to H2 and any over 50% go orange and I'll look at backing the next Overs market.

The back odds are what I do with the true odds of a goal in that time period the % / 100 + 1. When it got to 70mins it was always higher here on the next over market (that needed one goal to win)

Country League Date Home Away Total Goals 70 - 90+ Total Goals H2 Time v Total Avg Goals Back Odds Lay Odds
Austria 2. Liga 07/06/2020 09:30:00 A. Klagenfurt Kapfenberg 25 42 59.5238095238095 3.61 1.60 2.66
Estonia Meistriliiga 07/06/2020 17:00:00 Tammeka Paide 30 59 50.8474576271186 4.15 1.51 2.96
Germany Bundesliga 07/06/2020 12:30:00 SV Werder Bremen Wolfsburg 21 42 50 3.15 1.50 3.00
Faroe Islands Premier League 07/06/2020 15:00:00 Streymur Skala Itrottarfelag 5 9 55.5555555555556 5 1.56 2.78
Faroe Islands Premier League 07/06/2020 15:00:00 IF Fuglafjordur AB Argir 6 7 85.7142857142857 3.4 1.86 2.16
Denmark Superliga 07/06/2020 16:00:00 Sonderjyske Silkeborg 18 31 58.0645161290323 3.05 1.58 2.72
Austria Tipico Bundesliga 07/06/2020 16:00:00 AC Wolfsberger LASK Linz 24 41 58.5365853658537 3.3 1.59 2.69
Austria Tipico Bundesliga 07/06/2020 16:00:00 Hartberg Salzburg 24 45 53.3333333333333 3.6 1.53 2.88

[Martin]

@john-hurst using the ratings page, teams with 100+ ELO advantage on their opponents and if the home team a comeback rating of 63+ (if they are an away team this must be 70+)

[Ryan]

My FHG filter thrown up a few bit I am not too happy with them, will leave them and focus on the Split Stake today.

I played around with a new filter for 70+ mins yesterday which threw up some good games!

[A Former User]

@martin-futter how are those results worked out? is there a filter for that or is it quite complex?
Cheers

[A Former User]

The only FHG game on my filter today is Hartberg but am seeing a low rate of goals conceded, plus Hartberg have had 4 out of 11 HT 0-0's and on "Similar Opposition" stats they look similar to worse so will focus on Ryan's Split Stake and a couple of Correct Score games today...

Best of luck

[Martin]

Based on @Richard-Latimer's rating strategy -

Will be looking to lay the away team if they take the lead:

9:30 AM Klagenfurt v Kapfenberg
1:00 PM Kaiserslauten v Jena
2:00 PM Radnicki v Rad Beograd
3:00 PM Dyn Kiev v Oleksandria
4:00 PM Copenhagen v Randers
4:00 PM Pardubice v Vitkovice
4:00 PM Brno v Trinec
4:00 PM Mladost v Sabac
6:00 PM Soligorsk v Energetic
6:45 PM Macc Haifa v Hapoel H
8:05 PM Ferencvaros v DVTK

Will be looking to lay the home team if they take the lead:

4:00 PM Horsens v Brondby

[Richard Latimer]

Getting more and more every day again now:

[James Woodroffe]

Plan for Sunday
FHG Back at 1.51 and half stake on 30 if still 0-0 and in play justifies.

Hartberg v Saltzburg
Sonderjyske v Silkborg
Augsburg v Koln

LTD 0-0 or 1-1 at HT or 60 mins OR Ryan’s O1.5 SS

Stuttgart v Osnabruk
Bremen v Wolfsburg
Karvina v Ceske
Copenhagen v Randers
Hartberg v Saltzburg
Augsburg v Koln
Wolfsberger v LASK
Rapid Vienna v Strum Graz

LCS
Keith’s 3% club calls.

Have a green Sunday gentlemen

[A Former User]

Ended the day 3.5 units down which was a bit of a recovery was around 7pts down after the Dortmund game.

The important thing for me on this is that I know why I lost those units and will eliminate that process for the rest of this season from my Trading Plan and PAper Test.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay India 0-1 up. Cheap lay

Nevermind. I end today around 1.5pts green.

[Richard Latimer]

Lay India 0-1 up. Cheap lay

[Simji]

@Eamonn-Hogan I know your pain. It's a learning curve but we all will get there.