The BTC Football Trading Thread

? Offline

Plan for today:
Wednesday
FHG
17:30 Bochum v Holstein Keil
19:30 Union Berlin v Mainz

Over 1.5 Goals Split Stake
17:30 Bochum v Holstein Keil
17:30 Leipzig v Hertha
19:30 Hoffenheim v Koln

HTLTD if 0-0/1-1
17:30 Hannover v Karlsruher
17:30 Bochum v Holstein
17:30 St Pauli v Heidenheim (if 0-0)
19:30 Hoff v Koln
19:30 Leipzig v Hertha
19:30 Union v Mainz
19:30 Hoffenheim v Koln

Leaving the Czechs alone today. Have a good day people

Ryan

FHG Today from me

Ceske v Liberec
Hoffenheim v FC Koln

Will do my split stake on others on the filter

Richard Latimer

Still in the middle of finalising all mine but first things first is Seoul E-Land. I'll LTD on thhat around 60 mins in if still 0-0.

james everard

Trading plan for today, i have adjusted my filters as i think it was far to detailed, gives me good data without going over the top. Can analalise inplay to make the judement if ok to to trade

BACK OVER 1.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE STRATEGY
17.30pm German Bundesliga 2- Bochum vs Holstein Kiel
19.00pm Czech Republic liga 1- Sparta Prague vs Plzen
19.30pm German Bundesliga- Union Berlin vs Mainz
19.30pm German Bundesliga- Hoffenheim vs Fc Koln

LTD AT HALF TIME IF 0-0 OR 1-1
17.30pm German Bundesliga - Rb Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin
17.30pm German Bundesliga 2- Bochum vs Holstein Kiel
19.00pm Czech Republic liga 1- Sparta Prague vs Plzen
19.00pm Faroe Islands Prem- Nsi Runavik vs If Fuglafjordur
19.30pm German Bundesliga- Union Berlin vs Mainz
19.30pm German Bundesliga- Augsburg vs Paderborn
19.30pm German Bundesliga- Hoffenheim vs Fc Koln

LTD FOR HALF TIME OR BACK OVER 0.5 FIRST HALF GOALS
19.30pm German Bundesliga- Hoffenheim vs Fc Koln

SPLIT STAKE 2.5 GOAL STRATEGY
17.30pm German Bundesliga - Rb Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin
17.30pm German Bundesliga 2- Bochum vs Holstein Kiel
19.30pm German Bundesliga- Hoffenheim vs Fc Koln

BACK UNDER 3.5 GOALS IF GOAL IN THE 1ST 15MINS
17.30pm German Bundesliga 2- St Pauli vs Heidenheim

LCS IF 0-0 AT HALF TIME
17.00pm Czech Rep Liga 1- Ceske Budejovice vs Liberec
17.30pm German Bundesliga 2- Bochum vs Holstein Kiel
17.30pm German Bundesliga - Rb Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin
19.30pm German Bundesliga- Union Berlin vs Mainz
19.30pm German Bundesliga- Hoffenheim vs Fc Koln

LTD/LCS ON 60MINS
17.30pm German Bundesliga - Rb Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin
17.30pm German Bundesliga 2- Bochum vs Holstein Kiel
19.30pm German Bundesliga- Union Berlin vs Mainz

liam willis

@richard-latimer it goes back to what i said earler everyone reads stats differently, on recent form i felt gladbach was good for an away goal and what i was watching it was a very open game with werder coming close a few times. you are dead right on the analysis i think its so important.

Martin Walker

The game as a whole had 90% for second half goal but each team by themselves actually had very low stats for scoring second half

? Offline

@john-hurst YEA JOHN SAME HAPPENED TO ME , PROFIT FROM FIRST 8 TRADES THEN BREMEN SCREWED IT ALL UP , BEAR IN MIND I'M A NEWBY AND I AM LEARNING FAST!

Richard Latimer

@liam-willis except that if we don't analyse what went wrong doesn't that make is doomed to the same fate next time. I get what you're saying but that game had one big red flag to me and I should have followed that.

