BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@james-woodroffe I do literally hundreds of trades during an England Test match, but that's because I do lots of short term scalps as well as the longer term trades.
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If England can make just 200 in their second innings, they're 95% winners for me. Got to be worth a lay at 1.47 in the short term though, with such a couple of inexperienced opening batsmen.
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A good day trading the Sydney test. Laid the draw at 3.85 this morning. Something I am interested in and maybe Richard or Nathan could fill me in on, is on average how many trades per test match do you guys make? I see Richard did an early lay of England and then correct me if I’m on wrong mate did you back the draw before closing out for green and then did you lay it? Once the draw odds went thru the roof did you then close it for more green before now looking at a possible lay of SA? Or is there no average? The test being the test. Just wondering in test cricket if there’s a dont over trade mindset- philosophy also.
Last year for me was all about making rookie-dumb arse mistakes whilst I learnt and got my head around certain things where as this year is about not making rookie-dumb arse mistakes and becoming a better test match trader. -
@richard-futter its so simple but effective,laid the draw in sydny at 2.92 & trade out at 6.
Early morning profit.
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Was a nice spike it the odds last few overs, Englands price gone up from 2.5 to 3.0 in space of 2 overs. Iv only been getting involved in lays of England so far
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@richard-futter I was reading about this also recently and funny enough I thought of you and the old adage of “nobody ever went broke laying the draw”. Made so much more sense after reading that article.
Which makes 3.85 in Sydney very sexy.
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@richard-futter brilliant stat! let's hope they don't got for four day tests.
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A nice stat for those traders who, like me, just love to lay the draw in Test cricket. In 39 Tests last year, only 4 ended in draws, and in three of those draws an entire day's play was lost due to rain.
So, unless there's a real danger of significant rain, draws in Test cricket are a pretty remote possibility these days.
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These odds are crazy. Surely England's price has to drift.
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For the life of me cannot understand how England are odds on favourites with five wickets down on a good batting track.
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great shout on the draw lads market moved nicely
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@nathan-bennett Thanks Nathan. Love when the batting side get on a roll on the flat track. Results last few this wicket but 600 runs 1st innings both sides around 5 tests back at this venue. Gives confidence despite the teams not being at full batting strength.
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@richard-futter thanks Richard I’m pretty much doing that have backed it at 7.80 and will just monitor play now for a while but yeah can’t always trust England.
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@gregory-emblin just a lil protecting capital thing to remove red while still having a free bet so say [email protected] lay and [email protected] back would give you a free roll for 50 if SA don't win …
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@james-woodroffe definitely like the draw, as I can see it shortening considerably. Keeping stakes quite low though as you can never entirely trust this England batting line up.
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@richard-futter so are you just holding fire or do you fancy a back of the draw which is the way I’m thinking at the moment.
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@nathan-bennett Learning curve for me Nathan. Interested to know if you place similar size back bets on the two options or more when it hits 3.60 ?
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@james-woodroffe said in 2019 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@richard-futter are you looking at drip laying England as their price shortens?
No. That was a very short term lay.... greened up on the wicket. I would never drip lay at this early stage of the game. Quite fancy some big scores on this pitch.
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lay SA myself at 2.7 back bets in at 3.6 and 4.4 .. heading out stop loss when 3 down if before my back bets matched
