Lay the Fav 1st Set 3-3 / 4-4
-
This is a nice and simple one guys, the thought process here is that in the first set if we have a heavy favourite who is having a tough time that the price to lay them if the score is 3-3 or 4-4 will still offer value and the dog will be pushing for the set, quite often we see the top players write this set off and come back in the second set as if the game had just started, offering us a good value lay.
-
@steven-wolfe Still use this when the matches allow buddy, you tried?
-
hi ryan are you still using this with your daily selections?
-
@lee-woodman I haven't used it in a while, I would def say it would be worthwhile as I know a lot of games get tight and players right off the first set.
-
@ryan-carruthers Do you still use this strategy? Or at least would you recommend it to a newbie as a starting point? Just wondering if it was still valid or whether it'd been scrapped.
-
@laurent-grossmann Lovely, let me know how you get on matey!
What are you using to automate?
-
Thank you for your reply. It is indeed easy to automate, I might have a go at it myself.
Best regards,
Laurent -
@laurent-grossmann
The strategy would work yes & be profitable, I am looking at setting a bot up to do this automated and then record all of the selections as at present I manually watch them and limit my trades.
Heavy fav for me on tennis 1.5 or below, I use 1.45 for these.
-
Hi Ryan,
Thank you for replying. I wondered if you had laid every fav at 4-4 in tournaments if that strategy was profitable? Or are you setting filters to select the ones to lay?
When you say heavy fav, does that mean around 1.5 odds?
Thank you,
Laurent -
@laurent-grossmann
Hey buddy,
Just got back hence the later than usual reply, nope matey doesn't matter who serves - what stats are you after?
-
Hi Ryan,
Does it matter who is serving next once the scores of 3-3/4-4 are reached (fav or dog)?
Do you have stats available for this strategy?Cheers,
Laurent -
@liam-couper first set end matey!
-
@ryan-carruthers said in Lay the Fav 1st Set 3-3 / 4-4:
This is a nice and simple one guys, the thought process here is that in the first set if we have a heavy favourite who is having a tough time that the price to lay them if the score is 3-3 or 4-4 will still offer value and the dog will be pushing for the set, quite often we see the top players write this set off and come back in the second set as if the game had just started, offering us a good value lay.
Is there a set amount of % of profit you look to take? Or do you green/red up after the first set is finished?
Going to try automate this in BA. (Will happily share for everyone)
