Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

Late goal potentials:

[Richard Latimer]

Opening this back up:

Saturday ELO's

Seems strange to think that Croatian leagues only just finished and now here they are again, ripe for the picking.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Gomel was stupidly low odds. Belshina a washout as no goal until 80th minute then typically enough another at the end.

Hoping for better on Slutsk game.

First drip in at 1.48, next planned 1.77, then 2.12, 2.46, 2.76, 3.1, 3.5 & finally 4.0 before getting outon 70 if no goals.

That was quick. Trouble is at the moment. I'm making these nice little gains but when there's no goal FH, so often there's either nothing 2nd half or nothing until late.

[Richard Latimer]

Gomel was stupidly low odds. Belshina a washout as no goal until 80th minute then typically enough another at the end.

Hoping for better on Slutsk game.

First drip in at 1.48, next planned 1.77, then 2.12, 2.46, 2.76, 3.1, 3.5 & finally 4.0 before getting outon 70 if no goals.

[Richard Latimer]

2nd Belarus Prem game on my filters but I think this strat will apply to Belshina who were in div 1 last year along with todays opponents and Lokomotiv Gomel from the prestigious league that is Belarus Div 1.

[A Former User]

Oh well, at least we have the mighty Belarus this afternoon!

[Richard Latimer]

Not a very successful evening/night

[Richard Latimer]

That's that then.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@pete-smith said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer Not much quality in these games, maybe laying over 1.5 is the way forward?

You could be right but it was cheap like I say.

I think laying an inferior team is a waste of time in this league haha

[Richard Latimer]

@pete-smith said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer Not much quality in these games, maybe laying over 1.5 is the way forward?

You could be right but it was cheap like I say.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer Not much quality in these games, maybe laying over 1.5 is the way forward?

[Richard Latimer]

@pete-smith said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer Same here, had a feeling there would be a late goal but that’s why we have an exit plan. Hopefully the 2am game will go better!

I just laid away cheaply. Seems an unlikely scoreline.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer Same here, had a feeling there would be a late goal but that’s why we have an exit plan. Hopefully the 2am game will go better!

[Richard Latimer]

Aint that typical. 3 mins after I get out.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Same again with juventus managua

All 8 drips matched which was a surprise. Loss of just a little more than a point.

[Richard Latimer]

Same again with juventus managua

[Richard Latimer]

Guess there was a goal

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Coming up tonight/overnight are:

Ferretti
Juventus Managua
Managua FC

First drip of 1.4 in for Ferretti

Will follow up with

1.64
1.93
2.2
2.44
2.72
3.05
3.45

Cash as soon as there's a goal and out by 70 if no goal.

[Richard Latimer]

Coming up tonight/overnight are:

Ferretti
Juventus Managua
Managua FC

[Richard Latimer]

I'm revising this thread for my new over 1.5 filter. Don't want to be trying to shoehorn every single game into a potential trade but by the same token I clearly needed to loosen things up a bit as otherwise nothing will qualify at the moment.

Thanks to @Alan-Steward for giving me the idea. I drip pretty much continuously from the moment I get in until around 5-10 mins before:

First drip 1/4pt - No earlier than 15 mins and no lower than 1.4
Minimum 1 sot, 1 hit woodwork, 3 shots off, 3 corners, 2 shots off/2 corners

Second drip 1/4pt + 60% higher odds (1.4 means next drip is 1.64)

Third drip 1/4pt + 45% higher odds (last drip being 1.64 means this one is 1.93)

Fourth drip 1/4pt + 30% higher odds (last drip being 1.93 means this one is 2.2)

Fifth drip 1/4pt + 20% higher odds (last drip being 2.2 means this one is 2.44)

Sixth drip 1/4pt + 20% higher odds (last drip being 2.44 means this one is 2.72)

Seventh drip 1/4pt + 20% higher odds (last drip being 2.72 means this one is 3.05)

Eighth drip 1/4pt + 20% higher odds (last drip being 3.05 means this one is 3.45)

If no goal by 70th minute I'll red out so getting up to an 8th drip is highly unlikely but I've kept it there just in case.

By continuing to drip so frequently through the 2nd half for every the potential gain should just keep going up to a point. Liability stays well within control and barring an uncontrollable betfair suspension I should be able to pull a good chunk back on 70 mins if the worst happens and it remains goalless.

So in short, in the above example it's:

Entry point 15 mins 1.4
1.64
1.93
2.2
2.44
2.72
3.05
3.45

Goal at any point before 70, cash
No goal by 70, red