The BTC Football Trading Thread

[A Former User]

@alan-steward sound advice there

[james everard]

Potential trades for today

12.30pm German Bundesliga- Schalke vs Augsburg ( Lay Augsburg if they take the lead)
12.30pm German Bundesliga 2- Hamburg vs Armina Bieldfeld ( LTD AT HT IF 0-0)
12.30pm German Bundesliga 2- Kalsruher vs Bochum ( LTD AT HT IF 0-0)
12.30pm German Bundesliga 2- Holstein Kiel vs Stuttgart ( LTD AT HT IF 0-0)
13.00pm Estonia Premier League- Tulevik vs Levadia ( LTD FOR HT OR BACK OVER .5FH GOALS. Or split stake 1.5 and 2.5 goal strategies and if 0-0 at ht ltd)
14.15pm Armenia Prem League- Alashhert vs Artsakh( Lay the away side if they take the lead/LTD AT HT IF 0-0)
14.30pm German Bundesliga- Mainz vs Leipzig ( Split stake over 2.5 goal strategy)
17.00pm German Bundesliga- Fc Koln vs Dusseldorf ( LTD AT HT IF 0-0, SPLIT STAKE 1.5 GOALS OR LCS ON 60MINS)
17.00pm Estonia 2nd div(2nd tier) Nomme Utd vs Maardu (LTD for ht/back over .5 fh goals. Split stake1.5/ 2.5 goal strategy and LTD at ht)
22.00pm Costa Rica- Limon vs Ucr (LTD AT HT IF 0-0 AT HT)
15.00pm Faroe Islands Prem- Argir vs Hb Torshavn( Lay the home side if they take the lead)

[A Former User]

@dan-erridge Gives a bit of insurance against 2 quick goals going the wrong way plus the chance to evaluate the SH more with total commitment... Should get matched on O1.5 by start of SH/Goal or move on

[A Former User]

@john-hurst
Yes mate,I quiet like @Alan-Steward idea to back over 1.5 for 0.5point then lay draw later if still 0-0

[Richard Latimer]

@dan-erridge said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer
Ulsan mate,one of Keith's

One of mine too

[Richard Latimer]

@dan-erridge said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Blimey odds still quite high,obvs expecting a goal or 2

I'm doing Ltd on Ulsan and have also backed them. Won't be getting in straight away on the ltd.

[A Former User]

@dan-erridge definitely looks decent, i am in at half time. First half started lively, reckon the second will too.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer
Ulsan mate,one of Keith's

[A Former User]

At Ulsan have queued O1.5 goals @ 2.04 for 0.5pts & will LTD on 70/75 mins if still 0-0 and game shows attacking intent or take red

[Richard Latimer]

@dan-erridge said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Game in Korea looks lively enough for the ltd. Think I will set at 2.5 for lay.any thoughts?

Seoul? I just ltd at 1.98

[A Former User]

Blimey odds still quite high,obvs expecting a goal or 2

[A Former User]

Game in Korea looks lively enough for the ltd. Think I will set at 2.5 for lay.any thoughts?

[james everard]

@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer Going to do a split stake over 1.5 goal strategy on the Estonian match , Tameka vs Tallina Kalev currently 0-0 34mins gone

I am actually going to leave for 10mins wait for the odds to go up too low at 1.45

[james everard]

@richard-latimer Going to do a split stake over 1.5 goal strategy on the Estonian match , Tameka vs Tallina Kalev currently 0-0 34mins gone

[Richard Latimer]

Goal in the first half of a Korean game while I was typing all this up so that's one gone. Here though is a better idea of exactly what I will and won't do today.

Ave first H2 goals for 2nd half plays in far right column just before my comments on each. I aim to enter 3 mins before each to allow for pens as these always suspend a few mins before a goal is recorded. So if it's 66 mins that means I want to be in after 62.

[James Woodroffe]

@alan-steward filtered mate.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer

Removed a bunch that weren't today.

[Richard Latimer]

This is my trading plan for today which gives me plenty of options when they all start going in the wrong direction:

Considerably Better Than Yow - I will be backing the team who has the advantage on games to goals scored by at least double providing the odds don't fall under what would equal a successful yield should the previous 10 games replicate if that makes sense. ie Ulsan is currently 1.68 to back. Goals to games is double the advantage for Ulsan so 66.66%. 66x .68 = 44.22 less 33.33% losses. P/L in this scenario would be just under 11% yield and so speaks value to me.

Under the bridge is trial and error laying over 2.5 from the off and getting out at HT. I imagine I will go with the best of these stats wise (odds dependent once more) and track the others until I have built up a bigger picture. The rest are 2nd half plays which may or may not qualify for LTD or lay the under. Note, when lay the under I will only lay if 0-1 and away dog is winning.

[A Former User]

@james-woodroffe Hi mate re your shout for FHG in Ulsan game is that a filtered selection or fancied?

[A Former User]

@john-hurst Yes mate... Pace of game picked up SH but managed to knick 0.3pts green... Upped my stakes from yesterday so recovered 0.6pts from yesterday