2022 Tennis Trading Thread
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@martin-futter said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
@damon-heslop not players i generally scalp as Goffin breaks and gets broken a fair bit
Yeah, as happened in the first set. All green from backing Gasquet though, so waiting for the Tsonga match now. Reckon they're both scalpable servers? Both showing very high percentages.
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Going to be backing Gasquet on serve in the first set against Goffin. Then back both on serve in the second, based on service-hold percentages. Anyone else trading this match?
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@damon-heslop said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
Copil's first set service game looks strong at 88%. Viable for scalping him on serve in the opening set? First attempt at this!
Broke first, so probably not worth the risk for the 3 ticks offered by him holding!
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Copil's first set service game looks strong at 88%. Viable for scalping him on serve in the opening set? First attempt at this!
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@damon-heslop Never a dumb one matey! So this came from the webinar I did, the premise here is that this selection fits the age old lay the first set winner strategy - this one has a high % chance of winning the first set but then losing the very next game.
So you can lay Karlo after winning the first set and stats say he will lose the next game - there you can make a decision whether to get out or stay in.
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@damon-heslop yes no problem Damon.Sure Ryan will just confirm when he see this,was going to ask him if lay if serving or not , or if its just a straight lay whoever is serving
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@mark-collier said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
@damon-heslop yes I think the play is that in this case if Karlovic won the 1st set is lay him 1st game of second set as he has a high percentage of losing it after 1st set win
Cheers Mark. Makes sense now. lol.
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@damon-heslop yes I think the play is that in this case if Karlovic won the 1st set is lay him 1st game of second set as he has a high percentage of losing it after 1st set win
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@ryan-carruthers said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
Won S1 Lost next game selection today is Karlovic
Apologies for the potentially dumb question, but what's the play on this one? Scalping the server? If so, I would appear to have missed the boat. Oof.