Goals actually scored.

Not enough quality on Bremen's part to finish the job.

Leverkusen game the other day was an anomaly.

4/10 scored for a home team is poor and you would need the slack to be taken by the away team. Gladbach away ok but still only 6/10. Decent as a backup to one team scoring more but as the team you are pinning your hopes on not enough.

I wouldn't make the same trade again personally.

liam willis

@john-hurst i was on the same game as were probably everyone else, the way i look at it is, would i place that trade again based on what i was watching and the inplay stats, the answer is 100% yes, they will be far more games like that, you will trade and win but every now and then a game like that will lose, and thats trading its the long term that counts.

? Offline

Only a couple of 25% Split Stakes on my filters today which are already covered on Ryan's Split Stake.

I will be following @Frode-Lia FHG & @Keith-Anderson LTD/LCS.

Plus a couple off Correct Score trades.

Stay Green

? Offline

Guys, I suspect many traders took red on the Werder game it wasnt so much a bad trade but more of a bad result... Remember what I said last night we're traders not matched bettors

I took red @ Werder but my experience allowed me not to take red on the night... That will be the most powerful lesson/advice you can take from Tuesday evening... Never go off piste if it puts you in the red

That's a lesson/discipline I've now just about got to grips with

? Offline

@allan-birch cheers man just hard to take cause it was my last trade of the evening and it wiped the lot out haha nevermind man. Least i wasnt the only one

? Offline

@john-hurst morning mate. I think every trader in the country would have fancied a goal in the Bremen game last night including most people on this forum. In home and away stats they only had 1 0-0 between them all season and the game was full of attacking play. A loss like that always disappoints but take comfort that you made the right decision in trading it.

? Offline

@liam-willis the one that let me down massively was a LTD on the werder monch game last night. Wasnt on trading plan but the inplay was good and the game was end to end with plenty of chances. Suppose thats what happens sometimes- the goal just doesnt come. That basically wiped all my profits from the evening which was hard to take really

liam willis

@john-hurst i made the same mistake when i first started and jumped on everyones trade, what you have to remember is everyone trades differently and everyone reads the inplay stats differently, i would never avoid the forum as i think it is the most valuable part of btc, but my advice would be is if someone posts something that you like the look of, then look at the game and see if you can see a trade yourself i.e look at the stats from pregame and inplay, if its something you would trade yourself then get on it. ive made good of money on here by doing this. remember less is more if you pick 1 good trade out of 20 then thats sucessful. But yes you are right sticking to your plan is an absolute must.

? Offline

@dean-adams we will get there mate just dont repeat the same mistakes and we will improve. Even if the games dont go our way at least we can be proud we stuck to the gameplan

? Offline

@john-hurst
I’m with you on not reading the forum in play, gives me too many ideas and end up off plan. Gotta get myself more disciplined

? Offline

After last night i will be sticking to the plan for good, doing nothing more than that- takes stress away from this and is purely stats based which in the long run is always profitable. I also will avoid the forum in play as i take peoples ideas on board and deviate from the plan. Some great ideas on here in play but they are like any- some turn good some dont. The forum has helped me massively even in a week so i am grateful for that. Have learnt a sh load already

? Offline

@james-woodroffe for the games that are in LTD and LCS do you do both markets mate or just one or the other?

James Woodroffe

Morning gentlemen,
Here we go for Wednesday and cheers for the feedback yesterday much appreciated

FHG
17:30 Bochum v Kiel
17:30 Leipzig v Hertha

LTD 0-0 1-1 @ HT

17:30 Bochum v Kiel
17:30 Leipzig v Hertha
19:30 Hoffenheim v Koln
19:30 Augsburg v Paderborn
19:30 Union Berlin v Mainz
19:30 Sparta Prague v Plizn
LCS if 0-0 0-1 1-1 at HT

17:30 Leipzig v Hertha
19:30 Augsburg v Paderborn
Here’s to a green Wednesday.