The BTC Horse Racing Thread

John Folan

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

8.26 at Tampa Tonight for LTF

Pretty much scratch @ 2.02

You need to be sub 2.0 for this to make any money.

Richard Latimer

@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

8.26 at Tampa Tonight for LTF

Pretty much scratch @ 2.02

Richard Latimer

Doesn't help with inplay prices but I've just noticed the betfair app stores BSP prices for prev races in the meet same day.

james everard

@richard-latimer Makes up for the greyhound disaster I had earlier lol. Strictly auto on greyhounds now! Don't forget Martin pointed out earlier about the 20.26 at Tampa Bay fits the criteria for ltf

Richard Latimer

@james-everard said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

The timeform table can work sometimes if you look at the outsiders. I noticed there were a number of horses not racing and the third tip (second was one of the absentees) was odds of 42.0 backed it and just let it run ( only £2) and it won lovely. Then tried again at the 18.52 and the outside timeform tip this also at 42.0 coincidently put up a good fight and went under 3.0 traded out.

Sweet. That's a lot of green right there haha!

james everard

The timeform table can work sometimes if you look at the outsiders. I noticed there were a number of horses not racing and the third tip (second was one of the absentees) was odds of 42.0 backed it and just let it run ( only £2) and it won lovely. Then tried again at the 18.52 and the outside timeform tip this also at 42.0 coincidently put up a good fight and went under 3.0 traded out.

Martin

8.26 at Tampa Tonight for LTF

james everard

@dan-erridge said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Got greyhounds aswell apparantly

Cheers Dan very useful when looking to lay a trap number, I have been using greyhound-data for the percentage chance of the trap number wins with distance at each course. This now helps with deciding what price range I should be looking at. Just had a quick look and it appears between 3.0 and 5.0 looks good price to base on , below that it appears to low and work above you are relying on such a high strike rate.

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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

I wonder if there's some sort of angle to take advantage of these ridiculous 1 &2 races!? There must be something surely. Trouble is I can't find a damn thing about them on the interweb. Maybe the dark web haha!

Richard...they are actually quite fun to watch. Those quarter horses can't half shift over a short distance. Of course there is nothing in play (just like the dogs) but you could mess around with backing steamers or laying drifters before the off maybe.

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@dan-erridge said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

https://promo.betfair.com/betfairsp/prices

There it is guys, some people all replying on Twitter saying it's great, like I say not looked myself

Well played sir! Bit of work to turn it into something usable but frankly all most of us have these days is time!!!

Richard Latimer

I wonder if there's some sort of angle to take advantage of these ridiculous 1 &2 races!? There must be something surely. Trouble is I can't find a damn thing about them on the interweb. Maybe the dark web haha!

Martin

@dan-erridge I'll tag @Adam-Williams-0

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@dan-erridge said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@adamwilliams

Is there anyway using the link I posted below we can pull the data we need for our laythefield research we are trying

Cheers

Dan

If you search back a week or two you'll find a couple of posts where I uploaded an Excel file with a sample of the data...this will give you an idea of what you could do with it.

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@adamwilliams

Is there anyway using the link I posted below we can pull the data we need for our laythefield research we are trying

Cheers

Dan

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Got greyhounds aswell apparantly

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https://promo.betfair.com/betfairsp/prices

There it is guys, some people all replying on Twitter saying it's great, like I say not looked myself

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Guys I picked peter Webb’s brains on twitter yesterday about in running prices in aus and USA and to my shock, he replied with a link, will post here in a minute, not looked myself yet, but could be the data you guys were looking for, let us know if you find it,will post in a minute

Dan

Martin

some great work going on in here!

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@richard-latimer Ran it in simulation mode and got 3 matched but didn't record data as it didn't fully meet.

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@charles-cartwright said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

LTF

I notice the last had 3 horse at a price in the 3's. 3 matched. Didn't do it as didn't fit what has been looked at but interesting nonetheless.

Would be easy enough to look at...maybe in smaller fields look for just 3 to 4 horses within say 3 pts of the fav at a min of >2.9 and set a more aggressive trade point so that if you get 2 then you get a decent return?

Just set it up now to run on BFBM, small fields (so 5-8 runners) to avoid having two in play at the same time. Fav between 2.5 and 4.0 and at least 3 runners within 3 points of that mark. Lay to fire at 1.61. Liability of only a quid since have nothing to base this on!!

Nothing looks like firing in the US meetings today for me on the regular LTF. Will see how I go overnight on the Aus meetings. Have upped the min liquidity to $150K to try to get rid of most of the dross but it may mean I get almost no action.