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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    wrote on last edited by
    #40661

    couple of late first half goal winners in Frode's picks today so far, will run through the results sheet to see if later entry is a good idea, you get such good odds around 22-25 mins

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #40662

    Goal Roskilde

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #40663

    Getting ready to back Teplice

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    james everard
    wrote on last edited by
    #40664

    Watchlist for today
    BACK OVER 1.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE
    14.00pm Poland Prem- Cracovia vs Jagiellonia
    14.30pm German Bundesliga- Monchengladbach vs Union Berlin
    17.00pm German Bundesliga- Paderborn vs Dortmund

    SPLIT STAKE 2.5 GOAL STRATEGY
    14.30pm German Bundesliga- Monchengladbach vs Union Berlin
    15.00pm Ukraine Prem - Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dyn Kiev
    17.00pm Denmark Superliga- Esbjerg vs Aalborg

    LTD AT HT IF 0-0 OR 1-1
    11am Danish 1st div- Nykobing vs Roskide
    12noon German 3rd - Munich 1860 vs Duisburg
    13.00pm Danish 1st div- Vejle vs Naestved
    14.00pm Poland Prem- Cracovia vs Jagiellonia
    14.30pm German Bundesliga- Monchengladbach vs Union Berlin
    15.00pm Ukraine Prem - Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dyn Kiev
    16.00pm German 3rd Div- Jena vs Chemnitzer

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

    J 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #40665

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Forgot to lay over 2.5 in Plock after the first. Just laid it now for very low odds.

    Damn. Glad low liability. May put the hammer in this one for now.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #40666

    Forgot to lay over 2.5 in Plock after the first. Just laid it now for very low odds.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Martin Walker on last edited by
    #40667

    @martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Missed suwon due to poor inplay stats. Can never decide wether i like inplay stats or not. Yesterday i had no goal with a team having 80% possession and about 20 shots then i dont enter this one and the gosl comes 2 minutes after my planned entry

    I don't look at them anymore. If it's in my plan I wait long enough and get in.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    wrote on last edited by
    #40668

    Missed suwon due to poor inplay stats. Can never decide wether i like inplay stats or not. Yesterday i had no goal with a team having 80% possession and about 20 shots then i dont enter this one and the gosl comes 2 minutes after my planned entry

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #40669

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Backed Plock @ 2.80

    1-0 and out. Ltd Suwon.

    Goal Suwon. 1-2 and out. Glad I decided against Estonia. Another goal gets in a game where few goals expected.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #40670

    first game of the day on the plan Nykobing FC 1-1 Roskilde looks a good opportunity for LTD/back another goal. Both going for it

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #40671

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Backed Plock @ 2.80

    1-0 and out. Ltd Suwon.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #40672

    On the O2.5 first half goals strategy, I know the recommendation is to exit is soon as there is a goal but if it comes early enough i.e before 25 mins, is there a case for letting it run for a bit before exiting to see if there is another goal or is it not worth it?

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #40673

    @vito i see that, strange

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #40674

    @vito said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    betfair is acting crazy. it shows Monchengladbach v Union Berlin already started on the main page.

    Sunday morning hangover

    The Nykobing keeps going suspended as well but that may be a liquidity issue

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    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #40675

    betfair is acting crazy. it shows Monchengladbach v Union Berlin already started on the main page.

    ? E 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #40676

    @eamonn-hogan Where possible I'm using 2% of my bank roll e'g ig bankroll £500 @ 2%, 1 Unit = 500 X 0.02 = £10 but everyone's different

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #40677

    @chris-osborne @Alan-Steward I divide my bank by 100 to find my stake. i.e my bank is £500 so i use £5 as 1 point.

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #40678

    @eamonn-hogan If you're trading a certain % of your bank I'd class that as 1pt.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #40679

    @chris-osborne cheers, how do you determine what stake?

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #40680

    @eamonn-hogan I consider 1 value of the stake I'm using at the moment to be 1 unit

    E 2 Replies Last reply
    0

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